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Seeya

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,984
You are dreaming too much. Let's wait for at least first week domestic and overseas numbers.

That above post is all purely hypothetical fan fiction. Back when everyone was making predictions I was well sub 500M but agreed that 500M was not completely impossible.

Edit: film has 8.8/10 and 32 fresh 0 rotten so far
 
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Punished Goku

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
9,952
Robert's Rebellion would do work.

Characters are largely known and could be somewhat condensed to a 2.5 hour tale.

Do it, AT&T!!
26242.jpg

Lol you just wanna see Robert cave in Rhaegars chest.
 

Seeya

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,984
37 reviews for Spider-verse and they're all positive; will it make it to 50 before the combo breaker?
 

J_Viper

Member
Oct 25, 2017
25,725
Now it's early so things could change but ...
It's basically Saw for kids.
Well count me in
I heard Serkis' next movie is a CG version of Kimba The White Lion...
All I remember of that name is the preview that played in front of the first Pokemon VHS I owned

37 reviews for Spider-verse and they're all positive; will it make it to 50 before the combo breaker?
armondwhite090223_250.jpg

Leave the spider to me
 

Seeya

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,984
is that the guy who admitted that he gave get out a rotten review just break its perfect streak XD

Venom will be very near 260M in China after this weekend. The big tests will be how well it holds against the bigger movies coming out but maybe Spider-verse can give it a small boost/stem its decline :)

After we get tomorrow's numbers I'll do another recap.
 
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El Bombastico

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
36,048
So um, I just realized that Aquaman and Bumblebee are both coming out on December 21st.

...why? Why didn't one studio budge? Was this a game of chicken gone wrong? Don't they realize each film is gonna cannibalize into the other?
 

shintoki

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,117
So um, I just realized that Aquaman and Bumblebee are both coming out on December 21st.

...why? Why didn't one studio budge? Was this a game of chicken gone wrong? Don't they realize each film is gonna cannibalize into the other?
Few months ago, we had Spiderman, Mary Poppins, Aquaman, and Bumblebee all out on the same day.

On the positive side, typically the Christmas break can support multiple films with ease. But something is still going to get whacked
 

El Bombastico

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
36,048
Few months ago, we had Spiderman, Mary Poppins, Aquaman, and Bumblebee all out on the same day.

On the positive side, typically the Christmas break can support multiple films with ease. But something is still going to get whacked

My guess? Aquaman and Bumblebee kill each other and Spiderverse takes #1 again the week of the 21st. It then becomes a contest to see whether the DCEU or Bayformers left a worst taste in audience's mouths...
 

hodayathink

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,055
Few months ago, we had Spiderman, Mary Poppins, Aquaman, and Bumblebee all out on the same day.

On the positive side, typically the Christmas break can support multiple films with ease. But something is still going to get whacked

Actually, it was Alita, Aquaman and Bumblebee on the same day, with Mary Poppins during the same week (but not opening on Friday).
 

Seeya

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,984
So how much of a drop has Grindlewald been in comparison to the first movie?
Domestically, it's down $40m on the 12 day total. That gap will most likely widen over the next couple of weeks to a $50m-$70m drop.

Both movies had the same slot (opened 1 week before thanksgiving)

Day 3, 7, 10, 12,

FB1
74.4M
110.9M
156.0M
161.2M
FB2
62.2M, -17%
87.2M, -21%
116.6M, -25%
120.4M, -25%
Total: 234M

With all of the upcoming releases I could see it doing 160-170M?

So down 27–32% from the original
 

Schlorgan

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,932
Salt Lake City, Utah
Did anyone expect that series to be a box office juggernaut?
Obviously this drop from the first isn't a good one but it's not like the first was a billion grossing movie.
WB gave the movie a $200m budget; they expected it be a box office juggernaut.

They were probably hoping that tying the sequel closer to the books would give it a bump over the first, but it seems to have done the exact opposite.
 
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T'Chakku

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
2,590
Toronto
WB gave the movie a $200m budget; they expected it be a box office juggernaut.

