Since many people seem to be arguing under the fallacy that sanctions are an effective tool to incite regime change and democratization, most scientific literature argues the exact opposite.
Targeting autocrats: Economic sanctions and regime change
When it comes to international economic sanctions, the most frequent goal is regime change and democratization. Yet, past experiences suggest that suc…www.sciencedirect.com
The Adverse Consequences of Economic Sanctions
Global Policy Forum is a policy watchdog that follows the work of the United Nations. We promote accountability and citizen participation in decisions on peace and security, social justice and international law.archive.globalpolicy.org
Coercive or Corrosive: The Negative Impact of Economic Sanctions on Democracy
(2010). Coercive or Corrosive: The Negative Impact of Economic Sanctions on Democracy. International Interactions: Vol. 36, No. 3, pp. 240-264.www.tandfonline.com
"A Hand upon the Throat of the Nation": Economic Sanctions and State Repression, 1976-2001 on JSTOR
Reed M. Wood, "A Hand upon the Throat of the Nation": Economic Sanctions and State Repression, 1976-2001, International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 52, No. 3 (Sep., 2008), pp. 489-513www.jstor.org
If your goal is to cripple the Russian economy and make the Russian population suffer then of course sanctions are a useful tool. But if you think sanctions will help to overthrow Putin and democratize Russia, history does not support that notion.
Also, if the Russian economy collapses, couldn't that be used as fuel for populism? I have vague memories about hearing about this in high school lol
Something something hyperinflation something rise of Nazism in Germany. But I'm absolutely not well informed.
Btw, I'm legitimately asking before jumping to the conclusion. I'm by no means a history expert. I'm just concerned about sanctions backfiring.