How likely is a new global war in the next 5-10 years?
- Thread starter Exellus
- Start date
I could see Russia escalating if Trump loses power and a hard anti Russia diplomacy is instilled.
Slim to none.
We've become increasingly proficient at isolating conflict via proxy wars.
One day we may run out of fledgling states and regime-change targets to hedge against one another.
That day won't come any time soon.
We've become increasingly proficient at isolating conflict via proxy wars.
One day we may run out of fledgling states and regime-change targets to hedge against one another.
That day won't come any time soon.
Money, power, ideological changes, natural resources... like always
I don't see a global scale war happening, but what I do see if smaller proxy wars increasing headed by the big super powers for global influence. I can see Africa potentially being an area where people start competing harder for influence, especially as others see what China is doing there.
I just can't see a superpower vs superpower war happening, but I can see them waging war against each other through other peoples.
I just can't see a superpower vs superpower war happening, but I can see them waging war against each other through other peoples.
About how some people don't use the Switch as a portable. It seems to infuriate some of the fan base to dismiss the portable (option) nature of it.
my guess would be resources and habitable land if the alarming climate change reports are to be believed
Major power wars have largely been aided since the end of WWII because world leaders wisely put in place a set of global institutions of cooperation, like the United Nations. Democracies don't tend to attack other democracies, and the spread of international trade has linked countries together in a prosperity of interdependence. That's why major power conflicts have been largely non-existent since (and the major one with the USSR didn't involve two democracies or countries linked by trade).
So... as long as we don't see any major disruptions to global institutions and alliances, democratic norms remain strong, and free trade continues, we shouldn't see any major power wars.
So... as long as we don't see any major disruptions to global institutions and alliances, democratic norms remain strong, and free trade continues, we shouldn't see any major power wars.
10 years? Maybe? A lot can happen.
I think some countries will start wars over resources as soon as 20 years from now, once global warming starts fucking shit up for real (its only gonna get worse).
Edit:
Not talking oil, but food and water / more livable land.
I think some countries will start wars over resources as soon as 20 years from now, once global warming starts fucking shit up for real (its only gonna get worse).
Edit:
Not talking oil, but food and water / more livable land.
Very.
Our world is obviously under a conservative / fascist new wave threat. The single way to sort this shit will obviously be war. Now, what's dangerous is just like Brazil is succumbing to fascist ideas, same goes for Trump America and several countries in Europe. I'm legit scared we'll be seeing something like this happening in less than 2 years, let alone 10.
Our world is obviously under a conservative / fascist new wave threat. The single way to sort this shit will obviously be war. Now, what's dangerous is just like Brazil is succumbing to fascist ideas, same goes for Trump America and several countries in Europe. I'm legit scared we'll be seeing something like this happening in less than 2 years, let alone 10.
Yurp. We're going to see the major powers see an actual loss of workable, arable, livable land and what remains, or whats exposed, will be heavily sought after.
I just don't see the point of War between world powers in the modern age. There are many ways of attacking another nation.
Imo, if global warming really leads to large pieces of earth becoming inhabitable and mass migrations starts happening, wars will be fought for land that's still viable.
5-10? Doubtful. But you never know. Nukes changed the game. Aint no one trying to go hard on other great powers. Some nation that can't really fight back? Or can only fight back via asymmetrical warfare? Sure.
But other nations with nukes? No one wants that heat. Assuming of course everyone is a rational player of this game. Some mofos might be crazy enough....
But other nations with nukes? No one wants that heat. Assuming of course everyone is a rational player of this game. Some mofos might be crazy enough....
Tbh, I can say with certainty that unless some kind of catalyst on the level of Ferdinand were to happen, there won't be another global scale war in this century. And I think we as a species have made it so that nothing can spiral as much into chaos as the lead up to The Great War did. Even as bad as things get, it won't ever go full scale like it did. We can't afford to let something that big happen again.
An American Civil war is more likely than a global war, at this point.
For all those who say a civil war is 0% likely:
What would you do, if Trump takes more power and illegally claims a second or third term? If the American system becomes more fascist? If more and more dissenting people are jailed? If democratic protests are crushed with the military?
Just take it?
For all those who say a civil war is 0% likely:
What would you do, if Trump takes more power and illegally claims a second or third term? If the American system becomes more fascist? If more and more dissenting people are jailed? If democratic protests are crushed with the military?
Just take it?
I read papers about how that won't actually help anything. There's a good Ted talk about that
War between great powers is unlikely, but proxy wars that lead to a refugee crisis for the great powers is pretty likely.
Hmm, it's more likely that we'll see another Cold War between China and the West over the influence of Southeast Asia and Africa.
It'll basically be a series of conflicts where the Americans and Europeans support one side, while the Chinese support another.
It'll basically be a series of conflicts where the Americans and Europeans support one side, while the Chinese support another.
Digital warfare is the new battle ground, not guns and planes and nukes (those are for the aliens), nations are currently fighting with 1's and 0's (sometimes both, sometimes neither)
Apple and Amazon will fight to buy Walmart, that is the next World War.
Apple and Amazon will fight to buy Walmart, that is the next World War.
