Said this months ago but i'd be shocked if there aren't ukrainian soldiers being trained on western tanks, airplanes, helicopters, AD and whatever else needs longer training just to be prepared for the eventuality of change in political decision making and the greenlight for delivery.So much smoke around these Patriots. I guess maybe some UAF staff has been getting the training all along.... but I'll believe it when I see it.
Wagner troops getting killed outside of Ukraine as well.
View: https://twitter.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1597471418958381057
View: https://twitter.com/jensstoltenberg/status/1597625481524019201
View: https://twitter.com/GresselGustav/status/1597614087915307008
People laughed about the German offering of Gepards because they just have "ammunition for 12min".
But i have to wonder from where new ammunition is coming.
They don't need to be competent soldiers if they stick to brutalizing civilians, POWs and their allies. There they just need to be cruel.They Call Chechyan troops tiktok battalion for a reason. They are basically show horses
I wonder if they'll announce a 2nd mobilization soon?Russians are expending all their energy in Donetsk and will grind out of bodies soon enough, unless we see a trend of momentum/strong gains by Russia, this is just a grinding war in Donetsk and Russia is still having massive losses
Russians are expending all their energy in Donetsk and will grind out of bodies soon enough, unless we see a trend of momentum/strong gains by Russia, this is just a grinding war in Donetsk and Russia is still having massive losses
Well, all the news coming out of Donetsk seems pretty bad at this point. Russia seems to be getting a handle on the Southern outskirts of Bakhmut after months of storming the city pointlessly and further down the line near Kurdyumivka it appears Russians are also regaining the initiative. Not to mention Avdiivka is just still in a really bad position with the pincer slowly forming towards it.
Like I said, I don't expect these places to fall quickly, but I think there's an above average chance Russia is capable of enough force generation on the localized Donetsk line to regain the initiative and begin pushing further into the Western Oblast Ukraine still controls. Ukraine seems unfortunately a bit overdue to have to face their own losses again due to an increasingly difficult set of circumstances forced upon them and the fact wars are back and fourth in nature and around Donetsk/Luhansk we should expect more setbacks than other places given the relatively short GLOCS and supply routes relative to elsewhere in Ukraine.
I know people will complain about this sort of pessimism or alternatively do the victory lap of "me always getting things wrong" but in the post Kherson space we are seeing a slightly more effective, slightly more competent Russia capable of more things and engaging in even more brutal civilian infrastructure attacks that are pulling down on Ukraine's whole existence and war effort. This will be the time for Ukraine to face some really tough and harsh realities as they try to reconstitute themselves and figure out how to reset the offensive situation now that their own Northeastern offensive has finally slowed to a crawl and the greater West Bank campaign concluded with Kherson's liberation.
View: https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1597888002436796417
Europe will create an ciminal court for war crimes with backing from the UN, while also supporting the International Criminal Court.
Europe could, in the short term, use frozen Russian money (€300bln Russian Central Bank + €19bln Russian oligarchs) to invest into Ukraine.
View: https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1597888002436796417
Europe will create an ciminal court for war crimes with backing from the UN, while also supporting the International Criminal Court.
Europe could, in the short term, use frozen Russian money (€300bln Russian Central Bank + €19bln Russian oligarchs) to invest into Ukraine.
---------------------------------------------------
Today the German parliament will recognise the Holodomor as an genocide against the Ukrainian people carried out by the USSR.
The motion is submitted by the coalition (SPD/Greens/FDP) and the biggest opposition (CDU/CSU),
and will be supported with a huge majority.
Live at 6pm CET Parliament youtube
China does not need reassuring, they need to play by the rules like the rest of the worldProbably the only way you'll get reparations from Russia, so I'm happy they are doing it.
They're just gonna have to be careful to reassure China that this is an extraordinary circumstance, because China holds a lot of western currency.
Court for war crimes is also good. Don't let these fuckers feel safe anywhere outside Russia for the rest of their lives.
China does not need reassuring, they need to play by the rules like the rest of the world
Probably the only way you'll get reparations from Russia, so I'm happy they are doing it.
They're just gonna have to be careful to reassure China that this is an extraordinary circumstance, because China holds a lot of western currency.
Court for war crimes is also good. Don't let these fuckers feel safe anywhere outside Russia for the rest of their lives.
