TLOU2 is the mostly likely game to come out based on the fact that its a sequel, not a new IP and ND has proven they can pump out AAA games in just a couple of years. They're arguably the best developer in the world.
Sucker Punch admitted GoT was only 55% done at E3 last year, obviously we don't know what that means but it doesn't sound good for 2019.
Death Stranding has shown almost nothing outside of cutscenes, we've seen games put out huge gameplay trailers that look polished and finished like Days Gone back in 2016 and that ended up being 3 years away, DS doesn't even have that. New IPs don't take 3 years to make, especially open world ones with the type of visual fidelity that this game is showing off. It would still be extremely impressive if they got it out in 2020.
Sucker Punch admitted GoT was only 55% done at E3 last year, obviously we don't know what that means but it doesn't sound good for 2019.
Death Stranding has shown almost nothing outside of cutscenes, we've seen games put out huge gameplay trailers that look polished and finished like Days Gone back in 2016 and that ended up being 3 years away, DS doesn't even have that. New IPs don't take 3 years to make, especially open world ones with the type of visual fidelity that this game is showing off. It would still be extremely impressive if they got it out in 2020.