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US PoliERA 2018 |OT10| McConnell is "mule piss"
- Thread starter Midnight Jon
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Privately, those close to Trump say the Democrat who most worries the president and his team is not a celeb but Biden, who they fear could cut into his working-class white support in such states as Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...0a3214-ccc0-11e8-a3e6-44daa3d35ede_story.html
Schumer sucks. But also whatever, you aren't stopping GOP Admin-Senate from nominating and appointing judges ultimately.
As with most of these fights - you lost that fight in Nov 2016 if not before.
As with most of these fights - you lost that fight in Nov 2016 if not before.
Yes, Whitmer winning this.
Hopefully stuff like weed and independent gerry win too.
I suspect they won't because it will burn their methods of spying, unless things get absolutely out of hand. They will use the threat of disclosure, or reveal it to friendly governments, instead.
This is good but it annoys me when turnout is compared to the worst Democratic midterm turnout of all time. Like, it's not saying that much.
Nate is right on the money here.
Technical comment, but people aren't paying enough attention to the *volume* of polling in a particular state or district. Having 1 or 2 bad polls is a lot different than having several of them, especially if (as is often the case with House polls) the sample sizes are small.
e.g. in ND-SEN, only two firms have polled the race since Labor Day. They both have really bad numbers for Heitkamp. But it's not a lot of polling, and earlier polls had shown a more competitive race. That's why our model classifies it as "lean R" rather than likely or safe R.
Technical comment, but people aren't paying enough attention to the *volume* of polling in a particular state or district. Having 1 or 2 bad polls is a lot different than having several of them, especially if (as is often the case with House polls) the sample sizes are small.
e.g. in ND-SEN, only two firms have polled the race since Labor Day. They both have really bad numbers for Heitkamp. But it's not a lot of polling, and earlier polls had shown a more competitive race. That's why our model classifies it as "lean R" rather than likely or safe R.
Now she's covering the Waller County Dem staffer arrest story. That county sure has a history of this shit.
Yup. Vile shit going on down there and similar places.
How long it's been going on and how they have kept it up for over 40 years is crazy and infuriating.
Has Upshot expanded its sample size to 800 for House polls, too? They used to publish results at N=150; now it's N=250.
Also these Upshot/Siena polls are like the only ones being done for a lot of these House districts
NYT reporter saying the Turkish account of what happened in the Saudi consulate (the gruesome torture, death, and...well...etc.) is gaining credibility in Washington (not the white house of course, but the agencies and perhaps congress).
Congress would only be interested in the Saudi story until they realize Papa Donald is involved somehow.
Always fun to see which stories gain traction and which don't - who would've guessed the NYT tax fraud story would keep stalling (for now), while a Saudi journalist murder would blow up (not discounting its seriousness)?
journalists are going to be more invested in the killing of a journalist tbh
Republican attack ads in Oklahoma governors race are going after edmonson for wanting to raise taxes in a state with a billion dollar deficit. Then they spent the rest of the ad showing pictures of hillary and pelosi.
Journalists, state department employees, foreign agents and contractors, all.
Trump won't do anything to the Saudis. There's zero reason for him to personally care about the situation, and for him to actually take action on something you have to give him a reason to be interested. With the Saudis pouring billions in for weapons and millions into Trump properties, he's fine with whatever. "Just some journalist" will be said at some point.
ridiculous. Do they want Oklahoma to be be in deficit hell and dead broke forever? There is no choice at this point but to raise taxes. It's that dire.
Melania: "Did I leave the stove on?"Why would he do anything when they let him touch the GLOBE ORB!
Pollster found Karen Handel up by 8, and TJ Cox up by 2.
So they're wrong.
Pollster found Karen Handel up by 8, and TJ Cox up by 2.
This is a fraud poll.
How sad is it that I completely forgot that this happened?Why would he do anything when they let him touch the GLOBE ORB!
When a pollster comes out of the woodwork with literally zero prior track record then it's safe to disregard them.
We need more garbage polls like these to lull the Republicans into false hopes.
Pollster found Karen Handel up by 8, and TJ Cox up by 2.
No website? You got duped
EDIT: or did you?
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Remember when Trump revealed classified information from the Israeli government to the Russians...?
or when he asked Dan Coates and Admiral Rodgers to Push back against the FBI?
or Don Jrs Twitter DMs of "I love it!" and HE VOLUNTARILY TOLD ON HIMSELF.
or Sean Spicer resigning?
or Trump trying to ban transgender people from serving in the military?
OP
OP
You're right, unfortunately. If Saudis get away with this, what's stopping them from carrying out more hitjobs on international soil? Who will they target next? Bloggers? YouTubers? Suddenly the world seems a lot more scary place.
Oh shit, they're doing my CD. I wonder why? That'll be only the second poll
edit: nevermind lol
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