The World Cup is like a poker tournament you can make it far and do great with a good cards and good play but you also need a little lazy luck on your side even if you have pocket aces.
Yup. If you want to win, you need to be good, healthy and lucky. Last three finals were as close as it gets
2006: Italy on pens (Zidane red card)
2010: Spain 1:0 in OT (Robben misses twice 1on1 with Casillas)
2014: Germany 1:0 in OT (Higuain, Messi, Palacios miss sitters)
Using the Poker analogy, we know that Germany and Brazil hold pocket Aces, France and Spain got kings, while Iran & Panama have off suite 2s and 3s.
We know the pre flop percentages pretty well, but the actual tournament is like one gigantic flop, where no hand guarantees shit. Spain, the reigning World&Euro champ, couldn't even get out of the group last time around.
The craziest, overlooked anecdote in 2014 was actually that Sami Khedira got injured during warm ups at the final. Christoph Kramer replaced him and made his first start for Germany at the WC final. Kramer then got knocked during the game and Andre Schürrle came on and later assisted Götze's game winner.