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texhnolyze

Member
Oct 25, 2017
23,150
Indonesia
SOURCE

It also seems like the closed doors demo of the game is literally the most polished part of the game right now.

So, I mean- it seems like this game is a long way away from release. At this rate, the earliest we see it is 2020. Maybe.

Pre alpha means the game doesn't even run. I call bullshit. This is PR talk.

The Surge pre-alpha in 2016, the game came out in 2017.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENypdKYv6-8

AC Origins alpha in E3 2017, the game came out several months later.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcJj1Y_VQZU

Spider-Man alpha in April 2018, coming out in September of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArsbQxCT-ac

Battlefield V pre-alpha in June 2018, coming out in November of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om4s6h-KyGk

Days Gone alpha in 2018, coming out in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IW_79PaiRo

There's no correlation between the terms and release date.
 

SharpX68K

Member
Nov 10, 2017
10,511
Chicagoland
Yeah, no way this game comes out before October-December (Q4) 2020 at the soonest.

Of course it will still be cross-gen.

CDPR will telease on current-gen to rake in the cash from a massive combined PS4+Xbox One install base.

Hardcore gamers will want the PC or next gen console versions on Scarlet / PS5 to get a great experience.
 
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Krvavi Abadas

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
1,254
Videoland
I'm amazed people seriously think this game is going to be a next-gen title, it's shaping up to be a late 2019 game at worst.

CD Projekt Red is supposed to have 2 RPGs out by 2021. (page 26)
uOnBVv.png

The most likely scenario would be Cyberpunk in 2019, and that other RPG in 2021.

They mentioned wanting to do something similar to Fallout 4 (As in, reveal and release several months later.) with Cyberpunk back in 2015.

We're impressed with Fallout 4's rollout. They came on stage and said 'It's here, it's real, and it's coming out on this date.' We're going to do something similar. We're going to wait [to reveal the game] until we can show off a very meaningful piece of it.


The initial "Hacking" sequence that lead into the reveal at the Microsoft Conference listed what appears to be 4 trailers.
jMuvsSF.png

"arch_bullets" is pretty obviously the initial reveal trailer, since it uses a song by Archive named Bullets. "E3_Trailer" was what got loaded during the hacking sequence. So that leaves "gk_WIP" and "final_newfinal_l_v3".
"GK" might stand for Gamescom, as it's been confirmed CD Projekt will be there. While "final_newfinal" sounds like a launch trailer of sorts.

and finally, they've made it very clear that it's mainly being developed for current-gen systems.

Considering it's been heavily speculated that Next-gen is coming in late 2020 at earliest, the game would need to be released before then.
 

Deleted member 224

Oct 25, 2017
5,629
no way dude, we don't even have the slightest hint of what state ff7r is even in.
Yeah anyone comparing this to the shit SE puts us through should stop.

SE announces a game, puts us through years of "we want to show the game off soon" "we'll show it after 'x' game releases" "oh now we'll show it after 'y' game releases" and "expect news soon". Their titles seem to languish in dev hell for years and we're never given any information on when we'll see it again besides vague, misleading hints.

At least CDPR is open about their timeframe. It's clear they're targeting late 2020 with a cross gen release. And even though they announced the game years ago, things never got ad bad as where we are with the FF7 remake for example.
 

Pagusas

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
2,876
Frisco, Tx
I think you are all crazy to even assume any release dates. I don't think CDPR even has a release date set plan yet. Maybe a wishful date, but I think they are being truthful that it'll be done when it's done, and they are going to work on it till they are happy (or they feel fiscal pressure)
 

wtd2009

Member
Oct 27, 2017
981
Oregon
Yeah anyone comparing this to the shit SE puts us through should stop.

SE announces a game, puts us through years of "we want to show the game off soon" "we'll show it after 'x' game releases" "oh now we'll show it after 'y' game releases" and "expect news soon". Their titles seem to languish in dev hell for years and we're never given any information on when we'll see it again besides vague, misleading hints.

At least CDPR is open about their timeframe. It's clear they're targeting late 2020 with a cross gen release. And even though they announced the game years ago, things never got ad bad as where we are with the FF7 remake for example.
Agreed, CDPR has been pretty honest about the state of the game, how far off it was, and are willing to discuss it to some extent. It's amazing what a difference that can make for public and fan relations. The same cannot be said in any way regarding SE.
 