They were probably hoping that tying the sequel closer to the books would give it a bump over the first, but it seems to have done the exact opposite.
The first made $814m, it wasn't that far off.
Ah...didn't know the budget was that high .And I could've sworn the first made, like, $750m or something.

Guess this result is worse than I thought.
 

NealMcCauley

Member
Oct 27, 2017
6,502
Regal says Spider-Man tickets are on sale now, but none of the theaters near me are listing times yet. I did notice the big theater will be showing Schindler's List. Thought it was only showing in dolby cinemas so that's a surprise.
 

Rvaan

Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,734
If I told you going into the year that Fantastic Beasts 2 had an outside chance to gross less DOM than both Crazy Rich Asians and A Star Is Born what would you have said?
 

NealMcCauley

Member
Oct 27, 2017
6,502
Having read Mowgli reviews I can see why WB dumped it. Seems like there's one scene in particular that would have scarred kids and made parents demand refunds.
 

Rvaan

Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,734
It has no chance at catching A Star is Born now. Also not a good chance of catching CRA.
Yeah I figured ASIB was too far ahead and assumed FB would finish close to CRA and gave CRA the edge. There was a hot second there where I thought about putting The Meg in too but FB can surely gross 23M more right?
 
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kswiston

kswiston

Member
Oct 24, 2017
3,693
Yeah I figured ASIB was too far ahead and assumed FB would finish close to CRA and gave CRA the edge. There was a hot second there where I thought about putting The Meg in too but FB can surely gross 23M more right?

I am thinking 160s. Holds this week so far could have been worse. Wednesday was 71% of FB1's corresponding day, which is better than this past weekend's ~65%

We'll see what the weekend looks like. If FB2 kept making 71% of FB1 for the rest of its run, it would finish with 172M. However, December is really crowded. I doubt that FB2 will have the momentum to hold enough screens beyond the next 2 weeks.
 
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kswiston

kswiston

Member
Oct 24, 2017
3,693
Deadline X-Mas tracking: https://deadline.com/2018/11/aquama...-christmas-box-office-projections-1202510967/

Mary Poppins Returns, the sequel to the 1964 musical film that won five Oscars including Best Actress for Julie Andrews, is launching on Wednesday, December 19 to get ahead of Aquaman, which opens that Friday, and industry estimates believe the Disney-branded pic could deliver a first week in the $70 million range (Christmas falls on the following Tuesday after the Rob Marshall movie opens).

Aquaman in its five-day run from Friday to Christmas Tuesday is expected to bring in around $80M, with $65M over the three-day. Before anyone can scream that's lower than Justice League ($111.9M for first five days), many rival distribs expect this $160M production to leg the holiday out. We're hearing that in regards to the paid tickets for the December 15 Amazon Prime preview of the James Wan-directed movie at major cinema circuits, 65%-70% have already been sold.

Also solid is Paramount's Bumblebee, which looks to take $40M in its first Friday-Tuesday. That could be higher if the movie wasn't up against Aquaman; Bumblebee's unaided awareness among all audiences is half that of Aquaman's.
 

DevilMayGuy

Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,577
Texas
I really want a Real Steel sequel, Jackman bombed enough to consider one yet?
I would be in for this

Also holy shit I would have been so hyped for an Artemis Fowl film over a decade ago. Why did it take them so long to make it? I can't imagine the series has much relevance anymore.

And Mortal Engines? Who?
 
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saenima

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
11,892
That first Robin Hood trailer was one of the worst things i've ever seen. Not surprised.
 

bwahhhhh

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
3,162
Venom coming so close to Spider-man: Homecoming's WW numbers is not something I ever expected
 

Heshinsi

Member
Oct 25, 2017
16,093
Fantastic Beast will still pull 700m+ total by the end, yeah thats a problem, but thats still a good 350m+ profit for the studio, you dont just stop making profit makers. Films 3 and 4 are basically assured. I imagine the US market will continue to fatigue on the series though.
Nah, WB is not profiting $350M on a film that grossed $700M, especially when most of that gross is outside of the US. For them to profit like that, that would mean every dollar this movie makes goes to the studio, and that's not the case at all. The film has a $200M budget, and when you factor in marketing, and the actual cut WB gets, they might make a small profit by the end of it.
 
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