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What do you think of IntelliHeath's Halloween avatar?

  • Great choice! Duck Season ftw!

    Votes: 106 24.6%
  • Creepy! Remove it ASAP!

    Votes: 97 22.5%
  • Don't Care...

    Votes: 228 52.9%

  • Total voters
    431
  • Poll closed .
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NotLiquid

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
34,880
At the risk of sounding like a conspiracy nutbag, is it at all possible the insiders are getting their information from one source who's willing to talk? Didn't APZonerunner mention that he had a "source", singular? Please correct me if this is a mistake.
I forget who it was (might have been Jonneh) but I'm pretty sure someone implied that there's more than just one source in play and that we shouldn't assume it's only one.
 

Deleted member 176

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
37,160
If Vergeben was right and there are only Ken, Incineroar, and a Square character left that would be truly disappointing.
 

Mark1

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,007
Yes, there was a lot of doubt put on it by some people.

"Shulk is just a photoshopped little mac"
"The character portraits don't all line up"
"Mr. G&W's hand is going into Wario's portrait"
"Wario's left pupil is missing they wouldn't make that mistake"
"The order of the characters don't make sense Sakurai would put them in this order instead"
"Does anyone SERIOUSLY believe they'd bring fucking Dr. Mario back?"
"The footage is just a modded Brawl"
"The Dr. Mario render is just a copy of this old Dr. Mario render (that actually looked nothing like it)"
All this and no views on how insiders found it?

Man Smash leaks are amazing for speculation xD
 

GiantBreadbug

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,992

Marossi

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,997
I don't think Isaac has been making the rounds on their list. Notice:

Qyrcnzq.gif
Or maybe he's wishing that his sources are correct because then his dream character would be in? I dunno, it could be anything.
 

PMS341

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt-account
Banned
Oct 29, 2017
6,634
How much doubt was put on the ESRB leak?

Like was it this diverse? xD

People swore Shulk was just Little Mac. Really.

I think the only way to prove the leak wrong, at this point, is an actual direct and not some words from insiders. Even if they wanted to, I doubt they'd risk sources to contradict the leak via image or video. Until then, we have no way to prove the leak false otherwise.
 

JoeInky

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,446
All this and no views on how insiders found it?

Man Smash leaks are amazing for speculation xD

I believe someone posted an old GX video in this thread about it saying it was probably fake?

I can't remember and I don't pay attention to insiders at all so I'm just going off what people replying to it said, I may be mis-remembering.
 

Camjo-Z

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,538
Devil's advocate theory:

The leaker has the final banner in front of him. He isn't that big of a Smash fan but he knows video games somewhat well. Maybe he remembers when Rare used to make Nintendo games and has a fondness for Banjo Kazooie, and is annoyed that this partnership ended long ago. This leaker finally gets Nintendo marketing materials on his desk and decides to make a little joke at Nintendo's expense over his frustration for them losing Rare.

He takes the official banner and makes a simple edit- he finds an obscure render of Banjo Kazooie and slaps it over Incineroar. He then takes a snapchat video of it and overlays "lol fuck Nintendo" since he's pissed about them essentially losing Banjo.

This leaker probably doesn't even know the banner is not official info yet, and he probably doesn't follow Smash enough to know that several of these new characters haven't yet been announced.

It's possible, but turning his simple edit into a wristband thingy as though it were a real piece of promotional material is kind of a long way to go for a simple "fuck Nintendo for selling Rare" gag. You'd think he would have just taken a picture of it on the computer or printed it out onto a standard piece of paper.
 

Kiro

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,945
Ottawa, Canada
It's unfortunate that really no matter what happens - real or fake, this is going to cause some people to be sad knowing "this" (whatever this is) is the final roster. When there's nothing left to show, everyone deflates in hype a little.

...but then the game comes out.
 

Marossi

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,997
It's unfortunate that really no matter what happens - real or fake, this is going to cause some people to be sad knowing "this" (whatever this is) is the final roster. When there's nothing left to show, everyone deflates in hype a little.

...but then the game comes out.
Yup, some people prefer to discuss who's in instead of actually playing the game.

I'm for sure going to miss this thread once the game comes out, but I will be so thankful that the speculations are finally over and I can play a game that has a roster of dreams already.
 

Deleted member 176

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
37,160
It's unfortunate that really no matter what happens - real or fake, this is going to cause some people to be sad knowing "this" (whatever this is) is the final roster. When there's nothing left to show, everyone deflates in hype a little.

...but then the game comes out.
I was thinking about that and the game releasing is kind of horrifying to me. I'll be in a completely different mental state by December 7th.
 

Vidiot

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,472
Sakurai likes to announce his directs a bit earlier than Nintendos usual 24 hours, correct? So if we're getting one this week it should be announced today or tomorrow?
 

APZonerunner

Features Editor at VG247.com
Verified
Oct 28, 2017
1,764
England
At the risk of sounding like a conspiracy nutbag, is it at all possible the insiders are getting their information from one source who's willing to talk? Didn't APZonerunner mention that he had a "source", singular? Please correct me if this is a mistake.

I can happily say I've only spoken directly to one person directly who has given me information (and they've thus far been reliable), but I've also spoken to other people who have similar information and confirmed they're not getting it from the same person. The flip side of this is, to play devil's advocate: who is the source's source for them? Is it verifiably direct (IE do they work on the game, would they be in a position to directly receive this information?) With a lot of effort, just like crafting a fake it'd be so easy to insert 'sources' into different places to create an echo chamber that spreads misinformation.

