There are more than 20 SKUs for Pokemon LG at amazon with hardware bundles sold out.its slightly amazing Pokemon LG is trending this high in Amazon JP when its broken in about 5-6 SKU
https://www.amazon.co.jp/gp/bestsellers/videogames/
by not being the lead/playable character in her own game. b/c if she was what would Link do?
by not being the lead/playable character in her own game. b/c if she was what would Link do?
It depends on how high Switch sales will be in November. If at the 3 weeks from the launch of Pokemon to before the launch of Smash Bros. it can hit something close to half million it's possible.
by "she" i didn't mean the character of zelda, i used "she" to figuratively refer to the game.by not being the lead/playable character in her own game. b/c if she was what would Link do?
and my response was using Nintendo's words on why Zelda isn't playableby "she" i didn't mean the character of zelda, i used "she" to figuratively refer to the game.
ok i get it now.and my response was using Nintendo's words on why Zelda isn't playable
The ones I know about are:There are more than 20 SKUs for Pokemon LG at amazon with hardware bundles sold out.
If ur assuming the ps4 will be at 7.5M by end of yr, then switch needs to be at 4.2M ytd, which is 2.15M left. Last yr, switch had 3.3M ytd with just mario odyssey. They need to sell 900k more this holiday than last year whith smp, pokemon and smash. Its a big taskBut, how? I mean PS4 will at least sell 250k in these weeks, Switch would have to sell something close to 2m to get there.
But, how? I mean PS4 will at least sell 250k in these weeks, Switch would have to sell something close to 2m to get there.
84.593 90.303 133.746 150.583 193.717 230.259 303.504 115.255
Basically, the switch need to sell 100k more on average every week to beat ps4 ltd by end of yearLast year, during the 8 remaining weeks :
Code:84.593 90.303 133.746 150.583 193.717 230.259 303.504 115.255
Biggest game that released during those 8 weeks last year was Xenoblade. Plus, the Switch was supply-constrained.
This year they have Pokemon, Smash and Dragon Quest Builders. An increase is a given, the extent of it is the question mark and will answer your question.
Basically, the switch need to sell 100k more on average every week to beat ps4 ltd by end of year
For every SKU you list there are amazon limited editions, most of them are sold out. You can see some of them in top 100.The ones I know about are:
LGP-game
LGE-game
LGP-game-pokeball
LGE-game-pokeball
LGP-game-pokeball-console
LGE-game-pokeball-console
Which are the others?
I didn't say it will happen.But, how? I mean PS4 will at least sell 250k in these weeks, Switch would have to sell something close to 2m to get there.
Thanks! I'll take a look at it.For every SKU you list there are amazon limited editions, most of them are sold out. You can see some of them in top 100.
Switch sold 3.3M last year with a much weaker lineup, 2018 is so far on par with 2017.
3.5 to 4M is a more realistic prediction
If ur assuming the ps4 will be at 7.5M by end of yr, then switch needs to be at 4.2M ytd, which is 2.15M left. Last yr, switch had 3.3M ytd with just mario odyssey. They need to sell 900k more this holiday than last year whith smp, pokemon and smash. Its a big task
Is that speculation for just the Pokemon bundles or is the Smash one included too?Weekly retailer hints vol.2
Slow start for Luigi's Mansion, YSO will be right this time.
Initial shipment of Pokemon Let's Go will be north of 1m. For bundles there aren't safe estimates, pure speculation but combined getting close to 200k isn't impossible.
Hitman 2 will come and leave unnoticed next week, Fallout 76 will have better faith but nothing worth writing.
All bundles but like I said it's speculation.Is that speculation for just the Pokemon bundles or is the Smash one included too?
If the shipment in 1M surely the actual numbers should be much smaller. 60-80% range from the Famitsu scale or something? It depends on the actual demand but for a game like Pokemon that'll sell for a while they'll want to have some leeway I'm guessing.
All bundles but like I said it's speculation.
They could be 150, 200 or 250k.
So the gap between MC and Famitsu will be just as fat as last year's US/UM release.
8 Empty Holiday Weeks
Week 44 2017: 64.387(-49%)
Week 45 2017: 79.958(+24%)
Week 46 2017: 86.999(+9%)
Week 47 2017: 145.200(+67%)
Week 48 2017: 124.770(-14%)
Week 49 2017: 164.908(+32%)
Week 50 2017: 221.210(+34%)
Week 51 2017: 269.684(+21%)
Week 52 2017:134.519(-50%)
TOTAL: 1.291.625
AVERAGE PER WEEK: 161.453
Outside of Pokemon Lets Go, Smash Ultimate you also have Dragon Quest Builders 2 and probably a big December Splatoon 2 update - along with updates for other games like Kirby, Mario Tennis Aces.
