I think that the odds of a Direct are 100%, with the type of direct being arbitrary and unpredictable. We've had 40 minute Mini's, 40 minute General directs. Some people know Direct dates, some people know what titles are happening, some know title estimates. Putting 2 and 2 together is logical. Everyone thought the Partner Showcase was going to be the direct-that-replaced-E3, and entirely logical prediction. And in a way, it did. Nintendo just squeezed its E3 to be a fraction of what it was intended to be, and pushed the announcements back. That's why we got the Pikmin announcement.