Has to be an internal Republican only poll right?
which would be uhhhhh....Wow if that's true.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT4| Disaster Voltron
- Thread starter Ogodei
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which would be uhhhhh....Wow if that's true.
I wonder if the Biden election against Bernie is a a sort of canary in the coal mine as to how the race against Trump will go. Like, we see in all the swing states Hillary struggled in, Biden is blowing Bernie out of the water. Part of this is due to him being not Hillary. Plus a generally well liked dude.
I wonder if many of those new Trump voters in swing states that looked rock solid, were really just anti-Hillary voters. Like many pundits and watchers saw how Bernie did in 2016, and assumed that would translate into 2020. It did not. I wonder if that's a foreshadowing of what's to come in a few months. That puts places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and even Florida back on the map. Add Arizona, Maine, North Carolina, and Iowa, and we've got a pretty comfy election.
And that's without a recession ( even a mild, short one, which looks to be almost guaranteed due to Trump's bungling this) and the virus aftershocks. Then you start looking at places like Georgia, Missouri, Kansas, and Texas. Then it's really 2008 2.0.
Return of The Jedi indeed.
I wonder if many of those new Trump voters in swing states that looked rock solid, were really just anti-Hillary voters. Like many pundits and watchers saw how Bernie did in 2016, and assumed that would translate into 2020. It did not. I wonder if that's a foreshadowing of what's to come in a few months. That puts places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and even Florida back on the map. Add Arizona, Maine, North Carolina, and Iowa, and we've got a pretty comfy election.
And that's without a recession ( even a mild, short one, which looks to be almost guaranteed due to Trump's bungling this) and the virus aftershocks. Then you start looking at places like Georgia, Missouri, Kansas, and Texas. Then it's really 2008 2.0.
Return of The Jedi indeed.
Right Wing Watch on Twitter
“Kenneth Copeland healed viewers of the coronavirus through their televisions last night. https://t.co/8lwHufTIy4”
twitter.com
Trump's brain doesn't work that way. He got into office by being a virulent dickhead and he's going to keep doing that until they haul him out of the oval office next January.
The chattering Wormtongues around the narcissist provide avenues to point fingers away from himself. It's why they're still there.
lol. Even then he had to spice it up by 1%.
How are those numbers looking now?
So we're does Florida get tax revenue from with the parks closing and tourism likely taking a big hit? That's a major reason they don't have income tax isn't it?
Right Wing Watch on Twitter
“Kenneth Copeland healed viewers of the coronavirus through their televisions last night. https://t.co/8lwHufTIy4”
Will save in case of Corona. Thx.
Seems like a distant memory as it was 24 long long hours ago he was calling to "stop the partisanship" in his national address.
I love how it's like...this off-topic, kinda sorta thing still is wrong, but...maybe that's what he means....is the level we have sunk to now.
Yeah, but people criticized him. And we all know that 'stop the partisanship' is code for 'don't upset baby'.
Yo, this is bad. When Jason Furman is arguing now we need UBI, of potentially $2,000+ a month to stop a crash worse than 2008, we're in deep deep deep deep deep deep shit.
Furman was part of Obama's Council of Economic advisors and famous for being an opponent to UBI. Shit's critically bad.
This is going to get significantly worse. It's like we're in an airplane that's descending at high speed, and the person in the pilot's seat just learned the word airplane.
Furman was part of Obama's Council of Economic advisors and famous for being an opponent to UBI. Shit's critically bad.
This is going to get significantly worse. It's like we're in an airplane that's descending at high speed, and the person in the pilot's seat just learned the word airplane.
The same people panicking were cheering that this moron was doing everything they'd ever want. Bill's come due, idiots
Trump might actually agree to a temporary UBI. He'd see it as a way to bribe voters. The GOP Senate would sooner kill their own children than vote for it though.
What's so fucked up about the markets tanking is that this isn't even an inherently financial crisis! The economic problems are entirely induced by his own fucking lack of effective response to the virus! He makes things worse every time he opens his fucking mouth and contradicts any one of the actual experts leading on this, but he can't help from opening his dumb fucking face all the time because he can't stand attention being trained on anyone but him. Goddamn.
We kinda had to wait until October 1929 for that one....
he'd need a constitutional amendment. and as with all constitutional amendments in this day and age.. lol. good luck.
There is no way in hell Republicans agree to that. Hell, whether or not you have enough dems in the house without further pain is questionable. Like, pubs are wincing about doing super-temporary two weeks of paid sick leave.
Trump doesn't believe in universal programs only selective and exclusive ones.
theyll never agree to a universal basic income. I could see farmer basic income though or targeted bribes specifically at voters he wants
They're wincing but I also think it hasn't sunk in how bad this is going to be. This is a party that can't understand data. They also don't want to be painted as the party of pain in an election year.
With that in mind, I don't see them doing UBI. As usual Republicans, they'll offer aid with holes in it and hope it works as political cover.
Nah. The political environment is to polarized in the US right now which makes it hard for a party to win a landslide. Biden's ceiling in terms of the electoral college is somewhere in the mid to high 300s if things get really bad.
Hopefully it doesn't need saying but Obama declared H1N1 an emergency before the first death.
www.snopes.com
Did Obama Declare Swine Flu Emergency Only After 'Millions' Infected?
Not all "fact checks" are created equal.
www.snopes.com
When there is voting in the house and senate, if someone is self-isolating can they still vote?
If this carries on I don't think repub politicians will even back him. They got their tax cut and judges, they're going to want the chance to get the house back and keep (or regain) the senate. Easier for them to do that whining about Biden than defending this
2004 there was "talk" about delaying the election cause of terrorism. Bush couldn't delay it. In 2012 there was "talk" too after hurricane Sandy, Obama didn't have the power either then too.
Michael Barbaro on Twitter
“According to a survey of epidemiologists the coronavirus outbreak probably won’t peak before May, meaning it will be getting worse and worse and worse over the next two months, and for much of that time, presumably, exponentially worse. https://t.co/qBfpR76kez”
twitter.com
Michael Barbaro on Twitter
“According to a survey of epidemiologists the coronavirus outbreak probably won’t peak before May, meaning it will be getting worse and worse and worse over the next two months, and for much of that time, presumably, exponentially worse. https://t.co/qBfpR76kez”
Source
Michael Barbaro on Twitter
“According to a survey of epidemiologists the coronavirus outbreak probably won’t peak before May, meaning it will be getting worse and worse and worse over the next two months, and for much of that time, presumably, exponentially worse. https://t.co/qBfpR76kez”
Jeez, I was expecting mid-late April.
14 day paid sick leave ain't covering shit.
In that report they predict an average of 1800 reported U.S. cases by March 16th (with crazy margin for error of course). As of the end of the 12th there were 1663.
They also estimate about 1/8 of actual U.S. cases have been reported.
They also estimate about 1/8 of actual U.S. cases have been reported.
May?!?!?
Damn...god i hope to god it wont be that bad the peak wont even happen in April....
Looking over the (very short PDF) -
1. This was used assuming the known cases as of Monday, March 9th. The general assumption is 1,819 cases by Monday, March 16th. We are at 1,663 cases diagnosed, well on the way to break that number. The upper bound of predictions gives a little over 6,000 cases by Monday.
2. They assume that only 13% of the true caseload has been reported (presumably self-reported/through testing).
3. There is an assumption of peak cases in May!
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