Kinda surprised we don't see states like Washington activate National Guard units to help with testing and response to the Coronavirus.
My question is, is Bernie viable in Mississippi this time. He barely made it in Alabama. And Mississippi was his worst state in 2016.
I also think this a good point.
I suppose.Still, it's Sanders and Warren's best bet at this point - wear Biden down until the convention to the point where he has to come to the negotiating table.
Biden had a good news cycle because he had a blow-out win. He just had another blow-out win.Seems silly to downplay the possibility of Bernie running off the back of an unexpectedly great news cycle to a huge resurgence given Biden just did exactly that. Who knows what can happen?
I think Clinton won WashingtonOh, he is.
Super Tuesday makes it very clear that Sanders hasn't managed to expand his coalition at all over 2016. To be fair, IIRC he lost a share of the vote pretty much everywhere. So expecting *better* results than 2016 doesn't make much sense at all.
Next Week is:
Idaho: 20 delegates (Sanders state, '16)
Michigan: 125 delegates (Sanders state, '16)
Mississippi: 36 delegates (Clinton state, '16)
Missouri: 68 delegates (Clinton state, '16)
North Dakota: 14 delegates (Sanders '16)
Washington: 89 delegates (Sanders '16)
Then March 17:
Arizona: 67 delegates (Clinton)
Florida: 219 delegates (Clinton)
Illinois: 155 delegates (Clinton)
Ohio: 136 delegates (Clinton)
Then March 24:
Georgia: 105 delegates (Clinton)
March 29:
Puerto Rico: 51 delegates (Clinton)
This is a murderer's row of states with large delegate counts that are going to be rather lopsided losses. No way to make this up. The story post Super Tuesday is that Earned Media is worth a hell of a lot, and a string of lopsided wins in swing states for Biden is going to be a LOT of earned media Sanders has no answer for. It will get worse after this.
She won their non-binding primary.
I mean she was also not subtly blaming Warren for denying Bernie the win in Minnesota and other states.It's just a bad take. I don't think she's saying this specifically because Bernie lost.
We might very well see a map that's the West Coast vs the rest of the nation w/ primary election results.
If that happens, I strongly suspect the housing market issues are playing a massive role in the discrepancy.
I suppose.
Biden had a good news cycle because he had a blow-out win. He just had another blow-out win.
It wasn't unexpected, though. He got a good news cycle because he massively overperformed what everyone thought he would do in South Carolina. Then you had the rollout of the endorsements to keep him in the news and limit Sander's exposure. Bernie got stomped yesterday. There is no one in the media who is going to want to give him the benefit of the doubt on his performance. It was straight up bad. If Bernie had endorsements to roll out? That would be something, I guess. But, at this point, I really think the fundamentals of the race have changed drastically. There isn't a debate until the week after the March 10th contests.Seems silly to downplay the possibility of Bernie running off the back of an unexpectedly great news cycle to a huge resurgence given Biden just did exactly that. Who knows what can happen?
Right. that confuses the issue- it should probably be a Clinton state since she won the popular vote but Sanders got more delegates from the caucus.
Thanks for the clarification.She won the non-binding primary, bernie won the binding caucus.
Right. that confuses the issue- it should probably be a Clinton state since she won the popular vote but Sanders got more delegates from the caucus.
Y'all remember 10k years ago when that senator body slammed this reporter on tape? Who was that?
We don't have the capacity to test people, we don't have anywhere to put them.Kinda surprised we don't see states like Washington activate National Guard units to help with testing and response to the Coronavirus.
You might be the only who thought it was unexpected, given the number of people exclaiming about an unprecedented turnaround performance Biden put in yesterday.It wasn't unexpected, though. He got a good news cycle because he massively overperformed what everyone thought he would do in South Carolina. Then you had the rollout of the endorsements to keep him in the news and limit Sander's exposure. Bernie got stomped yesterday. There is no one in the media who is going to want to give him the benefit of the doubt on his performance. It was straight up bad. If Bernie had endorsements to roll out? That would be something, I guess. But, at this point, I really think the fundamentals of the race have changed drastically. There isn't a debate until the week after the March 10th contests.
So did Maine, and Bernie lost it.Idk I have a feeling WA will be feeling the socialized healthcare message.