It seems like the factors favoring Ukraine remain the same or are accelerating (better trained troops, better morale, better equipment) while those hurting the Russians (less effectively trained troops, a major loss of viable equipment, terrible morale) are accelerating. It seems to me that those trends bode very well for Ukraine. The only reason that Russia seems to be having success in Bakhmut is that they're trying to use it as a moral victory and putting way more resources towards it than would make sense to military planners. If they take a few KMs while losing thousands of troops and a lot of equipment I'm not sure that it'd help them in their larger goals, particularly if Ukraine is able to instead push toward a more strategic goal elsewhere.Well, all the news coming out of Donetsk seems pretty bad at this point. Russia seems to be getting a handle on the Southern outskirts of Bakhmut after months of storming the city pointlessly and further down the line near Kurdyumivka it appears Russians are also regaining the initiative. Not to mention Avdiivka is just still in a really bad position with the pincer slowly forming towards it.
Like I said, I don't expect these places to fall quickly, but I think there's an above average chance Russia is capable of enough force generation on the localized Donetsk line to regain the initiative and begin pushing further into the Western Oblast Ukraine still controls. Ukraine seems unfortunately a bit overdue to have to face their own losses again due to an increasingly difficult set of circumstances forced upon them and the fact wars are back and fourth in nature and around Donetsk/Luhansk we should expect more setbacks than other places given the relatively short GLOCS and supply routes relative to elsewhere in Ukraine.
I know people will complain about this sort of pessimism or alternatively do the victory lap of "me always getting things wrong" but in the post Kherson space we are seeing a slightly more effective, slightly more competent Russia capable of more things and engaging in even more brutal civilian infrastructure attacks that are pulling down on Ukraine's whole existence and war effort. This will be the time for Ukraine to face some really tough and harsh realities as they try to reconstitute themselves and figure out how to reset the offensive situation now that their own Northeastern offensive has finally slowed to a crawl and the greater West Bank campaign concluded with Kherson's liberation.
I don't believe China will do anything against their own interest to support Russia.
I don't see how freezing "western" economical assets would be in Chinas interest.
Surely that might become a huge issue if China goes a path like Russia on their own.
China going a "Russia way" could be really bad for the "west".
It will lead to a huge economical pain in the whole world, it is something different then some missing gas and oil.
I meant more China deciding they can't trust western financial institutions not to suddenly seize their assets, and the repercussions of that. I don't think China are going to go out on any limbs to support Russia right now - if anything they seem to be slowly backing away.
View: https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1597947112985366528
It also states the deployment of HIMARS basically changed the state of the war in the east.
I recommend reading the article (paper authored by a Ukrainian lieutenant-general), but wow some of the info here is crazy.
View: https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1597947112985366528
It also states the deployment of HIMARS basically changed the state of the war in the east.
Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.
Russian forces made marginal gains around Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed. Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces made marginal advances southeast of Bakhmut but ISW remains unable to confirm most other claimed gains around Bakhmut made since November 27.[1] Some Russian milbloggers made unsubstantiated claims that Russian forces broke through the Ukrainian defensive line south of Bakhmut along the T0513 highway to advance towards Chasiv Yar, which would cut one of two remaining main Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Bakhmut, but such claims are likely part of a continuing Russian information operation and are premature, as ISW has previously assessed.[2] ISW continues to assess that the degraded Russian forces around Bakhmut are unlikely to place Bakhmut under threat of imminent encirclement rapidly.[3]
The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (MoD) reported on November 29 that Russian forces have likely stopped deploying battalion tactical groups (BTGs) in the past three months.[4] The UK MoD stated that the BTGs' relatively low allocation of infantry, decentralized distribution of artillery, and the limited independence of BTG decision-making hindered their success in Ukraine.[5] ISW assessed starting in April that Russian BTGs were degraded in various failed or culminated Russian offensives, including the attacks on Kyiv, Mariupol, Severodonetsk, and Lysychansk, and later efforts to reconstitute these BTGs to restore their combat power have failed.[6] Russian forces have likely since thrown their remaining combat power and new personnel, including mobilized personnel, into poorly trained, equipped, and organized ad hoc structures with low morale and discipline.[7] The structure of BTGs and the way the Russian military formed them by breaking up doctrinal battalions, regiments, and brigades likely deprived the Russians of the ability to revert to doctrinal organizations, as ISW has previously assessed, so that the Russians must now rely on ad-hoc structures with mobilized personnel.[8]
Key Takeaways
- Russian forces made marginal gains around Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed.
- The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (MoD) reported that Russian forces have likely stopped deploying battalion tactical groups (BTGs) in the past three months, supporting ISW's prior assessments.
