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Media Create Sales: Week 42, 2018 (Oct 15 - Oct 21)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Yeah, hopefully whoever would work on it would ask the KH team kindly for their assets. It could help.
Find out the answer to that and more in the next action packed episode of KH Tracker Z!
Even though I already said it in my post by using a capital S in superior. lol
PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2018
Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 29 to Nov 25):
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (28 days) - 511.111
[3DS] Luigi's Mansion (18 days) - 75.000
[PS4] Fallout 76 (11 days) - 85.500
[NSW] Pokémon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! (10 days) - 1.666.666
[PS4] Battlefield V (6 days) - 120.000
Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 29 to Nov 25):
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (28 days) - 511.111
[3DS] Luigi's Mansion (18 days) - 75.000
[PS4] Fallout 76 (11 days) - 85.500
[NSW] Pokémon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! (10 days) - 1.666.666
[PS4] Battlefield V (6 days) - 120.000
Don't imagine they'll get the chance to increase it.
Decrease might come later in January
That would take Let's Go and Smash underperforming. Only LG has that likelyhood
Actual sales would probably be minimal. They might subscribe to a service to get cardboard replacements but I imagine it's more for marketing than actual sales
That's why i said if it catch, since it's only in tests now, and in few schools, it is obviouly minimal
Even me, i couldn't care less for MKT, but in my mind i was just thinking about questions of investors.
That's why about eventual news, i spoke about MKT...
About octopath, it was million seller in 3 weeks, perhaps 700K overseas and 300K for Japan.
So, it is possible that it made 1M overseas ( end of september ) and Nintendo as publisher ( others territories than Japan ) can report this.
Just a tidbit from Gust/Koei Tecmo but:
Sounds like sales numbers for Atelier on Switch have been much more encouraging outside of Japan.
Sounds like sales numbers for Atelier on Switch have been much more encouraging outside of Japan.
What a surprise ;)
Same as with NISA, Switch audience in the West particularly is very interested in Japanese games.
How many hours till the financials??
I'm curious how Mario Party did.
Mario Party shouldn't be in the record. The tracking period ends in September and SMP came out in October. They could mention it in their presentation however.
OP
OP
3 months.
___
If Nintendo 64 Mini is out this year this is the last chance to be announced.
Mario Party are not a guarantee. They won't be part of the report proper, which only goes until the end of September.
OP
OP
Last year's thread if you care for the exact time report goes up.
https://www.resetera.com/threads/nintendo-2nd-quarter-results-fy3-2018-switch-7-63m-units-ltd.2459/
https://www.resetera.com/threads/nintendo-2nd-quarter-results-fy3-2018-switch-7-63m-units-ltd.2459/
Huh. I thought Ani said these Gust games were doing much better on Switch than PS4 in the west?
Anyway, I'm pleased. I love gust, even if they've been stalling for a few years, so it's nice to see their output doing well. Explains the quick turnaround on the new Arland game - Japan matters less now
OP
OP
He might have just said that for Azure 2. I don't think he ever brought up Lydie's sales at all.
It's possible what they meant by similarly is that both have sold enough to be considered a success
Animal Crossing was at around 3.5M after 1 year on the market, difference is that at that time 3DS was already at 13M units sold in Japan.
OP
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We have update on this famous story.
3DS 2012
Q1 - 3,03m
Q2 - 2,96m
Q3 - 4,10m
Q4 - 9,02m
NSW 2018
Q1 - 3,34m
Q2 - 2,95m
Q3 - 4,20m
More than 3DS this quarter with zero big releases.
Great performance for Switch for sure. What do you think it will do in Q4? 3DS had AC New Leaf, so that's a big boost, but with Switch having both Smash and Pokémon let's Go, I think Switch should comfortably sell more.
OP
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I see Switch destroying Nintendo software forecast for FY. Japan won't be different. Hardware will be close but not 20m, maybe 19-19,5m.
OP
OP
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
[FCM] The Legend of Zelda |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1986.02.21} (¥2.600) - 1.690.000
[FCM] Zelda II: The Adventure of Link |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1987.01.14} (¥2.600) - 1.610.000
[SFC] The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past _Retail/Nintendo Power_ <ADV> (Nintendo) {1991.11.21} (¥8.000) - 1.160.000
[N64] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time <ADV> (Nintendo) {1998.11.21} (¥6.800) - 1.460.000
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.290.000
[WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 120.000
Wii U Zelda shipments are over 150k by now, Breath of the Wild has outsold Ocarina of Time.
