I think a 3M December would be in play in this scenario.
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NPD November 2018: All three consoles over 1.3m for the month
- Thread starter ZhugeEX
- Start date
All Nintendo 1st party evergreens are performing phenomenal
Smash is stratospheric
I think Smash will go higher than even some of the more liberal expectations here if it's really driving HW this well.
Reporting period runs till Jan 5? That's pretty favorable I think - hardware gets another semi 4-day weekend next week to run up the sales further. With NSMB lurking right around the corner.
Reporting period runs till Jan 5? That's pretty favorable I think - hardware gets another semi 4-day weekend next week to run up the sales further. With NSMB lurking right around the corner.
Poe's Law I guess lol. I'm pretty sure I did post in this thread though I can't remember when exactly.
The entire world holds its breath waiting to see if Nintendo ships 19, 20 or 21m Switches until March.
In addition to that, it's a holiday with its first Pokemon and Smash, both released just before it so their related sales bump will affect holidays sales.
I don't know its numbers, but I can tell you that less than it deserved (a gazillion units or two).
20m is probably still tough because I don't know if they're going to get as large of YoY raises in Japan and Europe, but maybe.
20m is just a tough number of hit especially with only one hardware model basically. The PS2 is the best selling system of all time and it topped 20m shipments once in its lifecycle, the Wii as red hot as it was managed to do it only twice, the PS4 has done it once.
Nintendo needs more than one model Switch if they want to sell 20 mill/year IMO.
It really depends on January sales as well. Going into BF/Let'sGo and Smash, Switch looked flat YoY which lead many to quesiton how 20m was possible, but with Smash launching so late in the year, and with some of the 'Switch had a bad year' think pieces already in the can by some sites, I can't help but think it will have an unusually strong January WW.
Nice, a 2-2.5M HW month would be a great result for Switch.
Is PS4 still looking to be down YoY in December?
- No console this generation (3DS, XBO, PS4,NSW) has ever sold more than 1.7 million units in December in US.
- The last console to sell more than 2 million units in US were DS and Wii back in December 2010.
Switch over 2 million would be definitely big.
EDIT:
Totally misread your post, sorry!
While no one care about software sales, digital sales and profits.
The fact that even the XBox is outselling the PS4 is kinda telling me that PS4 blew its load in November and with no special deals for December, it fell flat on its face.
Every single of these analysts like Pachter tell use that the fiscal year target is the only thing that matters, so who can you blame except them? /s
XB1 sold more than PS4 last December, too. XB1 is quite strong in December, and PS4 has no deals, so this was expected imo.
The momentum from Smash (and Pokémon) should definitely carry over into January considering how late in the holiday season Smash released. That should be one factor in helping it achieve a higher Q4 as well. Of course we don't know the rest of the release schedule yet. Hopefully we get a Nintendo Direct the first full week of January.
If Nintendo was so insecure for this target, that is apparently the end of the world for them if it's not achieved with so much emphasis it's given, they would move at more drastic actions than a 1 day cheaper Mario Kart bundle for Black Friday.
Lol. I wish I could travel back in time to 2013 with this thread for all the "mobile is the only future" and "Nintendo needs to go third party" people. Call of Duty had a couple of years where people said it was dying off too.
Man Smash was just the perfect title for Nintendo this holiday season. 2 mil in December, Smash selling like crazy and they got a super Mario Bros in January.
That's some serious momentum going into fiscal year end.
Do Nintendo usually release PR after Xmas or we wait until NPD in January?
That's some serious momentum going into fiscal year end.
Do Nintendo usually release PR after Xmas or we wait until NPD in January?
A lot of people will only reference the last thing that happened, a recency bias, and this is further compounded by the person's 'agenda' (ie: dislike for brand) so yeah a lot of people were calling for Nintendo to go third party whenever the company has a bad year because what else are they going to say.
For Call of Duty I have only this left to say:
I still question myself how this game can sell so well, doing the absolute same thing over and over and over again with more and more predatory microtransactions while quality is getting lower and lower.
Last year NoA released PR with the 4.8M units sold for US early in January. I can see something similar this year.
Above 2M is largely enough. The target is shipped units, not sell-through.
I think they did PR last year early in January. I'd expect another one this year.
Or maybe one big one whenever Smash passes 10M sold through.
Considering they should break 10 million, they might put out a PR on that.
Well, if nothing comes, at least we will get quarterly results.
Oh boy. Maybe 4 million for Smash possible? Either way, I expect at a few records to be 'smashed" this month.
Do you noticeany particoular change in Splatoon 2's performance since the paywall was introduced in late September? It has been discussed for pages and pages in the Media Create threads in the last weeks.
OP
OP
I'll probably end up being proven wrong. But I think it's unlikely we'll ever see a 2m+ December again.
Don't disagree with the second line though.
I know it's a shipment target, but 2m sold probably means ~2,3 shipped while 2,5 sold would mean ~2,8 shipped. I don't think the former result would be enough
I'm sure that PR came around december 10th, not january
The answer is battle royale mode. The other answer is people are still playing football aftet 100 years, and the microtransactions for that suck too.