I wish he'd asked the follow-up question: "Why do you like Trump then if you can't remember anything he did?"
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US Politics | OT 4 | Don't Complain, DO SOMETHING
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I wish he'd asked the follow-up question: "Why do you like Trump then if you can't remember anything he did?"
Quinn still is which along with doing alot of stuff the polling industry has moved on from.
I was getting a increased number of scam likely calls and it was getting to annoy me, but then I remembered someone in this thread saying pollsters might be under these spam/scam numbers so i decided to answer and it was indeed a woman asking if I was voting yes on 3(abortion ban thing in Missouri) and if I planned to early vote on the 22nd. I normally just don't answer these just out of instinct, God knows how many people my age does this.
As much as we talk about how Republicans have a woman problem, Democrats absolutely have a male problem as well and I really worry that Trump's barnstorming of the maleverse podcast circuit and really targeting young men through UFC appearances/DeChambeau YouTube appearances and stuff like that is going to activate a lot of these voters.
A lot of what the electorate is sorting about is how they think gender and gender roles should order society. It's not just about policy — I feel like you're seeing a "you're not a real man if you don't vote for Trump" type stuff, which could be very potent. This is the type of stuff that keeps me up at night.
It's crazy how most of this interview consists of the hosts force laughing and trying to hold his hand on topics.
Georgia passes 1 million early voting mark
More than 1 million Georgia voters have already cast ballots as the state remains a focus of one of the closest presidential contests in recent memory.
It's definitely going to be women who tip the scales. This is their election, until Roe is codified they're coming out in force and even then they still will.
I guess that's the last line of defense for Trump supporters these days.
Can't win/persuade on policy, character, fitness, mental acuity, record, foreign relations and charisma.
So the only thing Trump has going for him is that he has a dick and balls between his legs and lacks melanin in his skin.
Kamala Harris has won over 60% of undecided voters in past month: poll
Undecided voters who chose who they would vote for in the past week and month broke for Harris, according to the poll.
www.newsweek.com
Kamala Harris has won over 60% of undecided voters in past month: poll
Undecided voters who chose who they would vote for in the past week and month broke for Harris, according to the poll.
Some good numbers here for sure.
I mean yeah — that's why she's only 2.5% ahead in the PV and he had a 50/50 shot to win.
What the hell…
www.newsweek.com
That seems crazy illegal
Elon Musk Offers Pennsylvania Voters $100 Each As He Drums Up Trump Support
Elon Musk offers Pennsylvania voters $100 each as he drums up Trump support
Elon Musk is offering $100 to registered voters in Pennsylvania to sign a pro-Donald Trump petition "in support of free speech" and the "right to bear arms."
www.newsweek.com
That seems crazy illegal
Here's a proper analysis from Mike Madrid from October 13th.
The economy is apparently the biggest factor for Latinos right now. Not the threat of deporatation. Because not having food on the table is a "now" problem, while unlawful deportation is a bridge to be crossed (no pun intended) later.
View: https://x.com/madrid_mike/status/1845560283022111015
Fair enough! I still think she has a slight edge but if there's one thing I've been repeating myself on lately it's that no one's feeling is gonna be objectively indicative of a dang thing so we'll see, haha.
Ahhh okay. I don't think that's how things work at all but we're allowed to disagree!
Georgia passes 1 million early voting mark
More than 1 million Georgia voters have already cast ballots as the state remains a focus of one of the closest presidential contests in recent memory.www.ajc.com
and the tweets showing its bad for Harris
Tough road to hoe. Feels like it's a stalemate. I don't see how disappointment with Dems letting them down leads to voting in the guy that might give you a few more meals before he kicks your ass out. Seems like neither party has the answer.
It's not. He's technically offering them $100 to sign the petition, not $100 to register or vote for TrumpWhat the hell…Elon Musk Offers Pennsylvania Voters $100 Each As He Drums Up Trump Support
Elon Musk offers Pennsylvania voters $100 each as he drums up Trump support
Elon Musk is offering $100 to registered voters in Pennsylvania to sign a pro-Donald Trump petition "in support of free speech" and the "right to bear arms."
That seems crazy illegal
Trump is doing better than he was a few weeks ago but it's still a total coin flip of an election - the dynamics haven't really changed at all imo.
Democrats do have a big male problem. It's not uncommon in progressive spaces. Whenever talk of young men struggling is brought up it gets shouted down as if it's a zero sum game.
I've even seen glee in progressive spaces about young men not coupling up or graduating college.
Weirdly I think a female candidate is better poised to address this in terms of optics.
One thing that bothers me for years, maybe someone can answer this:
The big problem in the USA is the electoral voting system, where not the candidate with the most vote wins, but the candidate who wins most states, basically invalidating millions of votes. WHY did the Biden-government not use its time and try to change this system? Change it so that the candidate that is voted by most people is the winner.
