Many more opportunities, but depends on the environment.Does it favor us with tons of GOP up on the chopping block, or nah?
If we get TX and not TN Rachel Bitecofer is going to be a very wealthy woman this time next year.
I think it's like 50/50, 2022 is the GOP nightmare map.Does anyone know what the Senate map looks like in 2020?
Does it favor us with tons of GOP up on the chopping block, or nah?
Does anyone know what the Senate map looks like in 2020?
Does it favor us with tons of GOP up on the chopping block, or nah?
Many more opportunities, but depends on the environment.
We probably lose AL, but every other seat of ours is basically safe besides maybe NH.
CO starts as Lean D, I think. Gardner won by a razor's edge in 2014, and he probably won't be able to survive election-year turnout in a light-blue state.
IA could be competitive depending on the snapback this year.
NC, potentially.
GA, less potentially but within the realm.
And I want Sue to meet the same fate as her idol Moderate Chase Smith.
Oh, and the other AZ seat will be up and will be vacant.
2020 Senate Map (colors represent party of the incumbent)
Minnesota is in gray because we don't know if Tina Smith has won yet (though she almost certainly will). Since she is taking over Al Fraken's seat/term she has to go up for election again in 2020.
Mississippi is gray since we still don't know who will win the run off this year but it will probably be Hyde-Smith. Since she is taking over Thad Cochran's seat/term she has to go up for election again in 2020.
Note, though there are a lot of GOP sears up, a lot of them are in deep red territory. But there should still be a lot of good Dem pick-up opportunities. Just less than this map might suggest at a first glance.
I really, really hate that the TX-SEN race is basically a huge question mark
Polls indicate that Cruz leads by a few points, but turnout in Democratic districts is so high that the poll demographics are definitely messed up.
We're venturing into the unknown, and that makes me uneasy.
Eh, if we can't get TN this year, we won't get it in 2020.AZ, CO, IA, ME, MO, MT, NC, SC and TN could all be at least competitive I would think.
I think you mean better Nate than leverGlad the Nates could join my party a month late. Better late than never.
50-50 Senate while having dumped Ted Cruz on his ass is acceptable to me.
BETO got thisI really, really hate that the TX-SEN race is basically a huge question mark.
Polls indicate that Cruz leads by a few points, but turnout in Democratic districts is so high that the poll demographics are definitely messed up.
We're venturing into the unknown, and that makes me uneasy.
We won't have a snowballs hell of a chance in SC until the big cities in the state get a massive economic boom that attracts liberals/moderates.Eh, if we can't get TN this year, we won't get it in 2020.
MT if Bullock runs. Otherwise, probably not.
SC won't be there for a while.
Everything else, yes.
Shit bud, I'm still crossing my fingers that Janz somehow boots Nunes.If Steve King and Cruz got shitcanned in the process, I might even be okay net losing a seat.
No idea how that we would lose a seat in the same election that gives us Beto, but whatevs.
If anybody would do it, it's Murkowski. She voted against Kavanaugh and the ACA repeal and she won as a write-in so she really doesn't need the GOP's help. She could just become an independent who caucuses with the Democrats a la Bernie. I wouldn't hold my breath on it, but at the very least, allowing zero room for Republican defectors on Senate votes would be a huge win.Sometimes I have a hard time determining if Ted Cruz is the politician I'd like to see lose the most. Obviously Trump is more consequential but....
Also, in case of a 50/50 Senate and a D house, I gotta imagine one of the moderate darlings might get spooked enough to caucus with the Democrats. Maybe a post election Mueller surprise or two would do it
Eh, if we can't get TN this year, we won't get it in 2020.
MT if Bullock runs. Otherwise, probably not.
SC won't be there for a while.
Everything else, yes.
SAY IT AGAIN FOR THE PEOPLE IN THE BACK
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1057625166920990722
"Well over 200,000 people who have NEVER voted in any election before now have already cast a ballot in Texas. The state with the second highest number of first time voters, CA, has only 78,000. Keep that in mind as you assess the polls in Texas."
Hey, appreciate it. Frustrating not having anything embed anymore.
You can't gerrymander Senate races because they're statewide.
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I really, really hate that the TX-SEN race is basically a huge question mark.
Polls indicate that Cruz leads by a few points, but turnout in Democratic districts is so high that the poll demographics are definitely messed up.
We're venturing into the unknown, and that makes me uneasy.
News organization based in Fargo I believe.