StuBurns

Self Requested Ban
Banned
Nov 12, 2017
7,273
Pre-alpha does not mean can't be played.
Alpha means can be played start to finish, pre-alpha is before that, and after pre-production.
Beta means content locked and bug fixing.

A game could effectively be a few months from release and still be pre-alpha.

Still not out next year though.
 

Legitmcfalls

Member
Oct 25, 2017
567
Waterloo Ontario
I'm amazed people seriously think this game is going to be a next-gen title, it's shaping up to be a late 2019 game at worst.

CD Projekt Red is supposed to have 2 RPGs out by 2021. (page 26)
placeholder_image.svg

The most likely scenario would be Cyberpunk in 2019, and that other RPG in 2021.

They mentioned wanting to do something similar to Fallout 4 (As in, reveal and release several months later.) with Cyberpunk back in 2015.


The initial "Hacking" sequence that lead into the reveal at the Microsoft Conference listed what appears to be 4 trailers.
placeholder_image.svg

"arch_bullets" is pretty obviously the initial reveal trailer, since it uses a song by Archive named Bullets. "E3_Trailer" was what got loaded during the hacking sequence. So that leaves "gk_WIP" and "final_newfinal_l_v3".
"GK" might stand for Gamescom, as it's been confirmed CD Projekt will be there. While "final_newfinal" sounds like a launch trailer of sorts.

and finally, they've made it very clear that it's mainly being developed for current-gen systems.


Considering it's been heavily speculated that Next-gen is coming in late 2020 at earliest, the game would need to be released before then.
So GamesCon (or games convention) translated into Polish is Konwencja gier so maybe you are on to something here!
 

Black Chamber

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,811
United States
I'm still hoping they can make the clever 7/7/20 release date some people here have proposed.
In Japan, it would be written 20/7/7 :)

I still hope it's current-gen release late 2019 and next-gen release on July 7th, 2020.

I'm amazed people seriously think this game is going to be a next-gen title, it's shaping up to be a late 2019 game at worst.

CD Projekt Red is supposed to have 2 RPGs out by 2021. (page 26)
uOnBVv.png

The most likely scenario would be Cyberpunk in 2019, and that other RPG in 2021.

They mentioned wanting to do something similar to Fallout 4 (As in, reveal and release several months later.) with Cyberpunk back in 2015.


The initial "Hacking" sequence that lead into the reveal at the Microsoft Conference listed what appears to be 4 trailers.
jMuvsSF.png

"arch_bullets" is pretty obviously the initial reveal trailer, since it uses a song by Archive named Bullets. "E3_Trailer" was what got loaded during the hacking sequence. So that leaves "gk_WIP" and "final_newfinal_l_v3".
"GK" might stand for Gamescom, as it's been confirmed CD Projekt will be there. While "final_newfinal" sounds like a launch trailer of sorts.

and finally, they've made it very clear that it's mainly being developed for current-gen systems.


Considering it's been heavily speculated that Next-gen is coming in late 2020 at earliest, the game would need to be released before then.
Very good post! Nice catch with the trailers too!
 

hijukal

Member
Oct 25, 2017
234
Alpha would mean the game is more or less feature complete and pretty much playable from start to end. Given they mentioned throughout E3 interviews that they're still figuring out a ton of design and systems, it makes sense that what was shown is only a vertical slice.

Being pre-alpha isn't necessarily as early as it may sound (or it could be 5 years off, who knows).
 

TemplaerDude

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,204
I don't know how many more different ways it's going to come out, they've had the director and various suits say "no time soon" at this point, people need to accept that this game is a few years away.
 

Yerffej

Prophet of Regret
Member
Oct 25, 2017
23,495
I'm amazed people seriously think this game is going to be a next-gen title, it's shaping up to be a late 2019 game at worst.

CD Projekt Red is supposed to have 2 RPGs out by 2021. (page 26)
uOnBVv.png

The most likely scenario would be Cyberpunk in 2019, and that other RPG in 2021.

They mentioned wanting to do something similar to Fallout 4 (As in, reveal and release several months later.) with Cyberpunk back in 2015.


