Rakuten analyst ups his prediction, "PS5 will sell 200M-300M units in 5-6 years, data suggests 700M units long term is possible"

[ggx2ac]

Credit to Takashi Mochizuki for finding these articles.

So back in September there was this article:
https://media.rakuten-sec.net/articles/amp/28834?page=2

Where an analyst predicted that PS5 would sell 200M units lifetime citing things such as PS5 being the replacement of PCs for eSports.

Now there is a new article about that same analyst that has changed his prediction:
https://www.sbbit.jp/article/cont1/44665?page=2

Note the following is machine translated:

200 to 300 million units sold in five to six years:

Mr. Yasuo Imanaka, Chief Analyst of Rakuten Securities Economic Research Institute, predicts that the number of units sold worldwide will be "200 to 300 million units in 5 to 6 years."

Click to shrink...

eSports demand for PS5:

"Esports demands hardware that is fast and capable of advanced video processing, not only for professional gamers, but also for amateur athletes and spectator fans. The high-spec, low-priced PS5 is for today's games. There is a possibility that it can become an international standard machine for e-sports instead of a personal computer. "(Mr. Imanaka)

Click to shrink...

Data suggests PS5 could reach 700 million units sold in the long-term, 4-5 times that of PS2 lifetime sales (explained here):

The data suggest that in the future, the number of PS5s could reach the order of 600 million or 700 million, four or five times the number of PS2s, which was the highest number ever for home video game consoles. Mr. Imanaka said, "If the number of transfers from PS4, which is backward compatible, is about 120 million, and if more than 100 million e-sports competition population and 400 million spectator population are added. In total, PS5 can be a market of more than 600 million units. "

Click to shrink...

Edit:

Corrected a part in the machine translation.

 

[vaderise]

Those are certainly big numbers i'll give them that.

 

[NavyPharaoh]

No chance, that's what they got

 

[vivftp]

Well shit, I was thinking 200 million units, lol.

 

[Xeonidus]

Lol no

 

[Kuro]

haha wtf

Esports is not big enough to add 500m+ more people to the console space. Absolute lunacy.

Like why would 400m spectators buy consoles if they can just watch on any media device to begin with. Who is this dude?

 

[tazmin]

Wut

 

[Deleted member 51691]

PS5 can only become the eSports standard if it adds proper mouse and keyboard support

 

[Lant_War]

 

[nsilvias]

lol no

 

[Mekanos]

weekend era is now

 

[Qvoth]

the fuck

 

[Zultima]

I literally lol'd. Would be awesome if it came to fruition tho

 

[The Emperor]

Gagging at this ridiculous prediction!

PS5 will be lucky to beat PS4

 

[henhowc]

Good luck

 

[R dott B]

Lmao in what world.

 

[brokenswiftie]

he also says PS5 will dominate the e-sports scene
and end the console wars

 

[.exe]

Are they gonna come packed in with breakfast cereal?

 

[RoninChaos]

Lol what fucking planet does this guy live on?

 

[Meatwad]

Yeah no

 

[Khanimus]

Uhhh... is their keyboard''s '0' a little sticky?

 

[IDreamOfHime]

I could do that job, any vacancies?

 

[treasureyez]

"If the number of transfers from PS4, which is backward compatible, is about 120 million, and if more than 100 million e-sports competition population and 400 million spectator population are added, PS5 will be 6 in total. It can be a market of more than 100 million units. "

Click to shrink...

this is completely baffling

 

[The Emperor]

The worst thing is people will use this ridiculous prediction till the end of time when PS5 does reasonably and almost matches PS4 saying 'the expectations were for 200mill plus' urgh

 

[Sandfox]

None of the things mentioned in that prediction will have.

the "400 million esports spectators" thing is really off the mark as well.

 

[Deleted member 66837]

I feel like something this offbase isn't worth a thread. Everyone knows 110m is the ideal outcome anything more unrealistic.

 

[Fixuis]

Goto bed Analyst. 100-120M like the PS4, which is fantastic.

 

[Jade1962]

They couldn't manufacture that many even if they had the demand to sell them.

Does he expect people to PS5s for their restrooms?

 

[jwhit28]

Ah yes, the Scott Steiner model

 

[jroc74]

Are they gonna come packed in with cereal?

Click to shrink...

Lmao!!

I am still laughing at the thread title...omg.

Maybe these are numbers that need to be converted like currency....

 

[Jbone115]

What in the world....

 

[Orion117]

Even Sony fanboy fiction would be more realistic.

 

[MegaXZero]

"If the number of transfers from PS4, which is backward compatible, is about 120 million, and if more than 100 million e-sports competition population and 400 million spectator population are added, PS5 will be 6 in total

Click to shrink...

Ahh yes of course. It's that simple, all 400 million esports spectators will buy a PS5.

 

[Deleted member 68874]

How will PS5 be the esports machine when all the big tournaments outside of fighting games are on PC?

I wish I could get paid to write nonsense.

 

[Qvoth]

this guy bet all his life savings on sony shares surely lol
i'm a sony dude but 700 million is literally crazy

 

[Chief Malik]

will the iphone even sell that much in that lifespan? IM CRYING

 

[Zebesian-X]

This is comical... Hell, their original prediction was nuts too.

 

[Jawmuncher]

Maybe if PS5 was the last console ever I guess lol.

 

[edo_kid]

Pachter redeemed lol this guy is on another level of craziness.

 

[DealWithIt]

This is a bizarre prediction.

 

[Wrapped in Black]

he also says PS5 will dominate the e-sports scene
and end the console wars

Click to shrink...

Prophecy Station 5

 

[Cess007]

Someone post that sensible chuckle gif lol

 

[ghostcrew]

Just like NBA fans look for Nike shoes, eSports fans will look for PS5

Click to shrink...

Errr, how many PS5s are they expecting each eSports fan to buy? Because I buy multiple pairs of shoes but usually only one PlayStation every 7 years.

 

[MisterHero]

Lol he thinks esports are bigger than traditional sports

 

[--R]

PS5 will be lucky to beat PS4

Click to shrink...

The analyst's prediction is outrageous but this is like those Switch predictions in the old place lmao.

 

[Biosnake]

What are they gonna do once Switch Pro sells a billion units?

 

[platocplx]

That spectator number is pretty high. id Be shocked if it ever got that high. Thats equating a PlayStation like an iPhone in terms of sales.
I wonder how this persons other predictions have panned out.

he also says PS5 will dominate the e-sports scene
and end the console wars

Click to shrink...

It's gonna bring world peace! Lmao.

 

[The Last One]

Wut

 

[Nanashrew]

Clearly they're lowballing.

 

[tandeh]

What a load of poppycock