As we discussed earlier, just don't see what it could do. A minimal force could hold them at bay for two reasons A.) They have to leave some forces at the ammo dump or they must blow it and B.) Ukraine would have air superiority in this region with the Moskva gone and would most likely just maul any convoys.
Do we even need the Onion anymore?Unsure if this has already been posted (and maybe it merits its own thread):
Russian Spies Hilariously Screw Up Putin’s ‘Assassination Plot’ Claim
An alleged Russian hoax gone embarrassingly wrong indicates that Putin’s agents have trouble following even the most basic instructions.www.thedailybeast.com
If PMR/Russian troops cross into Moldova territory, even more sanctions and probably more pressure on China to distance from a warmongerer.
Doubt there would be a NATO intervention but i wouldn't be shocked if there will be a bunch of romanian volunteers joining the fight.
Unsure if this has already been posted (and maybe it merits its own thread):
Russian Spies Hilariously Screw Up Putin’s ‘Assassination Plot’ Claim
An alleged Russian hoax gone embarrassingly wrong indicates that Putin’s agents have trouble following even the most basic instructions.www.thedailybeast.com
No, but the russian military in Transnitria is very much milited in capabilities.
All due respect to Moldova, but they haven't been at war for 8 years, and PMR conflict was properly frozen for almost 20 years, so... doubt.
Since Russia can not reinforce, most likely yes to defending themselves (as well as Ukraine isnt really a comparative here).
You have any insight into whether ukrainian forces that are probably being stationed near the area would join the fight to eliminate the threat?
Nope. Moldova is the poorest country in Europe (afair) and has a tiny army (5-7k active personnel).
If Moldova asked for help, I can see that happening. That ammo dump would be incredibly useful for the UAF.
Hopefully it isn't completely wasted away but should be some usable stores of 152 and GRADS rockets I'd imagine.
Moldova outnumbers russian forces by a margin of 3 or 4 and have probably received western arms. Russian forces are out of supply, have no air cover and can at best rely on missile strikes from the black sea that miss their targets more often than they hit.
after UA concedes Crimea and Donbas.
I'm sticking by my prediction: their offense runs out of steam by the time UAF's KIA report for the Russian force hits 24-25K.
I feel like if they had actually tried a Kiev siege and didn't retreat this would all be over, mainly from even more ridiculous Russian losses.
www.reddit.com
www.nbcnews.com
So where the hell did that plane crash then? Because if it had crashed into Ukrainian territory under government control I'm sure we would have gotten a fuck ton of videos of the wreck and salvage operation.Since the war started we've been speculating about how Western intelligence has been assisting the Ukrainians. Officials are starting to brag about it on background. Specifically the US has been warning Ukraine about incoming attacks so can they move planes and AA out of the way and provided intel that led to a VDV transport getting shot down early. Which, until now, most people doubted actually happened.
U.S. intel helped Ukraine shoot down Russian plane carrying troops
Ukrainian forces have used specific coordinates shared by the U.S. to direct fire on Russian positions and aircraft, current and former officials tell NBC News.
Well this is heavily sourced so this does add credibility to at least one plane going down, but as I'm sure many of the OS INT folks will say, "where is the wreckage?" which I somewhat agree with. I didn't 100% discount the story like many have but was surprised the wreckage of a large transport plane was not found by someone and photographed. Where that plane crashed is going to be investigated by someone I'm sure.Since the war started we've been speculating about how Western intelligence has been assisting the Ukrainians. Officials are starting to brag about it on background. Specifically the US has been warning Ukraine about incoming attacks so can they move planes and AA out of the way and provided intel that led to a VDV transport getting shot down early. Which, until now, most people doubted actually happened.
U.S. intel helped Ukraine shoot down Russian plane carrying troops
Ukrainian forces have used specific coordinates shared by the U.S. to direct fire on Russian positions and aircraft, current and former officials tell NBC News.
Didn't we see wreckage of one transport? I seem to remember seeing pictures of its engines in some ukrainian field.
That was recent and was a Ukranian transport plane that supposedly hit a power line (was right next to the wreckage).Didn't we see wreckage of one transport? I seem to remember seeing pictures of its engines in some ukrainian field.
Oryx has one An-26 listed so i guess that was it.
So my working theory now is it crashed in a large body of water at night. Only explanation I can think of.
Why not over Belarus? If intel was good and Ukrainian AA still intact, why not?
Someone in Belarus would've filmed it and the smoke/flames would be noticeable for miles. Not a small plane. There was a lot of OS INT videos coming in from Belarus during this time so it wasn't "locked down".
il-76s are huge planes someone would've posted pictures or videos of such a huge wreckage
There were early rumors of US officials confirming the shootdown within 24 hours but were never followed up until now, so that is why I would assume many discounted it after awhile. Still, as mentioned above and if the shoot down was actually near Hostomel versus original reports southwest of Kyiv during another supposed air assault, then there is actually a good chance of a water shoot down as the most likely air assault route during this period of hostilities would've been over the large Dnipro reservoir. That allows you to fly lower and is the shortest distance over Ukranian territory (remember at the time, Russia had not seized much territory yet).