- Russian forces continued to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations around Svatove as Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations around Svatove and Kreminna.
- Russian forces continued limited ground attacks west of Kreminna to regain lost positions.
- Russian forces conducted ground attacks near Siversk and Avdiivka, and in western Donetsk Oblast.
- Russian forces continued strengthening defensive positions in eastern Kherson Oblast as Ukrainian forces continued striking Russian force concentrations in southern Ukraine.
- Russian forces continued to struggle with outdated equipment and domestic personnel shortages amid official actions indicative of a probable second wave of mobilization.
- An independent investigation found that Russia may have transported thousands of Ukrainian prisoners from penal colonies in occupied Ukraine to Russia following the withdrawal from the west bank of Kherson Oblast.
View: https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1597888002436796417
Europe will create an ciminal court for war crimes with backing from the UN, while also supporting the International Criminal Court.
Europe could, in the short term, use frozen Russian money (€300bln Russian Central Bank + €19bln Russian oligarchs) to invest into Ukraine.
---------------------------------------------------
Today the German parliament will recognise the Holodomor as an genocide against the Ukrainian people carried out by the USSR.
The motion is submitted by the coalition (SPD/Greens/FDP) and the biggest opposition (CDU/CSU),
and will be supported with a huge majority.
Live at 6pm CET Parliament youtube
That's basically been the big argument about the Holodomor as an academic subject for decades. There's a couple differing flavours, but the boiler plate answers are:I admittedly don't know a whole lot about the region but this is one of the first times that I've read that the Holodomor was intentional or even genocide. Is this the consensus? If it is, it makes the entire event so much worse.
I admittedly don't know a whole lot about the region but this is one of the first times that I've read that the Holodomor was intentional or even genocide. Is this the consensus? If it is, it makes the entire event so much worse.
At some point untrained troops will become dominant and thus largely exhaust Russia's offensive potential. But then that still creates a difficult situation for Ukraine in trying to break defensive lines where the less trained mobilized troops are going to be much more effective defenders than offensive players simply by the nature of how defense works.
Interesting (and part of a long chain of tragedy). Thanks for laying that out.That's basically been the big argument about the Holodomor as an academic subject for decades. There's a couple differing flavours, but the boiler plate answers are:
A) The Soviet Union at large was suffering famine in the late 30s, particularly on frontier republics, and so the Holodomor is merely a regional reflection of that
B) While the Holodomor was specific to Ukraine, it wasn't done with motive towards the Ukrainian people, as it was they - particularly Kulaks - were the acceptable collateral of Stalin's grain control policies. Whether or not this is genocide is then a secondary argument
C) The holodomor was done with knowing, if not deliberate, understanding of its impact upon the Ukrainian population, especially the kulaks, and is thus genocide
Plug the term into Jstor and you'll find a smattering of samples
Edit: I would say that B has for a while been the most likely position you would see people take, but the last decade or so has seen a distinct shift towards its recognition as a genocide, if not an outright embrace of C - the war has very much accelerated that
Interesting (and part of a long chain of tragedy). Thanks for laying that out.
As your quote mentions the grain was also exported to other countries to make money to purchase machinery. The USSR being a net exporter of food during a famine was a political decision.I just know that the USSR collected the grain from Ukrainian lands to feed mostly other regions, while some Ukrainians were denied to leave their region.
That's basically been the big argument about the Holodomor as an academic subject for decades. There's a couple differing flavours, but the boiler plate answers are:
A) The Soviet Union at large was suffering famine in the early 30s, particularly on frontier republics, and so the Holodomor is merely a regional reflection of that
B) While the Holodomor was specific to Ukraine, it wasn't done with motive towards the Ukrainian people, as it was they - particularly Kulaks - were the acceptable collateral of Stalin's grain control policies. Whether or not this is genocide is then a secondary argument
C) The holodomor was done with knowing, if not deliberate, understanding of its impact upon the Ukrainian population, especially the kulaks, and is thus genocide
Plug the term into Jstor and you'll find a smattering of samples
Edit: I would say that B has for a while been the most likely position you would see people take, but the last decade or so has seen a distinct shift towards its recognition as a genocide, if not an outright embrace of C - the war has very much accelerated that
Interesting (and part of a long chain of tragedy). Thanks for laying that out.