As someone from Washington, I can honestly say I don't know what is going to happen here in our primary. One of the issues with the non-binding primary was also that it happened 2+ months later. We have a ton of very liberal democrats in this state but also definitely some older guard, my family being some of those people who really don't like Sanders. I am voting at this point to push forward, originally if she was still in and doing well enough (and Biden didn't surge back) I was planning to vote for Warren, but now voting for Biden to end it and move on to the thing I really care about, going after the opposition. I think it will be more competitive then either the caucus or the primary showed in 2016 though.
Seattle is going through a pretty serious COVID-19 situation right now to the point where M4A i think will be getting hefty tangible support in the form of a vote for Bernie. But who knows!
I agree with your take on Mississippi. If he is viable there, I'd be shocked.There aren't really any polls I would call recent, but RCP had washington pretty split:
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Washington Democratic Primary
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Washington Democratic Primarywww.realclearpolitics.com
Sanders at 23, Biden 15, Bloomberg 13, Warren 13, Pete 8, Amy 7, Steyer 1.
This is probably not going to be a good state for Sanders, all things considered.
Kinda surprised we don't see states like Washington activate National Guard units to help with testing and response to the Coronavirus.
Hmm. His best remaining shot is appealing to her and her voters. Guess the humbling is too big an ask.After today's Sanders presser, there's no way anyone will see sanders = warren or warren = sanders. Warren supporters already know they're not getting Warren in Sanders.
But that presser - being purposely, stubbornly unappealing and insulting to those who voted yesterday is inexcusable and maybe unrecoverable. I was stunned and disheartened watching it. He'll be on Maddow later with what I assume will be a do-over of today.
I said last night that it wasn't over, at all. But with that attitude on display today, I just don't know now.
You might be the only who thought it was unexpected, given the number of people exclaiming about an unprecedented turnaround performance Biden put in yesterday.
I don't think Bernie is likely to win the nomination. I don't know what event or news cycle or perfect storm of things happening can break his way to put him back in pole position. But many said the same thing about Biden a week ago. Everyone expected him to win in SC and do well in a bunch of ST states, but he crushed it beyond those expectations. He went from dead in the water to frontrunner way faster than anyone was projecting. So I don't think it's unreasonable to think, however implausible it may be, that something else can defy expectations to break Bernie's way because shit defying expectations has been running the theme of this primary. I wouldn't bank on it, but it wouldn't be out of the ordinary for this race!
Maybe Bernie should try a fortnite skins raffle to get the kids to the polls
Well, all the polls just blew up soooI agree with your take on Mississippi. If he is viable there, I'd be shocked.
It's really strange how we have no good polls this cycle. Very weird.
The only thing that I could see helping Sanders is better than expected California late returns putting him in the delegate lead (is this even possible?), the media not wanting the race to end so playing up sanders in the lead even after the Biden comeback (ignoring the upcoming states not being good for him), and then a Warren endorsement. Even then that would only put him in play but at at severe disadvantage.
I don't care! I WANTS THEM.
From what I've seen, no, that's not possibleThe only thing that I could see helping Sanders is better than expected California late returns putting him in the delegate lead (is this even possible?)
I also didn't know Biden ended up winning TX by almost 100k votes.
Sanders and Warren trying to tag team Biden is fair politics and I don't know why anyone would be surprised by this, much like Pete and Amy doing the fusion dance with Biden.
It's likely to be a dog fight for delegates from here on out.
*I am not saying Bernie only has male supporters. I am not downplaying Bernie's female or non-binary supporters. It's just that in pretty much every state he performed worse among women than men, and was, in fact, the only candidate for whom that was true.
Annie Linskey @AnnieLinskey
Update: Warren allies have also been in talks with people in Biden's camp about and endorsement if she drops. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/warren-to-think-through-her-future-top-aide-says/2020/03/04/bf7d20ca-5e38-11ea-9055-5fa12981bbbf_story.html …
7:47 PM - Mar 4, 2020
Annie Linskey @AnnieLinskey
Update: Warren allies have also been in talks with people in Biden's camp about and endorsement if she drops. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/warren-to-think-through-her-future-top-aide-says/2020/03/04/bf7d20ca-5e38-11ea-9055-5fa12981bbbf_story.html …
7:47 PM - Mar 4, 2020