The initial "Hacking" sequence that lead into the reveal at the Microsoft Conference listed what appears to be 4 trailers.
jMuvsSF.png

"arch_bullets" is pretty obviously the initial reveal trailer, since it uses a song by Archive named Bullets. "E3_Trailer" was what got loaded during the hacking sequence. So that leaves "gk_WIP" and "final_newfinal_l_v3".
"GK" might stand for Gamescom, as it's been confirmed CD Projekt will be there. While "final_newfinal" sounds like a launch trailer of sorts.

and finally, they've made it very clear that it's mainly being developed for current-gen systems.


Considering it's been heavily speculated that Next-gen is coming in late 2020 at earliest, the game would need to be released before then.
It isn't coming next year. No fucking way. Just because it comes out in 2020 when next gen hits, doesn't mean current gen won't get a dumbed down version.
 

Plasmid

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
686
It's being made on next gen hardware. 2020 release with the Xbox 420.
 

Black Chamber

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,811
United States
I don't know how many more different ways it's going to come out, they've had the director and various suits say "no time soon" at this point, people need to accept that this game is a few years away.
It has never been stated by CD Projekt Red or even implied as of E3 2018 that the game is "a few years away." All that was said was that comment from Mike Pondsmith - which he himself shot down.

Saying that it's not anytime soon could mean at the end of next year - that's a year and 7 months from May 2018 and that doesn't seem soon either, but it's sooner than 2020. And for those of you saying it wont release until 2021+ ...are you serious?!? Do you really honestly think that this game won't come out until then? It boggles my mind.

CD Projekt Red has over 400 people working on it currently and I'm sure that number will increase significantly as we draw into next year. There's no reason to think that it shouldn't come out late 2019 or early 2020 at the latest.
 

Kalik

Banned
Nov 1, 2017
4,523
Bethesda with ES6 and now CDPR have re-started a really bad trend...announcing games years ahead of release
 
May 20, 2018
114
If they can get a playable build of it by Gamescom, I might believe it can release before 2020 at the earliest. Otherwise, I don't see any way they can release it before that time.

People seem to forget the troubled development of Witcher 3 for some reason. The game was delayed multiple times. It failed to come close to the original gameplay that they faked in the trailer. The pre-release screenshots for Witcher 3 were a mess and looked severely downgraded. It is a miracle the game ended up being as good as it was since it felt like a disaster before launch.

It's almost like developers don't ever learn from their mistakes or that CD Projekt Red is many times bigger than it was during the development TW3.
 

bulletyen

Member
Nov 12, 2017
1,309
After POE 2 I lost a lot faith in Obsidian, in my eyes POE 1 is way better cRPG experience from narrative standpoint. Regression is noticeable.
Well Obsidian games are indeed only as good as their narrative, so I don't blame you. But Obsidian moves their writers around, and who does what changes from project to project. Was POE 2 a shittier narrative because Fenstermaker wasn't the lead writer or that Avellone wasn't on it? Or was it a lesser combination of writers? Perhaps they just couldn't come up with as compelling a story. We'll never know.

I don't think it's the end for them though. Who knows who is writing for their next project and what combination of writers they have, and who's leading? Unlike technical aspects of production, the creative side, like writing, is not always progressively improving or on a stable incline. That's the nature of beast. Especially when there's a group of writers who have different sensibilities involved, and change from project to project. Therefore there's no reason to think their next game will be a lesser experience. We'll see.

But anyway this kinda going off topic. I hope the narrative aspect of CP2077 is as strong as the Witcher 3.
 
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NightMarcher

Banned
Oct 29, 2017
530
Hawaii
At least I'll have something to look forward to when Trump's re-election comes around. Closest I can come to getting me off this loony bin world and into another.
 

Alexious

Executive Editor for Games at Wccftech
Verified
Oct 26, 2017
909
The Surge pre-alpha in 2016, the game came out in 2017.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENypdKYv6-8

AC Origins alpha in E3 2017, the game came out several months later.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcJj1Y_VQZU

Spider-Man alpha in April 2018, coming out in September of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArsbQxCT-ac

Battlefield V pre-alpha in June 2018, coming out in November of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om4s6h-KyGk

Days Gone alpha in 2018, coming out in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IW_79PaiRo

There's no correlation between the terms and release date.

