In arguably the worst video game prediction of all time, Pachter predicts The Elder Scrolls 6 to launch in 2019.

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Elder Scrolls VI is coming in 2019. The flop of Fallout 76 makes a hit more essential for Bethesda, and I expect them to accelerate development of ESVI. (This was my prediction from 2016 and 2017...)

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Okay so

Is this literally the worst prediction in the history of gaming in terms of probability of being correct?

Does... Pachter not know how game development works?

https://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2019-01-02-what-lies-ahead-analysts-make-2019-predictions

*Elder, not Elders, bad title typing, sorry!

 

[Brazil]

Rushing a game out the door to alleviate the problems caused by a game that was rushed out the door. That's it!

 

[darkside]

I mean it wouldn't be the first time Bethesda pushes a rushed game out the door so anything is possible

 

[Gevurztraminer]

Perhaps if it is an early access/GaaS game just like F76. But even Bethesda knows they can't do that.

 

[antennastoheaven]

That's just plain misinformation on his part.

Unless ESVI is somehow a hyper early access game (lol nope, never happening that way)

 

[Toumari]

I wonder if the game will run at 240fps.

 

[doublechocochip]

Nope, not happening.

 

[spam musubi]

The only way this works is if you think elder scrolls blades gets rebranded as TESVI

 

[Deleted member 426]

Why Pachter, why??? Why do you do this?

 

[Rouk']

At this point, what is there to do but laugh ?

 

[shadowsdarknes]

No way for 2019.

That game seriously needs to be a 2021 title. Ideally only for PS5 and Xbox 4.

 

[KoolAid]

Why are we still paying attention to whatever Pachter says anyway

 

[Plankton2]

But he said in the article he predicted ES VI in 2016, 17, and 18. Like it's not even new for him

 

[Aaronrules380]

I'm pretty sure ESVI isn't even in actual development, just early planning phases at best lol

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Why are we still paying attention to whatever Pachter says anyway

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Not many people are? His videos get less than 5k views.

But this was... probably the worst prediction I've ever seen.

 

[Platy]

Yeah I can't arguee with that

Wasn't that game that was still in GDD state when it was announced ?

 

[Deleted member 873]

now that confirms it's not hitting stores any time soon. thanks!

 

[Yep]

Did the article just confirm he expect Switch to sell 13M the year? (so 4M during the holidays)

 

[ezekial45]

If anything, I would expect them to focus more on Starfield. ESVI isn't that far along at all in dev.

One thing they could do is do re-release in the vein of Skyrim SE for Fallout 3 and New Vegas for next-gen.

 

[vestan]

He's trolling at this point.

Also Bethesda are planning on getting Starfield (2020) out of the gate before TESVI even enters production.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Did the article just confirm he expect Switch to sell 13M the year? (so 4M during the holidays)

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Yes, he's really not good at this.

 

[trashkitty]

If they were to rush something out of the door this year I'd probably see that being Starfield more than this.

 

[Scuffed]

They might have based on how they pushed out Fallout 76 in such a disastrous state but after that backlash and all the press over all their games being a broken mess I hope they learn and make sure this title is not dogshit.

 

[TheZjman]

Why does this guy keep getting airtime.

 

[chandoog]

I'll name my first born Pachter if this turns out to be true.

 

[Viale]

I'm pretty sure ESVI isn't even in actual development, just early planning phases at best lol

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This. I thought starfield was the big thing they were working on at the moment and ES6 comes after. I doubt starfield is even coming next year, so this sure is a prediction.

 

[Almagest]

Does he think Bethesda can just conjure what a lot of people expect to be an exceptional quality game within the company's flagship IP out of thin air?

If so this man is more out of touch that I ever thought.

 

[cw_sasuke]

Unlikely.

Seems like he really needs the attention, thats the only way i can explain such predictions.

 

[ChewbieFR]

How can one be so wrong? Why people give this man any credit.
Besides Starfield is expected to launch before TES VI, so that would mean it's nearly gold

 

[Foffy]

I wonder if the game will run at 240fps.

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2.40 FPS ;)

 

[ByWatterson]

PS4 Pro price cut to $150(!) was my personal favorite.

 

[ChaosXVI]

The hell is he smoking? The game is barely is barely in pre-production the last we heard of it. There is literally zero chance it comes out this year, and probably not next year either. 2021 at the minimum.

 

[Coolduderedux]

Why do we still give this guy the time of day?

 

[ClickyCal']

TES6 coming in 9102 confirmed.

 

[nib95]

Rushing a game out the door to alleviate the problems caused by a game that was rushed out the door. That's it!

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First post nails it lol.

 

[Soundtrack2chaos]

Why are we still paying attention to whatever Pachter says anyway

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I've been wondering this since the start of this generation.

In any case Bethesda rushing a game out the door would hardly be a surprise. Do we know how long they've been working on it for?

 

[Wolfgunblood]

BGS isn't Activision... they don't operate like that.

 

[daybreak]

He also states that the Switch is tracking for 13 million in sales this FY, which is just plain wrong.

 

[Deleted member 3925]

Rush it out so that it'll be an even bigger broken mess than usual. Brilliant.

I doubt development has even properly started for TES VI yet. They're working on Starfield.

 

[Tagg]

Hahaha - Pachter making analysts look lazy as fuck with this prediction.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

I've been wondering this since the start of this generation.

In any case Bethesda rushing a game out the door would hardly be a surprise. Do we know how long they've been working on it for?

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Outside of pre-production, Bethesda hasn't started development on ES6 and probably won't until Starfield is launched.

 

[CloudWolf]

TES VI probably isn't even in active production yet.

 

[Youngfossil]

I dunno if you guys was around for the nintendo MEGATON prediction. Nothing can top that.

This is actually possible

Not probable

Also they could put Starfield on the backburner for a guaranteed hit like ES to make up for the loss of FO76. Even if it is bad, it will still make money

 

[Deleted member 249]

For fuck's sake

 

[AppleSautts]

Why do we still make threads about this guy?

 

[Betty]

It's being developed for next gen machines right?

So either next gen is coming much sooner than many of us thought (hopefully not) or Patcher is just talking tripe.

 

[Deleted member 28076]

I still don't know why people got hyped for TESVI when they straight up said it wasn't even entering production until their next game is done, and their next game is so early in development it has a trailer of just a logo and some noises.

 

[daegan]

They haven't even launched Swords yet. Wtf...

 

[LiK]

Def the worst prediction ever.

 

[Darryl M R]

I would hope this would be a launch title for next gen consoles..