I'm glad to see people still have no idea what a monopoly is as defined by the Clayton Act, the Sherman Act, and the HHI. I'm also glad to see that people don't know that there are instances where one cannot argue a monopoly such as owning IPs. You cannot have a monopoly on IPs by the very definition of the word.
This is a preemptive preparation by Roberts and CMCSA if the T/TWX merger goes through with few to no concessions next month. I honestly feel CMCSA would have won the original all stock bid if they had given in and offered a 2.5B breakup fee if regulators blocked the deal like Disney did. Their bid was 16% higher. I feel CMCSA will have to have an even higher bid if it's all cash (and not stock like FOX's board wanted from Disney. Remember, Disney originally had a mostly cash offer that was rejected).
The scenario could play out like this, Judge Leon approves the T/TWX deal with no concessions next month, Roberts and the board offer a ~25-30% premium over Disney's offer for FOX with a 2.5B break up fee. They will also have to offer to pay Fox's 1.5B break up fee to Disney. Under such a hypothetical offer, I don't see how Fox's shareholders don't change their mind like Sky shareholders did.
Me personally, I would have to take a look at the offer. Comcast has a fiduciary duty to their shareholders and I'm a little iffy on the logistics of this offer they might be cooking up. Depending on what the offer is I'll sell my CMCSA shares. If the offer is something like the above, I'll use my 0,00001% voting rights in FOX to vote for CMCSA's offer because I put my money in the stock market to make money. The fan in me though would prefer Disney to get it.
That's literally showing Marvel + DC != 91% in retail or dollar marketshare in the comic book market. It wouldn't really matter if they did in this day and age though.
Not even close. And it goes back together to people not knowing what a monopoly is as defined by the law.
Warner Brothers has been an afterthought in this deal. Any divestment required will be Tuner and/or HBO. ATT will be able to purchase WB without a problem.
This is a preemptive preparation by Roberts and CMCSA if the T/TWX merger goes through with few to no concessions next month. I honestly feel CMCSA would have won the original all stock bid if they had given in and offered a 2.5B breakup fee if regulators blocked the deal like Disney did. Their bid was 16% higher. I feel CMCSA will have to have an even higher bid if it's all cash (and not stock like FOX's board wanted from Disney. Remember, Disney originally had a mostly cash offer that was rejected).
The scenario could play out like this, Judge Leon approves the T/TWX deal with no concessions next month, Roberts and the board offer a ~25-30% premium over Disney's offer for FOX with a 2.5B break up fee. They will also have to offer to pay Fox's 1.5B break up fee to Disney. Under such a hypothetical offer, I don't see how Fox's shareholders don't change their mind like Sky shareholders did.
Me personally, I would have to take a look at the offer. Comcast has a fiduciary duty to their shareholders and I'm a little iffy on the logistics of this offer they might be cooking up. Depending on what the offer is I'll sell my CMCSA shares. If the offer is something like the above, I'll use my 0,00001% voting rights in FOX to vote for CMCSA's offer because I put my money in the stock market to make money. The fan in me though would prefer Disney to get it.
That's literally showing Marvel + DC != 91% in retail or dollar marketshare in the comic book market. It wouldn't really matter if they did in this day and age though.
People act like the guy who comes late to install your cable box and charges you $35 is going to be calling the creative shots at Fox.
I don't see either being ideal though. Wouldn't Disney control like 90% of the box office? They've already made Star Wars into some annoying non-stop property.
Not even close. And it goes back together to people not knowing what a monopoly is as defined by the law.
This was posted back in May 2nd and basically broke what was announced "exclusively" by Reuters:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/comcast-ceo-wants-fox-assets-disney-is-purchasing-gasparino
Basically, this seems almost like Comcast is forcing the judge's hand to NOT approve Time Warner's deal as is. This might mean something even crazier here, so I will throw an wild guess. It makes no sense for Comcast to announce this NOW. It sort of presses the judge on the AT&T WB deal to oppose sanctions to avoid big monopolies. What if... what if that's what Comcast is actually aiming for?
Let me explain: one of the alternatives that could happen with the WB and AT&T deal is that the judge rules that WB is too big as it is and it needs to be sold in parts. What if Comcast is forcing the hand of the judge so a compromise like that is made and they give up on 21st Century Fox but go all in for WB Pictures and DC Comics, for example? That's probably non-sense, but Comcast announcing this NOW and not after the ruling is done seems like almost they are playing a different game here and not actually going for 21st Century Fox.
Warner Brothers has been an afterthought in this deal. Any divestment required will be Tuner and/or HBO. ATT will be able to purchase WB without a problem.