Last year the only notable game that launched on the Switch during the same period was Xenoblade 2 and there was also a substantial Splatoon 2 update for Christmas. Yet the Switch sold 161K per week. I'm pretty sure that if the Switch isn't ahead by Week 52 it will be ahead Week 1 of 2019.
Doesn't Famitsu count download cards in its totals? Does MC do that now too?
I didn't say it will happen.
What I said is what Switch needs to sell so that it has a chance. Half million at last 3 weeks of November means a huge December.
Wow, less than 10%?[NSW] Pikachin-Kit: Game de Pirameki Daisakusen! <ADV> (FuRyu) (¥5.980) - 0% (less than 10%)
630.552 - PS2 launch 2000.03.04, 2 daysNot counting release week, whats the most a hardware have sold in 1 week in Japan??
I really wish Nintendo would be sane enough to release LM1 and 2 on Switch before 3 comes out.
First Day Sell-through {2018.11.08}
[3DS] Luigi's Mansion <ACT> (Nintendo) (¥4.980) - 20%
[NSW] Pikachin-Kit: Game de Pirameki Daisakusen! <ADV> (FuRyu) (¥5.980) - 0% (less than 10%)
The thing is that most of your observations are rather sensible, and I just can't picture that scenario. Thus, I'm just trying to understand.
2m in these last weeks would be incredible tho.
Hmm, it's down 50k and next week it has to contend with a 80k week. The week Pokémon drops it'll probably be down 80k-ish and will have to deal with a 87k week out of the gate.
These are the long running bundles from the moment Nintendo decided to follow this strategy.
2013
[WIU] Wii Party U \ New Super Mario Bros. U - Wii U Family Premium Set Black <BUN> (Nintendo) {2013.10.31} (¥31.239)
[WIU] Wii Party U \ New Super Mario Bros. U - Wii U Family Premium Set White <BUN> (Nintendo) {2013.10.31} (¥31.239)
[WIU] Wii Party U \ New Super Mario Bros. U \ Wii Fit U - Wii U Family Premium Set Black <BUN> (Nintendo) {2013.10.31} (¥33.143)
[WIU] Wii Party U \ New Super Mario Bros. U \ Wii Fit U - Wii U Family Premium Set White <BUN> (Nintendo) {2013.10.31} (¥33.143)
2014
[WIU] Wii U Family Mario Kart 8 Set White <BUN> (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} (¥32.800)
[WIU] Wii U Family Mario Kart 8 Set Black Limited <BUN> (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} (¥32.800)
2015
[WIU] Wii U Splatoon Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2015.11.12} (¥34.000)
2016
[WIU] Wii U Splatoon Set - Callie & Marie amiibo <BUN> (Nintendo) {2016.07.07} (¥37.000)
2017
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Splatoon 2 Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥35.960)
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Super Mario Odyssey Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥37.980)
2018
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Splatoon 2 Set + Nintendo Switch Online 3 Months Individual Membership <BUN> (Nintendo) {2018.07.13} (¥35.960)
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2018.11.16} (¥37.980)
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Pokemon: Let's Go, Eevee! Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2018.11.16} (¥37.980)
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2018.11.16} (¥36.980)
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Minecraft Set <BUN> (Nintendo) {2018.11.30} (¥33.000)
It's the first time they go so aggressive since 2013. Mario Kart 8 bundle next year didn't work out as well despite internal target being sales of holidays 2014 to match those of holidays 2013.
Did you read the others posts in the thread?
Switch winter sales last year were nothing to write home about, there was also no heavy hitter to push it after Odyssey release in late October while this year we have both Pokemon and Smash which are bigger and both bundled.
There are more evergreen than ever, 3DS is even more of a non factor, there's nothing on PS4 so retaillers will have to push Switch if they want to get sales, historical data will tell you that launch year isn't peak year...
There's litteraly nothing indicating that Switch couldn't be up YOY, looking at both line-up and statistics
There was still a bit of a shortage last winter if I remember correctly.
I think Switch will do this year, not sure if it will pass the PS4 by January, but it won't be far off.
In regards to Luigi Mansion, I think it will do okay too, I expect it to be a slow burn. Nintendo has been advertising well, during morning news, primetime shows, and during children's evening anime.