Florida was a lot different because that data was made based on the assumptions that polling was mostly right and non-party affiliated voters would break towards Biden in the end. However, the opposite happened and Trump actually did better than most expected.
I mean, I'm just recognizing the patterns here of early data looking very good, but the reality being so incredibly off the expectation because certain assumptions were made that did not come to fruition with different voting blocks and voters in general. It wasn't just Florida in that regard either, we definitely saw a similar break in Texas, and then we also saw how close Arizona came after early returns looked better. Then we really saw how crazy things went in like Maine too with the Senate race up there. Jared Golden managed to win re-election, but the 2nd Congressional District broke hard for Trump and Susan Collins.
I just think making any assertions with the early data is unhelpful after the year we've seen so far from elections.