So many hoops we are jumping though when we could ... You know.... Just stop oil
It's not the easy option but is the correct one
It's not the easy option but is the correct one
Hating science when people use science to help fix the planet?
Me as well. We need to keep experimenting and finding small solutions.Gotta attack climate change from every angle. There isn't one big solution unfortunately, there are 10,000 little ones.
So I support this as long as its done responsibly
Gotta attack climate change from every angle. There isn't one big solution unfortunately, there are 10,000 little ones.
So I support this as long as its done responsibly
But science saves lives... it could save us all. Your own life has been vastly improved by science. Yes, science is also responsible for nightmarish ends as well, but that's the point - your sentiment is a gross generalization and oversimplification of an entire concept and field of human activity. It's like saying "god I hate humanity".. there are too many good people that exist to outright condemn the entire species.
As a retired climate scientist, I am against geoengineering such as SAI or microscopic salt particles on a global scale for the following reasons:
From the OP:
- incentivizes corportations/nations to continue emitting GHGs
- unintended consequences violates (ENMOD)
- unintended consequences can be used by adversaies as a pretense for invasion/conflict (increasing geopolitical instability)
- everyone has to be on board because if not, unintended consequences will inadvertantly be proof of concept of climate warfare
- potential devastating environmental, economical, and ecological costs
- on economical costs: geoengineering produces an undesirable consequence of a 'below normal' monsoon season for India, devastating their agriculture business. Who pays for it? Now project that out to multiple countries with multiple unintended consequences
- will not stop ocean acidification
I will break this down Barney style:
I will use the analogy of a pot of boiling water.
Let the burner be the Sun, the water in the pot be fossil fuels, steam be greenhouse gases, and the lid as microscopic salt particles in the atmosphere. If "geoengineering efforts were discontinued before GHGs decrease to manageable levels" is akin to removing the lid from the pot of boiling water.
Congratulations, now all the steam escapes into the atmosphere with the potential of rapid warming taking place.
Again, I will reiterate that my criticism is the use of SAI/microscopic salts on a global scale.
At a local level, yes. On a global scale is a different story altogther though.
What is outlined in the OP is similar to SAI (sulfate aerosol injection) because the intended effects are the same (reflecting sunlight).
https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1000289
In essence, the cure is worse than the disease.
Here are more reasons why geoengineering may be a bad idea.
If society is going to use geoengineering such as SAI/microscopic salt particles, we have to reduce GHGs, full stop.
But therein lies the problem.
I swear, there's a subset of people who don't know how to engage if it doesn't involve wallowing in misery and resentment.
Enforcement of the Paris Agreement can be a start.So you're saying the solution is to travel back to the past and change human nature?
I agree, there are only bad or terrible options left.
I get that sentiment and am not a fan of the secrecy. However, that sentiment is likely also precisely why they were so secretive 😂 A double edged sword, if you will.My first thought of this is that scene in Animatrix where humanity darkens the skies, and it fucks them up.
The move led by researchers at the University of Washington has renewed questions about how to effectively and ethically study promising climate technologies that could also harm communities and ecosystems in unexpected ways.
No one wants to live in the world that would result if we "just stopped oil"So many hoops we are jumping though when we could ... You know.... Just stop oil
It's not the easy option but is the correct one
Except this is bad science whose only use is to distract us from the only real solution (decrease carbon emissions).
You can easily educate yourself on why a lot of climate scientists are against geoengineering even in this very thread.
Yeah that was my takeaway too, and that was before I read your rebuttal. Damn.
We have no idea what the world would be like if there was a genuine push to phase out fossil fuels and actually implement ecologically and anti-colonial systems of production and transportation.No one wants to live in the world that would result if we "just stopped oil"
Billions of humans that currently exist could not exist in that world.
Are the scientists in control of that? Will they be making those decisions?Jesus, some of the comments in here. The scientists involved stress that this would be done in addition to, and not as a replacement for, eliminating greenhouse emissions.
You're right. We should build toward a world that isn't reliant on fossil fuels. But it doesn't make sense to pretend that "Just stop using them" is a real plan, unless we want to pick a few billion people to sacrifice first (and yes, continued use of fossil fuels without transitioning to alternatives will also lead to mass loss of life).We have no idea what the world would be like if there was a genuine push to phase out fossil fuels and actually implement ecologically and anti-colonial systems of production and transportation.
Beyond less extreme weather, species extinction, and overall deaths that are happening year after year from the heat and conflict alone. That shit would go down.
Plenty of communities and countries are already living substandard lives even with fossil fuels though. That's not unique to a no-oil world.You're right. We should build toward a world that isn't reliant on fossil fuels. But it doesn't make sense to pretend that "Just stop using them" is a real plan, unless we want to pick a few billion people to sacrifice first (and yes, continued use of fossil fuels without transitioning to alternatives will also lead to mass loss of life).
We need to find clever ways to mitigate the impact of our continued reliance on fossil fuels while we find alternatives. Stopping the tap without a replacement is not something anyone will ever do - no society will deliberately accept reverting to standards of living we haven't seen since the 19th century.
It will take longer than anyone hopes for that transition to take place. I'm not particularly fond of this example of geoengineering, but I believe we are going to need every trick we can come up with to mitigate climate change.
Weird timing to have just read the chapter of Kim Stanley Robinson's climate change science fiction book Ministry for the Future where India undertakes an initiative to disperse aerosols in the atmosphere to uncertain consequence.