Thanks for the context, pretty damning arguments. Sad to see that rounding up fleeing Ukrainian children and (an almost gleeful) crushing of non-Russian culture continues to be a recurring theme in Russia-Ukrainian history. Oh and crimes against grain, too. And the blaming of Ukrainian nationalists for Soviet/Russian failures. huh :/The portions of Snyder's "Bloodlands" that are dedicated to the Holodomor raise several points that separate the Ukrainian famine from the chain of famines that occurred in other regions- only some of which were linked to collectivization.
1) First and foremost, Ukraine did not suffer from a bad harvest, as was the case in the Volga region. The subsequent famine in Kuban was also linked to collectivization/requisitions and (shock) mostly affected the agrarian districts with a heavy Ukrainian-speaking population. Prior to the Civil War, the Kuban Oblast (modern day Krasnodar Krai) had a mixed population with a slight Ukrainian-speaking majority- especially pronounced in the western NW part of the region, around the Azov Sea and the N bank of the Kuban' River. Now Ukrainians are a demographic footnote, and Ukrainian is taught in Krasnodar University as "balachka", which is described as a " Cossack South Russian dialect". But since we don't talk about territorial claims, the disappearance/assimilation the millions of Ukrainians on the other side of the UkrSSR's border is typically something swept under the rug.
2) The order for draconic requisition quotas was a response to previous acts of mass sabotage and protests by land-owning peasants. This was accompanied by the mass hysteria about "Polish agents" and a witch hunt against such agents and their Ukrainian nationalist underlings. These were blamed for the poor results that led to increased quotas.
3) The measures against the Ukrainian peasantry coincided with the abrupt ending of the policy of Korenizatsiya - aka, "nativization" where during the NEP years, Bolsheviks promoted local ethnic minority personnel to senior party positions within national republics/autonomous republics/oblasts/okrugs and promoted local languages and culture, as long as they were "ideologically appropriate". The flowering of Ukrainian culture that was described as the "executed Renaissance" was abruptly ended. Most of the prominent Ukrainian Bolshevik authors, artists, playwrights were arrested and executed. Mykola Skrypnyk, the National Bolshevik Commissar in charge of education (and the author of the alphabet) was accused of treason and shot himself rather than be arrested; Ukrainian bandurists- travelling minstrels playing the Kobza and Bandura, traditional Cossack instruments, who were repositories of many oral folklore traditions were rounded up for a "congress" in Kharkiv and then executed;
4) In addition to simply carrying out excess requisition, Stalin also took insane measures to cover up his crime/negligence/oversight. The orders that permitted peasants to leave their villages (that had no food), as well as specific measures to round up escaped children in the cities - and send them back to the villages to starve make this more than "just" criminal negligence.
Fun fact: the man who came up with the legal concept of genocide was a Jew born and raised in L'viv. He had first-hand experiences speaking with the Holodomor survivors who made it west of Zbruch into Poland, and it were these descriptions of deliberate and targeted extermination that first drove him to come up with the concept. In the aftermath of WW2, when the definition was to be codified, it originally intended to include economic class as a group criteria. But Stalin insisted that this be included, and the Allies agreed. Three guesses as to why Stalin was so keen on that?
Woah they exported grain in a famine?? :/As your quote mentions the grain was also exported to other countries to make money to purchase machinery. The USSR being a net exporter of food during a famine was a political decision.
I think that this video does a good job explaining what happened https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dy7Mrqy1AY
These billionaires aholes always need more moneyBad news for Ukrainians, is it war profiteering? Elon Musk needs money since Twitter has decreased revenues.
Comrade Musk is too busy unbanning Q turds and white supremacists
As your quote mentions the grain was also exported to other countries to make money to purchase machinery. The USSR being a net exporter of food during a famine was a political decision.
I think that this video does a good job explaining what happened https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dy7Mrqy1AY
First threat of twitter ban in the EU, which may have an effect on some of our favorites such as wartranslated. Sure some may use VPN's and similar but it is going to be the beginning of the end using Twitter as a source.
EU warns Musk that Twitter faces ban over content moderation -FT
The European Union has threatened Elon Musk's Twitter with a ban unless the billionaire abides by its strict rules on content moderation, setting up a regulatory battle over the future of the social media platform, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday.www.reuters.com
True, but it also isn't clear if that means Jan 1st or Dec 31st, but I'd imagine sooner or later if content gets extreme quickly. However, you could also see Elon do something more drastic and say, fine we're leaving even earlier based on his latest responses to other issues.That independent audit has to be done "by next year" so whatever happens; this will take a while.
Lets see iuf the coward accepts
View: https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1598044444070072321