I mean, this is a thing with a lot of union folks. My husband is union. His union is refusing to endorse anyone who is running on getting rid of their health insurance for a forced M4A system. Full stop. They want no part of that. this is one of the many reasons M4A is a heavy lift.
Voter turnout seems to be up from 2016, maybe approaching 2008 but we'll see when the final numbers come out. The issue is, outside winning which is of course preferable to losing, Bernie only held on to about 60% of his 2016 support in the state. He didn't win first time primary voters. Youth turnout is not up, based on exit polling. This is a state he should have run away with...and he has a delegate tie with the ex-mayor of Indiana's 4th largest city. And, the only reason he won at all, was because the moderate vote fractured between Pete and Amy. if Amy wasn't a factor, I don't think Bernie wins tonight.
The bigger issue is Bernie is the only candidate, other than Biden, to basically not outrun his polling.
Take Iowa, using the RCP average:
Sanders---23%
Pete--------16.8%
Amy----------9.0%
The final results:
Sanders: 24.7%
Pete: 21.3%
Amy 12.7%
Take NH polling average:
Sanders: 28.7%
Pete: 21.3%
Amy: 11.7%
The current results:
Sanders: 25.88%
Pete: 24.10%
Amy: 19.91%
Bernie isn't closing strong, and he's not winning over undecided. Late breaking people are going to literally anyone not him, and IDK what you do to fix that. basically, Bernie has a very, very strong base of support. But that's about it. He's not expanding above that YET. it could change. I hope it does if the alternative is Bloomberg....but there is nothing about this result tonight that would make me happy for my coalition if I was him.