A 3rd World War would bring about mutually assured destruction and nuclear warfare.
They have a substantial military force of their own that has been reinforced by members of NATO for weeks and months. So if all of that is handled intelligently and use appropriately then they can put up enough of a fight to make it hurt Russia, but realistically they cannot actually win. Especially considering that Belarus seems to be in on the attack.
2) isn't quite correct.
They should impose them long time ago (on Belarus), and I mean meaningful sanctions, not those half-backed measures from last year. Thing is Belarusian activists/politicians for about year were asking for it, and repeatedly saying that Lukashenko is unreliable, and warned that he's can be dangerous for stability in the region. If he got real hard sanctions in 2020, during active phase of protests, I doubt he would survived. So biggest mistake is that the west waited too long.
It seems that Putin wants to surround the capital and overthrow the government.
youtu.be
Which are about 2-300km from the hungarian, slovakian, polish borders, so very much not East-Ukraine. Damn. :(
She tweeted just a few minutes ago. She was in Lviv as of a few days ago.
Oh damn, I hope Zepla is alright. Completely forgot that she is still living there...
As another poster said, Western Europe should be perfectly safe from this conflict. At that level of escalation it wouldn't really matter where you are, we would all be fucked. With that said I hope everything goes well with your travels.
I know it's really obscenely and embarrassingly selfish of me to do the same in the face of all of this, but I am doing it. I can't help it. Been watching her for nearly a year. It's hard not to wish someone specific the best in that kind of situation.
She just went to western Ukraine, she didn't leave the country. However, I think she's leaving now according to her latest tweets.