Famine shmamine.Reducing solar irradiance will have all sorts of side effects. Plants will bear the worst of it.
isnt the problem that even a first world nations, the US, eu ect, reduce carbon by sheer fact of development, up and comming nations wont b/c they want to ddevelop too, and on the other people wont give up stuff that produces co2 until there is a afordable alternative. your argument is we should dp nothing until those issues are resolved?As a retired climate scientist, I am against geoengineering such as SAI or microscopic salt particles on a global scale for the following reasons:
From the OP:
- incentivizes corportations/nations to continue emitting GHGs
- unintended consequences violates (ENMOD)
- unintended consequences can be used by adversaries as a pretense for invasion/conflict (increasing geopolitical instability)
- everyone has to be on board because if not, unintended consequences will inadvertantly be proof of concept of climate warfare
- potential devastating environmental, economical, and ecological costs
- on economical costs: geoengineering produces an undesirable consequence of a 'below normal' monsoon season for India, devastating their agriculture business. Who pays for it? Now project that out to multiple countries with multiple unintended consequences
- will not stop ocean acidification
I will break this down Barney style:
I will use the analogy of a pot of boiling water.
Let the burner be the Sun, the water in the pot be fossil fuels, steam be greenhouse gases, and the lid as microscopic salt particles in the atmosphere. If "geoengineering efforts were discontinued before GHGs decrease to manageable levels" is akin to removing the lid from the pot of boiling water.
Congratulations, now all the steam escapes into the atmosphere with the potential of rapid warming taking place.
Again, I will reiterate that my criticism is the use of SAI/microscopic salts on a global scale.
At a local level, yes. On a global scale is a different story altogther though.
What is outlined in the OP is similar to SAI (sulfate aerosol injection) because the intended effects are the same (reflecting sunlight).
https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1000289
In essence, the cure is worse than the disease.
Here are more reasons why geoengineering may be a bad idea.
If society is going to use geoengineering such as SAI/microscopic salt particles, we have to reduce GHGs, full stop.
But therein lies the problem.
Are the scientists in control of that? Will they be making those decisions?
We should be reducing GHGs by as much as we can before going down the route of geoengineering.isnt the problem that even a first world nations, the US, eu ect, reduce carbon by sheer fact of development, up and comming nations wont b/c they want to ddevelop too, and on the other people wont give up stuff that produces co2 until there is a afordable alternative. your argument is we should dp nothing until those issues are resolved?
At no point did I suggest they would. But comments like "I hate science" and misrepresenting the position of these scientists as "hey, no need to adjust anything you're doing, we'll just find a miracle cure" are absolute trash-tier takes. If people were responding that way to a thread about vaccine scientists exploring all options in the face of COVID, they'd get run off the forum for being reactionaries.
At no point did I suggest they would. But comments like "I hate science" and misrepresenting the position of these scientists as "hey, no need to adjust anything you're doing, we'll just find a miracle cure" are absolute trash-tier takes. If people were responding that way to a thread about vaccine scientists exploring all options in the face of COVID, they'd get run off the forum for being reactionaries.
So many hoops we are jumping though when we could ... You know.... Just stop oil
It's not the easy option but is the correct one
At the same time, a lot of people seem to be taking the stance of "We shouldn't do this because then people won't make the changes I want them to make" which is pretty fucked up when all our lives are on the line here. It's basically saying, "It's ok if things get worse because the changes will be worth it." Fighting something like climate change has to be a muti-faceted thing.If we're using vaccine science analogy, doing SAI/microscopic salt at a global scale to combat climate change is akin to doing gain of function research out of lab on wild animals. It's extremely reckless and it's basically gonna substitute one type of climate change for another. The poster was right to be extremely skeptical about this.
We need to do both.We should be reducing GHGs by as much as we can before going down the route of geoengineering.
In the very possible scenario where we reduce solar irradiance without curbing emissions then we'd just end up doubly fucked because we'd have higher temperatures and less sunlight.At the same time, a lot of people seem to be taking the stance of "We shouldn't do this because then people won't make the changes I want them to make" which is pretty fucked up when all our lives are on the line here. It's basically saying, "It's ok if things get worse because the changes will be worth it." Fighting something like climate change has to be a muti-faceted thing.
The thing is we've already started to curb emissions, just not fast enough. If this potentially buys us some time to keep going and doesn't do much harm then it seems a pretty obvious thing to do.In the very possible scenario where we reduce solar irradiance without curbing emissions then we'd just end up doubly fucked because we'd have higher temperatures and less sunlight.
That's the thing. We don't know. And given the ramifications that this may have, it'd require a careful examination and very strong arguments for this to be greenlighted.
We haven't made enough research to prove that atmospheric manipulation is feasible let alone that it wouldn't cause much harm. Much of the science behind this is at best in very early stages or just outright speculative. Establishing that would take time, which we don't have by definition, and start ups and businesspeople are willing to jump the gun in their own economic interests.
if a race to manipulate the atmosphere started, the results would be a real gamble.
Not really. They did that to try and kill the machines that were taking over the world because they ran on solar power. It was very deliberate.
My criticism of geoengineering because it incentivizes nations and corporations to continue emitting GHGs is the least of my concerns.We need to do both.
And I don't agree with the idea that we shouldn't be even studying this as it might encourage the continued use of coal/gas/oil. It comes off as ideological, people being unhappy we might try to deal with climate change in a way not exactly how they want. I don't think we can get societal change fast enough, or to the extend we need it to be.
The risks outweigh the benefits.The thing is we've already started to curb emissions, just not fast enough. If this potentially buys us some time to keep going and doesn't do much harm then it seems a pretty obvious thing to do.
Plot of Snowpiercer, actually.