Those morons who think mail voting is fraught with fraud - all it tells me that if you repeat something untrue often enough, people will believe it.
Trump's overall job approval rating is 39% in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates – down 9 points in the course of the pandemic, with disapproval up 11. Trump remains the first president in modern polling never to achieve majority approval for his work in office, with the lowest career average on record.
Pls save your outrage
The democrats in this state have become a non entity
Calloway has gotten no ad whatsoever
No national democrats care about missouri
I can only hope pollsters aren't all poll chasing like what happened in the Australian election where pollsters didn't want to show themselves as the outlier.
That being said, everything Trump has done has been obviously wrong. Not even defensibly wrong because you made the wrong decision based off incomplete information or someone fucked up hard but 100% the opposite of what you should be doing. Even the random fed presence in Portland is spooking even moderate conservatives because the idea of unmarked feds running around nabbing people off the street is legitimately terrifying. The only people who think this is cool and normal are qanon type idiots.
A presidential race hasn't been decided by double digits since Regan in 84. No ones going looking for numbers like that. It is possible that pollsters are still undercounting whites without a college degree but that would only shift the results by a point or two.
Yes this is encouraging. Great to see him into the 50s and well into 50s in this case.
I'm still iffy on polls this far out. It's probably the PTSD from 2016 (Hillary also had double digit polling lead in summer in some polls). A percentage of ashamed republicans will crawl back to the master, we just dont know how much.
I'm still iffy on polls this far out. It's probably the PTSD from 2016 (Hillary also had double digit polling lead in summer in some polls). A percentage of ashamed republicans will crawl back to the master, we just dont know how much.
Enough to erase a 15% lead?I'm still iffy on polls this far out. It's probably the PTSD from 2016 (Hillary also had double digit polling lead in summer in some polls). A percentage of ashamed republicans will crawl back to the master, we just dont know how much.
This time 4 years ago, Trump was actually up like .5% in the polling average. Hillary all through out had trouble breaking the upper 40s all election.I'm still iffy on polls this far out. It's probably the PTSD from 2016 (Hillary also had double digit polling lead in summer in some polls). A percentage of ashamed republicans will crawl back to the master, we just dont know how much.
Hillary did poll double digits from some reputable outfits even in october. But there were so many shitty unnecessary media carnivals with her which I dont see happening with Biden. I understand that Biden's lead is looking more baked in because of how awful Trump has been.Not even close to comparable. Hillary was leading but the margin was much smaller and their were more undecideds.
Tightening assumes those voters come back.You never know. Things will tighten the closer we get to November, and the way the EC is structured gives Trump an inherent 4-5 point edge.
Makes me wonder if Biden will do more to attract Latinx voters. IIRC he's slightly behind where Hillary was at this point.
The numbers are undoubtedly better for Biden than they were for Hillary. He's more likeable, more trusted, he regularly crosses into the 50's, and there's less undecideds.
Still, I mostly am just focusing on the severity of the pandemic here. That dictates everything right now. If there's a sustained 50,000+ daily cases in September and October, Trump has no chance. If there's some miracle and the cases drop to 20,000 or so and stay there by the start of September, he can spin some kind of turnaround narrative. I doubt that would even be enough to save him, but Trump would have some small chance, enough to worry me.
If they don't have an airtight case showing serious wrongdoing, I would think that would backfire big league.Thoughts on Barr and Trump's, "October Surprise," is a federal arrest or indictment of Hunter Biden?
Barr has kinda lost whatever credibility he had especially after the hearings last week. If he comes out with an October surprise, it will be seen as a clear political attack by a Trump stooge. Also really hard to drown out 200k dead Americans by October by cheap stunt fuckery. Bill Barr opens criminal investigation into Hunter Biden. Who cares. We don't have enough morgues and cemeteries to hold all the dead.Thoughts on Barr and Trump's, "October Surprise," is a federal arrest or indictment of Hunter Biden?
One final time for Collins to express concern without actually saying or doing anything meaningful.Honestly them trying to arrest either Hunter or trumped up charges on Biden is likely to hurt him even more.
So I expect it.
If they don't have an airtight case showing serious wrongdoing, I would think that would backfire big league.
Who gives a fuck? No one will care what Trump's toady will manufacture. He's no Comey, Biden is no Hillary, and this is no 2016.Thoughts on Barr and Trump's, "October Surprise," is a federal arrest or indictment of Hunter Biden?
He's more likeable, more trusted, he regularly crosses into the 50's, and there's less undecideds.
Too little, too late. The Comey letter wasn't the start of some scandal, it was one last reminder of a longtime pounded in "scandal" after decades of smearing of Clinton, coming in a very close race. It confirmed or reaffirmed long held notions by the public about her, a last minute stunt by zero credibility Barr against well liked mild mannered Biden will not land the same.Yeah, but they never care about the details. It's always been about getting a bullshit scandal on right wing media and knowing that the more reputable news outlets will pick it up and treat it as a real news story at some point.
Right, I see it being unlikely. Still, I can envision a reversal being possible because all major businesses are now requiring masks and word is out that we're in a major spike and it's time to get serious and social distance and stay at home whenever possible. The benefits of that would have to be strong enough to override some states opening up further and school starting back.If the entire country went into full lockdown right now, you might have a prayer of getting cases back down to 20k per day in a couple months. Not to mention that deaths have just begun their upturn and lag by weeks. And that schools will open soon in many places for the first time in months.
Saw Linkin Park trending on Twitter.........because there is a Trump ad using their music =/
Despicable
The WaPo poll is another example of Biden doing better on phone polls than online. Presumably because of how far seniors have swung in this election.
Average is still 9-10 points. Not quite at 15.AK, (maybe KS) and SC are definitely in play now with an advantage that large. We just need more state polls, tho those states arent polled for the general too often, itll be good to start.