If we fuck up on social distancing and everybody just goes back to work, as many as 60% of the population could experience COVID-19, of those cases roughly 11% [or as high as 14%] result in severe symptoms and 5% with critical symptoms. which in america, would be about 31 million people with severe symptoms, 10 million of which with critical. Assuming adequate care, of those maybe half a million will die [probably a few hundred thousand more but lets be optimists]. There are just over 900,000 hospital beds in the US and most of those beds are in use from all the other non-covid related reasons to go to a hospital. If we do not flatten the curve, we could conceivably be looking at 6-10 million people in the united states attempting to survive respiratory failure with chicken soup and bed rest, I don't know what the death rate for that is so feel free to guess.
If thousands of people will commit suicide, let them die. We'll build a nice statue for them later.
"The coronavirus epidemic could spread to about two-thirds of the world's population if it cannot be controlled, according to Hong Kong's leading public health epidemiologist. "
Exclusive: Public health epidemiologist says other countries should consider adopting China-style containment measures
www.theguardian.com
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While information so far suggests that most COVID-19 illness is mild, a report out of China suggests serious illness occurs in 16% of cases."
CDC is responding to the novel (new) coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. See information on source, spread, risk assessment and the latest U.S. updates.
www.cdc.gov
" A total of 81% of cases in the
JAMA study were classified as mild, meaning they did not result in pneumonia or resulted in only mild pneumonia. Fourteen percent of cases were severe (marked by difficulty breathing), and 5% were critical (respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multiple organ dysfunction or failure). "
www.cidrap.umn.edu
"Total Staffed Beds in All U.S. Hospitals - 924,107"
There are 6,120 hospitals in the United States. The American Hospital Association conducts an annual survey of hospitals in the United States. The data here, published in 2024, are a sample from the 2022 AHA Annual Survey (FY 2022) and offer quick answers on number of hospitals, government...
www.aha.org