How confident are you that Nintendo will reach their 20 million target for Switch this year?

[Mysterio79]

Edit: Users are now able to change votes post E3, post E3 thoughts:

Smash now being touted for a December release (when most of us expected September with Nintendo's online service) may impact Nintendo's bottom line here and change their fortunes this year, causing them to lower their yearly projections.

Keep in mind that selling over 20 million is nothing to scoff at and would represent the best year of any console over the last generation.

So will they hit 20 million? More? Less? What say you?

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[Deleted member 1413]

e3 is in less than 2 weeks.
But, it'll probably reach it, yeah.
Let's Go will do well and so will Smash.

 

[Theswweet]

sure why not

 

[Chekhonte]

I've got a feeling that it'll be shy of that projection but not by much.

 

[ASaiyan]

There's a Pokemon game coming. Doesn't matter that the "real" one's coming next year. Even freaking X & Y sold like 13 million.

Add Smash and potentially Fire Emblem to that, and that 20 million target will be breezed through. You will not see a Switch on the shelf after Thanksgiving, lol.

 

[Kouriozan]

I can see it happen easily and some more if they manage to convert Pokemon Go players.

 

[WhoaIsThatMars]

They're releasing the most accessible Pokemon game (mainline or not) on Switch this year. It'll probably surpass 20 million

 

[Hentz]

I say they were conservative.

 

[Deleted member 249]

They're hitting it easily with Pokemon and Smash

 

[weekev]

20 million is looking positively conservative with let's go pikachu being a holiday release. I hope they have plans to manufacture more cos it will be the big holiday toy this year.

 

[skeezx]

somewhere around that neighborhood, sure. why not

 

[hibikase]

If you step out of the resetera reality distortion bubble it's pretty clear that it shouldn't be a problem.

 

[RochHoch]

Pokemon: Casual Trash Edition will probably sell a good amount of units

 

[Askherserenity]

With Smash and Pokemon? Yes.

 

[DomsPlaying]

800 million downloads for Pokemon GO. Was announced at the beginning of tonight's event.

Also, remember that the 20 million figure target is for April 2018 to March 2019. I believe it will beat this guidance, by 1-2 million.

 

[Neoxon]

They definitely will with Smash & Pokémon.

 

[Zippo]

Pokemon does not sound exciting in the least, but It will sell like crazy. Smash by all accounts, is going to bring the hype. It'll meet their goal.

 

[Soul Skater]

Pokémon+Smash

Yes

 

[Yoshimitsu126]

Don't forget the Star Fox Grand Prix too. That can be potentially big. Especially if they try to do a guardians of the galaxy vibe to the game.

 

[Deleted member 6730]

That Pokemon game will sell gangbusters.

 

[competentcuttlefish]

Pokemon: Casual Trash Edition will probably sell a good amount of units

Click to shrink...

Someone is very angery

 

[SuperBlank]

Pikachu-plastered-Pokemon and Smash? Yup. Any possible NSMB or Animal Crossing (unlikely on that one) would just be gravy.

 

[BeeKaine]

Pokemon and Smash the same year, I think they're aiming a little low.

 

[Shark]

Definitely.

 

[Dusk Golem]

Honestly with a Pokemon game for the Go crowd coming and Smash Bros, I'm pretty confident they'll make it.

 

[Medalion]

Mah Pokemans let me show you them... and all these Switch sales

 

[eseqko]

My sister who has been content with her Vita/PS4 combo is currently searching for a Switch on Amazon after the Pokémon news.

I think people on the fence to get the console are probably jumping in now.

If Smash can do the same with the Smash community, it might come close to 20 million.

 

[delete12345]

25 million units sold, baby!!

 

[Platy]

You can ride a charizard and transfer pokemon go to it

Shit will explode

 

[Welfare]

20M is guaranteed. Not sure on how much more they can sell.

 

[Ulairi]

Pokemon: Casual Trash Edition will probably sell a good amount of units

Click to shrink...

I'm with you. 18-34 year olds are not getting enough content built for them! Nintendo releasing a Pokémon game for kids is bullshit!

 

[Comic Obsessed]

Pokemon: Casual Trash Edition will probably sell a good amount of units

Click to shrink...

Hate to break this to you (not really) but, Pokemon has always been casual.

 

[gcwy]

Where are they right now? Depends on several factors.

 

[delete12345]

I'm slowly becoming like MemoryMan 3, where I'll always be shouting "25 MILLION UNITS" every year!

 

[tiebreaker]

Ehh, what's the sale number last year?
I'm not as confident as many here.

 

[Deleted member 2793]

It's missing it.

 

[Guaraná]

not 20... more around 25 millions!

 

[Deleted member 3700]

Easily. Now that we have Smash and Pokemon, can't wait for Fire Emblem and rumored Star Fox

 

[Sandfox]

We still don't know the full lineup. Nintendo will probably has a big internally developed game for the end of the year assuming Smash releases around September.

 

[tazmin]

If they don't have any major supply issues when Pokemon comes out

 

[Deleted member 16365]

It's a tough Q4 this year, but Smash will absolutely sell Switches.

 

[Ulairi]

Yes. I think they will. Smash, Pokémon, Yoshi, and whatever surprises they announce at E3 is a strong line up. I hope they have another Doom/Skyrim type surprise for old men like me.

 

[Deleted member 2145]

I'm taking the over, that's for sure

 

[luciensanchez]

I keep telling myself it's basically just a tablet with joy cons and hdmi out that will really be showing its age in a few years.

But...

Prior to this, has anyone ever been in a position to sell a home console like a mobile device or tablet? From what I can see on twitter, the industry analysts seem confident that Nintendo will have some success selling multiple Switches to households. If that happens, it could blow all the estimates out of the water.

 

[javac]

With all the talk about how weak this year has been for Switch, the second half is stacked, it'll reach 20million easily.

 

[Jimrpg]

Easy if there's a Pokemon coming this year.

It'll be easier to answer this question after E3

 

[RochHoch]

I'm with you. 18-34 year olds are not getting enough content built for them! Nintendo releasing a Pokémon game for kids is bullshit!

Click to shrink...

Hate to break this to you (not really) but, Pokemon has always been casual.

Click to shrink...

Yeah, but since Pokemon games have always been casual and for children though, so what's the point of watering them down and removing important game mechanics when they were already for kids to begin with? Let's Go is just doing everything possible to ruin the experience for hardcore fans for literally no reason.

 

[American Eskimo]

They already announced the game in the app.

They will be pushing them both hard

 

[Aaron]

Don't forget the Star Fox Grand Prix too. That can be potentially big. Especially if they try to do a guardians of the galaxy vibe to the game.

Click to shrink...

Never realized how much I wanted this.

Please have Bradley Cooper play Fox.

Also, Fire Emblem is basically confirmed for holidays. That's definitely the lesser of Smash and Pokémon, but it'll bring in its own crowd.

 

[Andri]

There's a Pokemon game coming. Doesn't matter that the "real" one's coming next year. Even freaking X & Y sold like 13 million.

Add Smash and potentially Fire Emblem to that, and that 20 million target will be breezed through. You will not see a Switch on the shelf after Thanksgiving, lol.

Click to shrink...

XY sold 16 million.