Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner
BREAKING: #SCOTUS will not stop the Census citizenship question trial from beginning on Monday. Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch noted that they would have stopped the trial.
Lawrence Hurley @lawrencehurley
No public notation of how Kavanaugh voted on this. Five votes are needed for a stay to be granted
FACT CHECK: The cop-killer featured in Trump's incendiary video blaming Democrats for his release was actually released by Joe Arpaio's office in 1998 and re-entered the country during the George W. Bush admin https://yhoo.it/2SEnlb9
Bracamontes also used an AR-15 assault-style rifle when he killed the California officers. Trump and Republicans have opposed making the gun illegal. It was most recently used by the gunman who killed 11 people in a Pittsburgh synagogue last week.
Guilfoyle said that a blue wave would make the country unrecognizable.
"If they get in on November 6th and take over the House or the Senate, God forbid, you will not recognize America," Guilfoyle said. "So I'm asking every fearless patriot out there to get out and get your friends involved… Otherwise you are going to get the Star Wars bar scene."
"Scary brown people!".WTF are these people on about?
There's going to "aliens"? There's going to be a band? There's going to be smugglers for hire?
This isn't the first time I've heard Rs use the Star Wars cantina line.WTF are these people on about?
There's going to "aliens"? There's going to be a band? There's going to be smugglers for hire?
No.On the ground, is Trump's caravan invasion rhetoric resonating outside of the faithful
Worse. A band that only knows one short tune and repeats the same 32 bars, like, forever.There's going to "aliens"? There's going to be a band? There's going to be smugglers for hire?
Finally Jizz-wailers back on the pop charts!There's going to "aliens"? There's going to be a band? There's going to be smugglers for hire?
My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
I'm sorry, Kyra! :(My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
Sorry to hear. Sending positive vibes to good doggo.My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
That's awful. I'm so sorry that you and your dog have to go through this.My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
I'm so sorry :(My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
Oops, sorry. I have no idea why he just posted it.
My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
Black turnout continues to drive the shifting demographic make-up of the electorate. Black share of the electorate is now about 12.2%, well above 2014 and 2016 at this point, and nearly at where 2016 was going into Election Day. Hispanic share has remained flat all week, at about 12%, and right now, there are more Black voters than Hispanic voters. What is interesting, Hispanics are disproportionally newer voters: about 44% of Hispanics to date did not vote in the 2014 election, compared to about 30% among all voters so far. I do think this will change into the weekend. White is still just over 70%, though I still think it lands in the 67-68% range. Overall, turnout among Black voters is 27.6%, and among Hispanics, it is 22.2%.
One thing on Hispanics – turnout among possible Maria migrants is fairly low. I was always skeptical of the fallout from the storm really changing the math. That being said, Hispanic, and specifically Puerto Rican turnout over the next four days could very much impact this race
So lastly, the question I get on twitter all the time how does Gillum or Nelson win if more Republicans vote than Democrats?
Right now, I think a turnout model where the electorate is 2% more GOP than Democrat is a pretty fair place to peg it, given the number of GOP super voters left to vote. If we have 7.25 million votes, that is 150,000 more Republicans than Democrats casting a ballot.
So, if you believe the polling, Gillum is winning a few more points of Republicans than Democrats, and winning NPAs.
Let's assume the final electorate is 41 R – 39 D – 20 NPA (it may be higher than this), and Gillum wins just 2% more Republicans than DeSantis wins Democrats – and he wins the NPAs by 8. I think both of these assumptions are conservative, and realistic.
What happens: Gillum wins by about 1.5%.
There is a long way to go, but if the polling is right, the electorate is molding into shape for Gillum to bring it home.
WTF are these people on about?
There's going to "aliens"? There's going to be a band? There's going to be smugglers for hire?
Yeah, most travis county polls are 1+ hour. Guess people assumed it would calm down at the end and now they're stuck in line anyway.
My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
Some, yes.
Today is last day for TX, which makes no sense
Don't be sorry! Still crazy that nobody has followed up on it.
It makes a lot of sense. Texas GOP doesn't want people to vote.
Today's the last day of early voting in TX.
Sorry Queen :(My dog has cancer... i need Tuesday to bring some fucking light bad...
I still prefer "The needle tears a hole"
Sienna/NYT has Allred (TX-32), Rouda (CA-48), and Mcbath (GA-6) all ahead in their races.
All LV. +2, +5, +2, respectively
(RV, it turns to +4, +7, +6)
I like it. I really want to see Rohrabacher gone. Fuck Handel too.
Edit: made corrections
This kind of thing shows how government can be such a joke sometimes
"Ethics rules mean you can't do this... eh, let's just give you a way around it anyway lol"
wtf
It's gonna be really nice to see everyone over the moon in this thread on Tuesday.
Two years of despair and real politik strategizing is gonna melt away.
There will still be plenty of work to do, but I think everyone is going to breathe a bit easier :)
Neil Young vs NIN :D