Is he gambling on winning an election? Last timne that worked they ended up in teh current situation. Problem also is, there is no real time for elections before the due date (87 days left), and he would absolutely lose if he extends Brexit (and their chances of winning are even worse once reality hits in case of no deal).
Edit: edited wording.
Nah, he'll try and ram tons of shit through parliament try and fail, try for no deal and fail, tory rebels will try and put amendments in and fail on the ones they need most to pass, until a VoNC is called at the last minute, planned by lab, and the handful of rebels vote against BoJo and it comes crashing down for him.
The rebels know full well that a no deal by BoJo will nuke the party. So they'll do everything to protect that, and may and co will give them golden handshakes for doing so.
Cummings misfired with his bullshit remarks about BoJo staying on even after a no deal and/or a VonC is passed. The team he has have not paid a fucking dime to what killed may and are intent or repeating it quickfast.
HoC is a shit show but one thing they will not tolerate is a no deal brexit and the perceived authority being fucked off by a PM. Arguably may was better liked then BoJo and even she could not get her outcome agreed to.
Boris Johnson is more than willing to gamble on such things, and realistically the path forward for the Conservatives is enormously risky:
Fail to get Brexit done > they get annihilated by BXP
Somehow get No Deal through and Brexit goes badly > they get annihilated LD/Lab
Somehow get WA through and Brexit goes badly > they get annihilated from both sides
The Conservatives are fucked if Brexit doesn't happen AND if Brexit doesn't go well. That's an extremely risky position to be in given all of the analysis about Brexit.
In terms of timing, there is plenty of time technically, but MPs are currently on recess. By the end of the recess, there is still time, but it would be tight. I would think Boris' ideal is to be forced into the general election, which is one of the possible conclusions of a vote of no confidence. It gives him the perfect platform to get BXP voters on side which is all he things he needs to do.
The BXP voters won't come back en masse, the no dealers have thier BXP foil on farage. He is busy in the US getting his millions in dark money to fight the Tories in a GE. Sure the wider public do not like him, but he can cause enough havoc and damage then split in the right wing vote that they win seats in an GE and play the looong game with the Tories. They can afford to lose an election, 2 even, as long as they slowly infiltrate the Tories more and more.
Cummings not breifing about a election and rather the shit coming out of his mouth is a bad, bad move. Sure arrogance is one thing, as evidenced by May, but the hubris the cabinet is showing is not good for them.
