Hillary Clinton @HillaryClintonPlease do not take medical advice from a man who looked directly at a solar eclipse.
12:03 PM - Mar 24, 2020
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT4| Disaster Voltron
- Thread starter Ogodei
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12:03 PM - Mar 24, 2020
Long-time lurker, (maybe?) first time poster. Here in Arkansas we hit 200 cases yesterday, and 30+ of those stem from a church in a rural town of about 900 residents. There's already been some closings and consolidations of hospitals before this, but we are going to see some terrible numbers because our governor is hesitant to shut down anything more than restaurants, bars, and salons.
And about the same chance of winning.
YAAAAAAS Queen.
Hot take: if given the opportunity, Schumer will probably be fine as Majority Leader.
Note that I said "fine." I don't say "great." He will very likely come up short in some important regards. But I think most of the time when people complain about him, it ignores that he (and the rest of the caucus) basically has zero leverage outside of the filibuster.
The fact that Mnuchin is going to him to hash this out and not even bothering with McConnell is pretty significant.
If Schumer even gets a bare majority and is able to kill the filibuster, that opens the floodgates for a ton of progressive legislation, even acknowledging the more conservative members of the caucus. Looking at the first ten HR bills for example, it's hard to see like, Manchin being a hard vote on most of them. Maybe the bill rejoining the Paris Accord.
PA testing is nowhere near sufficient. The numbers aren't reflective of where we believe the infection rates to be, and i'm speaking from a position to know, here.
That being said, the other poster is correct. PA's population is EXTREMELY low density outside of the 5 county Philadelphia area and allegheny county, and there's very little tourism in February/March.
NJ is in terrible shape because north jersey is high density NY metro (which is catastrophic right now) while the PA/NY border is vast stretches of nothing.
Louisiana seems to be in horrible shape because of mardi gras, and FL refused to shut down spring break tourism.
With Cuomo's presser today, I don't see how NY sticks to April 28. Too many people won't be able to vote by then.
I don't have the words to describe how low my opinion of Bernie is becoming.
This should hopefully end their stupid machine politics 3-separate-day primaries. (that were backfiring anyway)
If only that fucking aide hadn't told him to stop, we'd be witnessing a blind Trump trying to convince everyone that he wasn't.
Or there are some that remember Hillary losing 2016 with a similarly small national vote lead.
Biden outperforming Hillary in swing states and counties is good, and a more positive (and more meaningful) number than the top-line 48-45 split. But if you were just looking at that top-line number, it's not unreasonable to be concerned about that narrow of a lead given the geographic EC challenges Dems face, and it's not reasonable to immediately handwave those concern away as bedwetting or overdone pessimism. It is just one poll, and the national vote difference isn't as important as the swing state numbers, but a 3-point lead where Biden is still under 50 is not immediately confidence inspiring either.
Reminder that she's a TERF and should be banished from public life.
We're also, like, in the middle of a crisis where an incumbent shouldn't be trailing at all, and where he's still underperforming his approval (46/48 in the Monmouth poll, largely because of 11% of Democrats being goofy). This should be Trump's high point and our low point, and if this is his high point...
Those NC numbers are goddamn dire for the GOP and Tillis especially the longer Burr stays in
Also
Rally around the flag effect is real for governors but not for Trump
Also
B/C pollster
Rally around the flag effect is real for governors but not for Trump
I think what was trying to communicate there is that as their need diminished he wouldn't let them fall into some bureaucratic crack but would instead personally make sure they left the state in a timely manner.
Rachel Bitecofer released her post-primary Electoral College projection:
Praise be Bitecofer
Projected Democratic vote share in the Lean/Likely/Tossup states:
Minnesota - 55.24%
New Hampshire - 53.9%
Michigan - 53.24%
Nevada - 52.96%
Pennsylvania - 52.47%
Florida - 51.68%
Wisconsin - 51.61%
Nebraska's 2nd - 51.31%
North Carolina - 50.57%
Iowa - 49.59%
Ohio - 49.06%
Georgia - 48.88%
Arizona - 48.71%
Maine's 2nd - 48.26%
Texas - 46.16%
Montana - 42.42%
Praise be Bitecofer
Projected Democratic vote share in the Lean/Likely/Tossup states:
Minnesota - 55.24%
New Hampshire - 53.9%
Michigan - 53.24%
Nevada - 52.96%
Pennsylvania - 52.47%
Florida - 51.68%
Wisconsin - 51.61%
Nebraska's 2nd - 51.31%
North Carolina - 50.57%
Iowa - 49.59%
Ohio - 49.06%
Georgia - 48.88%
Arizona - 48.71%
Maine's 2nd - 48.26%
Texas - 46.16%
Montana - 42.42%
Yes, she's such a terf that she was the first SecState to allow trans people (like myself) to change our gender marker on passports.
People with bad ideas can occasionally do good things. (I'm trans too)
Those swing county numbers are fantastic for Biden.
Because she's done an incredible job so far. Love my Gov.
Because she's done an incredible job so far. Love my Gov.
Good people can occasionally do dumb things, too. I like to balance people's actions with their words, to decide their character, rather than just taking the last thing they said, and claiming it's the entireity of their world view. Unless it's trump, cause fuck that shitbag.
She has the potential to become very famous.
Iowa is a stretch. Those DMR polls were awful for Dems. Maybe they hold a grudge for Democrats ruining their stupid caucus process.
OK after Hillary is banished from public life, can we discuss this new phenomenon of like so many undecided? I guess it's still early so that's not the end of the world. But if this is like last time I will have 0 faith in this process. We can't see 45-42 with 8% republicans being all "lol i dunno i guess racism is ok but dont tell anyone" undecideds.
Also I love Rachel Bitecofer but why is she so confident in Wisconsin? That is scary city.
Also I love Rachel Bitecofer but why is she so confident in Wisconsin? That is scary city.
This fucking guy.
If we win 100% of the delegates in New York we'll be in the lead!
Love how stupid people are. That being said I think that polls will shift once economic damage is clear/Trump literally sends people out to die.
salty about not getting that toxic GOP bill I guess.
And this is supposed to be his high point before it all crashes down.
How do you reconcile these though? Is it that his approval comes down after people realize how bad it is or is it that they never attribute credit to the actual people working on the bill?
This is simply incomprehensible to me. These people have some sort of brain rot.
How anyone that isn't a Fox News watching psycho can tune into something like yesterday's press conference and think "yeah, this guy is doing a good job" is inconceivable.
Who are these dumbasses? Many of them Democrats, too!
So Schumer hyped up the unemployment package a little too much. This is still massively better than the status quo.
I think Biden will do better in Ohio than I think he will in Iowa. He won't win either unless the shit really hits the fan and those Fed projections are completely accurate.
So is the House not even going to vote on their bill? Pelosi on CNN sounds like it is just a messaging exercise to get some changes in the Senate bill (which really shouldn't be the base for negotiation) and they want it passed unanimously (consent or voice vote)
Would much rather have gone into conference because the Senate bill sucks (with today's changes)
Would much rather have gone into conference because the Senate bill sucks (with today's changes)
Why do I have the sinking feeling, the House bill will pass both chambers and this fucker won't sign it?
I don't think the house is currently in session as a measure to protect the house members. A bill can only pass with unanimous consents otherwise they have to bring everyone in
Oh there's no way. People are calling these "Trumpbux." If he vetoes anything giving people free money any good will he's got during this crisis evaporates.
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