US PoliEra 2020 |OT4| Disaster Voltron
- Thread starter Ogodei
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So much of what Trump has said in these press conferences will be used in ads as the death toll continues to rise and the hospital crisis looms. Give it a week or two
Biden has been overperforming Hillary in the primaries by large margins so him winning over 65s isn't actually absurd.
I made my 52% Biden - 46% Trump - 2 % third parties prediction months ago, and I'll stick with it.
House Democrats will outrun Biden because of incumbency and ticket splitting, winning the generic vote by 6.5 - 8%.
We win CO, AZ, ME, NC Senate seats with a good shot at a few others.
House Democrats will outrun Biden because of incumbency and ticket splitting, winning the generic vote by 6.5 - 8%.
We win CO, AZ, ME, NC Senate seats with a good shot at a few others.
Sure, but:
Biden is a white man, not a woman, and Trump is president and fucking everything up, not "imagine that he'll be whatever version of a Strong White Daddy (tm Autodidact) that you want him to be."
Haven't kept up with this thread since morning. Do you still have an appendix?
There's a good chance these numbers don't fluctuate much until election day with how things have been changing daily recently. Biden's big lead is baked in and it will be hard for trump to reduce it significantly now that he is a known quantity.
That poll is incredibly recent and I wonder if that "maybe old people dying for the economy is fine" is moving that number
The only appeal Biden has to most of us here is "can beat Trump soundly and bring the Senate along with him."
To the general public who will likely shrug this story off unless there is video of him doing it, they think he's folksy or some shit? Whatever, I don't really get the general electorate's tastes (beyond "don't be too [x]" where "[x]" is a descriptor that lies outside of mainstream acceptable identity or behavior).
All very bizarre. The hesitancy of so many people to touch this case, even those with a vested interest to do so, is only going to muddy the waters further.
Hah, that's my old hometown district.
Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.
Also determined to make the case for all other 'on the fence' states to not vote for him, who wants 'that' kind of insecurity in a time of crisis of whether someone kisses his ass or they lose life saving support because of a single official.
Yeah, my hold up on Warren is the prospects of 2024. We need a VP (if they end up running) who can stave off the young white male bench the GOP is about to put up.
It's absolutely insane that he was continually pivoting to "I WANT TO SELL VENTILATORS TO OTHER COUNTRIES!", shortly after both saying the cost was no object and that the GM deal initially fell through due to price.
Starting in August put this in an Ad and run this in Michigan 24/7.
This is LITERALLY what Adam Schiff predicted two months ago.
That would probably rule out anyone who ran this year, then.
I have zero faith in any of them to win in 2024.
Tbh i'd be scared going into a Warren vs. any of those people election. Besides Don Jr. He sucks.
Miss Haley probably blows out Warren too.
As you've said, she'd be formidable if she could teleport to the general election.
But I can't see her winning their white supremacist base in the primary.
She'll definitely get VP though right? Trump / Haley would've been scary tbh. But maybe Pence was better for that moment.
Imagine being a GOP hobby pundit and thinking women would vote for Signature Select Big Boss, lol.
Junior doesn't have the same charisma as his dad, so he won't be going anywhere. Same with Hawley...except for the dad part.
DeSantis? I guess. But he'll probably get lost in the shuffle.
Discount Venom Snake won't be going anywhere.
The moment the GOP puts up a competent woman our suburban strategy probably flies out the door. Good thing we're not close to that.
Maybe it's because they have so few, but every one of their female senators is clown shoes in some way except maybe Murkowski.
Desantis has a high chance of being tainted by flubbing Florida's response to Corona.
Dude's going to have to PR away mountains of dead old people who's deaths he caused
Jim Acosta on Twitter
“Social distancing? Not at the stimulus bill signing in the Oval Office.”twitter.com
I made a run to the liquor store today and there was better social distancing there.
It'll be hilarious when all the Republican misogynists vote for the Democratic candidate because of whatever sexist reasons they come up with.
The problem is that the surge numbers based on the back of Trump-not the GOP, but the actual person-are going to fall into pieces once he's out. It's not clear that the GOP can easily replicate that turnout -sort of like Democrats w/ the black vote and Obama or the Catholic vote w/ JFK.
And it's not like being a woman saved Comstock.
Not after he completely fucks up his state's coronavirus response we're not
Making predictions about 2020, much less 2024, until we see how COVID plays out is crazy to me. If the virus spreads nationally and he have thousands of elderly pass away like Italy and Spain its going to really hurt Trump with his base. If COVID comes back in the fall it could push the economy into a severe recession and who knows how that changes people's view of the government?
It's pretty obvious who wants to run though. The actual outcomes are completely unknown though yes.
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