Exactly.
 

Truly Gargantuan

Still doesn't have a tag :'(
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,034
The Surge pre-alpha in 2016, the game came out in 2017.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENypdKYv6-8

AC Origins alpha in E3 2017, the game came out several months later.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcJj1Y_VQZU

Spider-Man alpha in April 2018, coming out in September of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArsbQxCT-ac

Battlefield V pre-alpha in June 2018, coming out in November of the same year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om4s6h-KyGk

Days Gone alpha in 2018, coming out in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IW_79PaiRo

There's no correlation between the terms and release date.

If anything, the game being in pre-alpha is good news. It most likely means they're getting to the nitty gritty of development.
Maybe, without knowing the dev culture and what their own internal goals mean it's pretty baseless conjuncture.
 

Deleted member 1594

Account closed at user request
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,762
*My own personal baseless speculation on when the game will be released based on its current development state.*
 

TemplaerDude

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,204
It has never been stated by CD Projekt Red or even implied as of E3 2018 that the game is "a few years away." All that was said was that comment from Mike Pondsmith - which he himself shot down.

Saying that it's not anytime soon could mean at the end of next year - that's a year and 7 months from May 2018 and that doesn't seem soon either, but it's sooner than 2020. And for those of you saying it wont release until 2021+ ...are you serious?!? Do you really honestly think that this game won't come out until then? It boggles my mind.

CD Projekt Red has over 400 people working on it currently and I'm sure that number will increase significantly as we draw into next year. There's no reason to think that it shouldn't come out late 2019 or early 2020 at the latest.

Yes, I am serious, because the only remote time frame provided thus far has been "no time soon". Until that changes you can keep doing these pointless mental gymnastics in your head, I don't really get why it's such a big deal. It'll come out when it's ready, that they have been clear about. I doubt it's anywhere near ready, you think otherwise.
 

Vinc

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,387
Is this surprising at all? You rarely make it to Alpha over a year before release. And of course that part of rhe game is the most polished. They probably polished it for greenlight meetings or more likely E3 itself. If those 2 things were not concerns, no game would have what one would call polished sections until months or weeks before release.
 

Renmyra

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
681
I'm sure it's been mentioned already, but pre-alpha could mean almost anything. We see it all the time.
 

Krvavi Abadas

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
1,254
Videoland
It isn't coming next year. No fucking way. Just because it comes out in 2020 when next gen hits, doesn't mean current gen won't get a dumbed down version.

The quote i noted seems to imply it would be out before Next-gen systems even hit the market.
They could make a PS5/SCARLET version as say, launch titles assuming they do in fact make it out in 2020. But the point is that CD Projekt is clearly expecting the game to be released before the next-gen consoles themselves. That does mean there's a small chance it could an early 2020 game. But i'm still betting on 2019.

As previously noted, "Pre-alpha" doesn't really mean too much in terms of how far in development the game is, and there's more people working on it than there was with the Witcher 3.

I'm placing my bets on the schedule being something like this...
  1. Gamescom happens, there's a new trailer and a truncated (I'd say about 20 minutes.) version of the E3 gameplay demo shown publicly for the first time. No date, aside from maybe a vague "2019" year.
  2. The Game Awards (They've shown things there in previous years.) happens, "launch" trailer. With a May-July 2019 release date. There could be a delay to September/October, but i doubt it.
  3. If a next-gen version happens, expect it to be a GOTY edition (Multiplayer is being considered as something to add post launch, for one.) in the vein of Witcher 3. Probably a launch title on both systems.
May 2019 would be about 3 years after the second Witcher 3 Expansion, which was when pre-production of the game started.
 

Black Chamber

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,811
United States
This post makes me incredibly happy :)
Yes, I am serious, because the only remote time frame provided thus far has been "no time soon". Until that changes you can keep doing these pointless mental gymnastics in your head, I don't really get why it's such a big deal. It'll come out when it's ready, that they have been clear about. I doubt it's anywhere near ready, you think otherwise.
You just said it yourself - the only official thing we've heard is that it will release - when it's ready.

The facts [post #165] seem to indicate that it should be ready at the end of next year, or worst-case scenario; at the beginning of 2020. Anything past 2020 is absolutely fucking ridiculous.