Odyssey outsold Mario 64
[NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 2.060.000
[N64] Super Mario 64 <ACT> (Nintendo) {1996.06.23} (¥9.800) - 1.920.000
Code:
+----+----------+----------+
| | NSW | WIU |
+----+----------+----------+
| Q1 | 390.000 | 120.000 |
| Q2 | 210.000 | |
| Q3 | 80.000 | |
| Q4 | 220.000 | |
| Q1 | 190.000 | |
|Q2+3| 200.000 | |
+----+----------+----------+
| |1.290.000 | 120.000 |
+----+----------+----------+[FCM] Zelda II: The Adventure of Link |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1987.01.14} (¥2.600) - 1.610.000
[SFC] The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past _Retail/Nintendo Power_ <ADV> (Nintendo) {1991.11.21} (¥8.000) - 1.160.000
[N64] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time <ADV> (Nintendo) {1998.11.21} (¥6.800) - 1.460.000
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.290.000
[WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 120.000
Wii U Zelda shipments are over 150k by now, Breath of the Wild has outsold Ocarina of Time.
Odyssey outsold Mario 64
[NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 2.060.000
[N64] Super Mario 64 <ACT> (Nintendo) {1996.06.23} (¥9.800) - 1.920.000
2012 was a weak year for the 3DS as well. In fact, the similarities might be more than meets the eye, because Switch's 2019 lineup is looking eerily similar to 3DS' 2013 one...
I bet that they're planning to repeat the exact same strategy as they did with the 3DS. One new major first party game a month for the entirety of 2019! They're well positioned to do so! Almost all of their studios and partners are due to release a game next year...
Not a lot of holes that need filling here! It's very doable!
OP
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2012 wasn't a weak year for 3DS, where does this come from?
It was the biggest year in terms of hardware at least for the 3ds.
Well I was talking about the worldwide lineup really, not the Japanese one. Remember that Animal Crossing New Leaf, Fire Emblem Awakening, Bravely Default and Pokemon Mystery Dungeon didn't come out in the US or EU until 2013. The 3DS heavy hitters world wide basically consisted of NSMB2, Resident Evil Revelations (killed by RE6), Mario Tennis Open, Kid Icarus Uprising and Kingdom Hearts Dream Drop Distance. That isn't really any better than what the Switch got this year.
I meant the software lineup, not hardware sales (I'm fully aware that the 3DS failed to match the 2012 hardware sales in 2013).
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OP
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The comparison was clearly for Japan, there aren't many quarters 3DS wasn't weak at west either way.
I've updated the Nintendo sales thread.
It's a fairly big update because there are shipment data until December 2017 for lower selling million sellers.
This means that WiiU chart is close to definitive and 3DS is also much more up to date now.
https://www.resetera.com/threads/ni...ardware-sales-data-from-1983-to-present.2725/
It's a fairly big update because there are shipment data until December 2017 for lower selling million sellers.
This means that WiiU chart is close to definitive and 3DS is also much more up to date now.
https://www.resetera.com/threads/ni...ardware-sales-data-from-1983-to-present.2725/
There it is: 2.85 million for Fire Emblem Fates. Fire Emblem Three Houses should do at least 3M, not is 4M so unreasonable after all.
We've come a long way from "Y'all need to sell more than 6 copies for this series to continue, brehs."
That was expected, 2012 had a much stronger first half of the year but only two major games during the second half of the year - New Super Mario Bros. 2 & Animal Crossing: New Leaf. This year in the second half of the year we have Super Mario Party, Pokemon Lets Go, Smash Ultimate and Dragon Quest Builders 2.
Also 2011 evergreens barely sold anything during the second half of the year they exited the top 20 of M-C around June and only MK7 charted again towards the end of the year - I don't think that Splatoon 2, MK8D, The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild are showing signs that they will exit the top 20 anytime soon. There is also Minecraft that sells a ton during December and I don't think this year will be any different.