This is where my previous posts about reporting come in, and how in traditional journalistic areas anybody would want two or more verifiable sources before going to print. They don't just want two sources: you want to make sure you can also verify they have the means to possess the information they do and also that the two sources are independent - ensure that they're not saying the same thing because they both heard it from the same place, which could be incorrect. This is why you haven't seen any really big leak reports on big-name websites about this, and why most of the discourse is just people (be it influencers, media, social media folks, community members or whatever else) shooting the shit on twitter. I don't think anybody has really been able to piece together that sort of water-tight sourcing, so of course people could be being misled. I don't think it's all that likely though, because there's a lot of people from a lot of different areas who seemingly don't know each other singing from the same song sheet.
 

Lunar15

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,647
I still personally think that the item is related to the healing stuff, since we know that uses a sprout icon.

A sprout orb divorced from Isaac yet still tied to golden sun doesnt make a ton of sense to me.
 

Skittzo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
41,037
It's possible, but turning his simple edit into a wristband thingy as though it were a real piece of promotional material is kind of a long way to go for a simple "fuck Nintendo for selling Rare" gag. You'd think he would have just taken a picture of it on the computer or printed it out onto a standard piece of paper.

Well the image is so low quality that isn't it possible he literally pasted an image of Banjo onto an existing printed banner? IIRC no part of Banjo's art in that leak appears to be covered by any other character.
 

JahIthBer

Member
Jan 27, 2018
10,400
The idea that the leak uses real assets, but was modified to be fake by some butthurt nobody, sounds more outlandish than the leak being completely fake and just luckily guessing a few very popular characters correctly.
Also having a seam right next to issac's vines. too many coincidences to be fake & insiders keep contradicting each other. so im still teamreal, but i will admit someone could have edited this to troll people.
 
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Weiss

User requested ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
64,265
There's not one source. Jonneh pretty much hinted at this.
I forget who it was (might have been Jonneh) but I'm pretty sure someone implied that there's more than just one source in play and that we shouldn't assume it's only one.

So no one has out and out said they have multiple sources?


It's entirely possible when people say that "some parts of the banner are accurate" they're only referring to Ken.

I think "some" implies more than one in this instance. Otherwise they'd just say Ken.
 

Marossi

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,997
It's entirely possible when people say that "some parts of the banner are accurate" they're only referring to Ken.
Wouldn't the wording then be "there are one specific part of the banner that is accurate" or something like that? "some" implies a number greater than 1 my guess.

Also, talking about Ken, how did that debug photo of him even leaked at all? Since journalists and insiders are being really protective of their sources, it's weird that Ken photo actually made it's way into the internet.
 

Weiss

User requested ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
64,265
I can happily say I've only spoken directly to one person directly who has given me information (and they've thus far been reliable), but I've also spoken to other people who have similar information and confirmed they're not getting it from the same person. The flip side of this is, to play devil's advocate: who is the source's source for them? Is it verifiably direct (IE do they work on the game, would they be in a position to directly receive this information?) With a lot of effort, just like crafting a fake it'd be so easy to insert 'sources' into different places to create an echo chamber that spreads misinformation.

This is where my previous posts about reporting come in, and how in traditional journalistic areas anybody would want two or more verifiable sources before going to print. They don't just want two sources: you want to make sure you can also verify they have the means to possess the information they do and also that the two sources are independent - ensure that they're not saying the same thing because they both heard it from the same place, which could be incorrect. This is why you haven't seen any really big leak reports on big-name websites about this, and why most of the discourse is just people (be it influencers, media, social media folks, community members or whatever else) shooting the shit on twitter. I don't think anybody has really been able to piece together that sort of water-tight sourcing, so of course people could be being misled. I don't think it's all that likely though.

Thank you, this is greatly appreciated.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,794
So no one has out and out said they have multiple sources?




I think "some" implies more than one in this instance. Otherwise they'd just say Ken.
I think the multiple sources are what is causing these unreliable confirmations for these characters. I still feel like one of them was a red herring to draw out somebody to see who is leaking them.
 

ned_ballad

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
48,299
Rochester, New York
I think "some" implies more than one in this instance. Otherwise they'd just say Ken.

Wouldn't the wording then be "there are one specific part of the banner that is accurate" or something like that? "some" implies a number greater than 1 my guess.

Also, talking about Ken, how did that debug photo of him even leaked at all? Since journalists and insiders are being really protective of their sources, it's weird that Ken photo actually made it's way into the internet.
They may want to keep it as vague as possible.
 

Bard

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
12,586
All I know is, I hope that leak is true and that Ray gets added later as DLC.

That way only Sukapon would be missing from my dream picks, sadly this time around she's an AT, but maybe next time...
 

NotLiquid

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
34,880
Wouldn't the wording then be "there are one specific part of the banner that is accurate" or something like that? "some" implies a number greater than 1 my guess.

Saying "one character" would obviously be too much of a giveaway and it's clear most people in the know don't wanna divulge too much about what they know.

It's also why I don't particularly buy Ryce's post being evidence that Geno is in. We're not actually sure yet whether or not insiders know for a fact that Geno is our Square Enix rep. The only thing we seem to know for a fact is that Incineroar is missing, but if we're still working off of the assumption that one of the characters is still just known as "Square Enix character", it's still possible that Geno may be nothing but a safe assumption.
 

KtotheRoc

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 27, 2017
56,782
I actually allowed myself to believe Isaac might actually be in this game. I'm disappointed in myself. :(
 

Soralight8

Member
Oct 25, 2017
555
It's also why I don't particularly buy Ryce's post being evidence that Geno and Ken are in. We're not actually sure yet whether or not insiders know for a fact that Geno is our Square Enix rep.
that what bothering me i get that geno was fan requested since early smash but is also possible they keep geno away from the iniders then
 
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