The big problem in the USA is the electoral voting system, where not the candidate with the most vote wins, but the candidate who wins most states, basically invalidating millions of votes. WHY did the Biden-government not use its time and try to change this system? Change it so that the candidate that is voted by most people is the winner.
That would require a constitutional amendment, which in turn requires a congressional supermajority that neither party will likely ever attain in our lifetimes.
If only it were that easy. Trust me, a LOT of people want that.
That would require fundamental changes to the constitution, and you'd need like, the entire government on board with it.
The Electoral College is in the constitution, so changing that is going to be essentially impossible.
I can kinda understand how the GOP as a while might make some gains with minority demographics. I think it's self-destructive, but I can at least conceptualize the existence of the fuck you got mine mindset.
But moving toward specifically supporting Trump? Fucking what? How? Why? What's wrong with you?
But moving toward specifically supporting Trump? Fucking what? How? Why? What's wrong with you?
Kamala Harris has won over 60% of undecided voters in past month: poll
Undecided voters who chose who they would vote for in the past week and month broke for Harris, according to the poll.
Something something reverse 2016
Requires a constitutional amendment and thus you need a lot of Republican support in congress for it which is basically impossible since getting even 60% of vote in the House and Senate is so difficult. Constitutional amendment requires 2/3rd super majority which in today's day and age is impossible for anything but the most obvious no brainer changes.
That said if somehow Trump wins popular vote and loses electoral college narrowly then you can be damn sure the GOP will push to change it.
It would have to be done by constitutional amendment, a functionally impossible process in 2024.
Can someone explain the context of Kamala telling someone they are at the wrong rally and it blowing up?
Or is this another nothing that's being desperately tried to be made into a something.
Or is this another nothing that's being desperately tried to be made into a something.
VoteHub only adds A/B rated pollsters...but to be honest the averages really aren't that much better. Yes, junk polls influence the margins...but not much. And they are just that *margins*. It's a razor thin race no matter which pollster or aggregator you look at. Some have Trump up, some have her up...but even if they all had Trump up it's still just coin flip territory.
Some anti abortion protesters showed up to one of her rally's and she said they were probably at the wrong one and probably meant to attend the smaller rally down the road.
This is a huge undertaking and not something the President can do and would require amendments to the constitution that would need to be both approved by congress and ratified by the 3/4ths of the states.
If you're feeling bad vibes about the election, I get it, but I think whatever bad news or things you're hearing that are making you nervous are being amplified by rightwing trolls and bots on social media, and bad faith actors from various outlets who want you to click their article for the ad revenue. Cut through that and it's clear as day that we have the momentum.
Within the past few days we've had some disastrous Trump interviews, some very good Harris Q&As, strong polling from women and independents, some media outlets FINALLY calling out Trump's mental and physical health, people holding his feet to the fire regarding January 6th, early voting breaking records in multiple states...
Don't pay attention to anything that you haven't seen with your own eyes. Don't worry about the Nate Silvers of the world who are profiting from the horse race.
We are in a good place right now. Phone bank if you can. Canvass if you can. Join in on the positive vibes and ride the wave for another two weeks.
Within the past few days we've had some disastrous Trump interviews, some very good Harris Q&As, strong polling from women and independents, some media outlets FINALLY calling out Trump's mental and physical health, people holding his feet to the fire regarding January 6th, early voting breaking records in multiple states...
Don't pay attention to anything that you haven't seen with your own eyes. Don't worry about the Nate Silvers of the world who are profiting from the horse race.
We are in a good place right now. Phone bank if you can. Canvass if you can. Join in on the positive vibes and ride the wave for another two weeks.
iirc the group that she was telling that to were anti-abortion protestors and she was saying that they should go to the Trump rally.
Looking at the Nate tweet he doesn't say Trump is surging. The averages are getting tighter, sure. But but 0.5% towards Trump is hardly a surge and doesn't change the MOE much. The race remains a 50/50 tossup based on forecasts and aggregates and I don't see anyone arguing otherwise.
If averages were suddenly jumping 2 percent or more in Trump's favor like they were after the Biden debate then there would be a cause for concern. But they aren't.
Not sure what you mean by "blowing up", but Kamala responded to anti-abortion protestors at one of her rallies the other day by telling them they're at the wrong rally and to go attend the smaller one (for Trump) down the street.
When we talk about momentum, this is momentum. She is putting herself out there while Trump hides away on podcasts and fox news...and it seems to be playing well.Kamala Harris has won over 60% of undecided voters in past month: poll
Undecided voters who chose who they would vote for in the past week and month broke for Harris, according to the poll.
There are plenty of baked in voters on each side, but when it shows her gaining independents the past couple weeks at clips like this, that is why we say ignore the aggregates and just turn up to vote.
A lot of countries struggle with a solution to this. Say for example Ireland. Should the residents of Dublin control the entire country? The bigger solution is having more than 2 parties.