• Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
  • We have made minor adjustments to how the search bar works on ResetEra. You can read about the changes here.

Trickster

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
6,533
So pretty much perfectly in line with polls for his entire presidency? Truly this is shocking news
 

DrewFu

Attempted to circumvent ban with an alt-account
Banned
Apr 19, 2018
10,360
A 10 point spread is bigger than the margin of error. They were way off.
Hillary didn't have a 10 point lead in the week leading up to the election. There were even points in the weeks leading up to the election when they were both ~50/50. There was a point where she lost the massive lead, and never got it back.

In the days leading up to the elections she had like a 1-4pnt lead.
 

thediamondage

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,367
National polling is kind of meaningless, big urban areas like NYC, LA, SF, Chicago skew it heavily in ways that don't reflect the electoral college. Honestly there are only 6-10 states where the election gets decided. It doesn't matter what the people of California or NYC think, those two states always send democrats into national positions. The key are the swing states like Ohio, Florida, PA, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, and Minnesota.

Democrats have a slight advantage going into 2020 that can easily be lost by a poor candidate (poor in THOSE SWING STATES, not in california/NYC). Electoral map wise it kind of lines up to 223 solidly democratic, 204 solidly republican, and 111 in swing states up for grabs.

Democrats will lose if they put up a candidate that middle aged white voters think is worse for them personally than Trump.
 

Strike

Member
Oct 25, 2017
27,408
That sounds about right. Most R voters will vote R no matter what. His base isn't going anywhere. Instead of hoping that they stay home or have an epiphany, people should be doing everything in their power to make sure the other 6 show up and vote against them.
 

StereoVSN

Member
Nov 1, 2017
13,620
Eastern US
National polling is kind of meaningless, big urban areas like NYC, LA, SF, Chicago skew it heavily in ways that don't reflect the electoral college. Honestly there are only 6-10 states where the election gets decided. It doesn't matter what the people of California or NYC think, those two states always send democrats into national positions. The key are the swing states like Ohio, Florida, PA, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, and Minnesota.

Democrats have a slight advantage going into 2020 that can easily be lost by a poor candidate (poor in THOSE SWING STATES, not in california/NYC). Electoral map wise it kind of lines up to 223 solidly democratic, 204 solidly republican, and 111 in swing states up for grabs.

Democrats will lose if they put up a candidate that middle aged white voters think is worse for them personally than Trump.
That's a very good point. If a very liberal candidate wins Democratic primary, that will give Trump a lot of ammo to fire at the swing state population.

It's going to be something to see especially considering number of candidates for the primary.
 

alr1ght

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,067
That's a very good point. If a very liberal candidate wins Democratic primary, that will give Trump a lot of ammo to fire at the swing state population.

It's going to be something to see especially considering number of candidates for the primary.
Yep. That's why someone like Joe Biden (who appeals to those swing states) is much preferable as a candidate rather than someone who is super left. It's a shame Sherrod Brown isn't running since he'd lock up those states and the presidency quite easily.