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Shroki

Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,911
I'm down with "evolve is rigged" conspiracy theories. That 6 mana 1-1 that summons the 6-6 shows up way too much. I bet the new Pally legendary will feel disproportionately common as well.

No, I don't think it's really rigged
 

Cat Party

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,413
I'm down with "evolve is rigged" conspiracy theories. That 6 mana 1-1 that summons the 6-6 shows up way too much. I bet the new Pally legendary will feel disproportionately common as well.

No, I don't think it's really rigged
It isn't rigged but there is definitely an RNG bug in Hearthstone. Way too often do you see RNG results that should be virtually impossible, like ungoro packs creating 3 of the same card, or dopplegangsters all evolving into the same thing.
 

Schreckstoff

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,606
I was wrong, the fancy dude turned out to be normal, and the OTHER card was legendary today.


Part of the skill in evolve Shaman is not evolving 1-drops. If you have enough mana to totem + evolve, play the totem afterwards to avoid Doomsayer.
what no, the chances to hit doomsayer are so neglible you should only consider it, if you're far ahead and that roll is the only thing that could make you lose.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,686
I'm down with "evolve is rigged" conspiracy theories. That 6 mana 1-1 that summons the 6-6 shows up way too much. I bet the new Pally legendary will feel disproportionately common as well.
I seem to remember certain effect(s) like Discover are intentionally weighted in certain aspects, like class cards, but I don't have a source for you.

If I wanted to start an RNG conspiracy, I'd question whether Vicious Fledgling is truly random. I played a casual game recently where I attacked 5-6 times and was not offered Windfury at all. I know it's like 10% odds but it felt bad. :P

It isn't rigged but there is definitely an RNG bug in Hearthstone. Way too often do you see RNG results that should be virtually impossible, like ungoro packs creating 3 of the same card, or dopplegangsters all evolving into the same thing.
I could easily believe there are unintentional issues where RNG isn't as RNG as it should be. Actually making really good software RNG is surprisingly complex as far as I've experienced.

Speaking of bugs, I also had the bug where one game deathrattle worked (in)correctly in the brawl, with grandmother spawning big bad wolf + the singularity, and another game where it did not, spawning the wolf and THEN combining again into the singularity.
 

Shroki

Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,911
Wouldn't put it past the jack-asses to cook it, either.

Remember that Unstable Portal intentionally had a higher than average change of pulling a legendary when it was first released in GvG.
 

zoukka

Game Developer
Verified
Oct 28, 2017
2,361
Umm that Rogue minion is fucking insane in Keleseth Lists. Can't believe you guys aren't impressed about it.

It isn't rigged but there is definitely an RNG bug in Hearthstone. Way too often do you see RNG results that should be virtually impossible, like ungoro packs creating 3 of the same card, or dopplegangsters all evolving into the same thing.

You are wrong. True RNG isn't even at all, if an RNG algorythm seems fair and even, then it's highly likely it's not pure randomness.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,686
You are wrong. True RNG isn't even at all, if an RNG algorythm seems fair and even, then it's highly likely it's not pure randomness.
What is desired is a random distribution that is roughly even after a huge number of samples. Random.org supposedly uses atmospheric noise, and even a list from them of 10,000 numbers, each 1-20 (I just spent some time putting this in a spreadsheet to test) has a roughly even distribution.

Do you have any examples of pure randomness for test purposes?
 

zoukka

Game Developer
Verified
Oct 28, 2017
2,361
What is desired is a random distribution that is roughly even after a huge number of samples. Random.org supposedly uses atmospheric noise, and even a list from them of 10,000 numbers, each 1-20 (I just spent some time putting this in a spreadsheet to test) has a roughly even distribution.

Do you have any examples of pure randomness for test purposes?

Pure RNG does indeed close towards even values over time, but that time is longer than your average player will perceive (hence the funny examples I quoted, all of which are nothing weird or indicative of Blizzard tampering the values).
 
Oct 25, 2017
12,539
Rogue would be insane if it had nourish

This is turn 7

Hearthstone_Screenshot_11-30-17_03.27.14.png
 

BabyMurloc

Member
Oct 29, 2017
1,890
Part of the skill in evolve Shaman is not evolving 1-drops. If you have enough mana to totem + evolve, play the totem afterwards to avoid Doomsayer.

It's like a 1% chance to get Doomsayer. 99% success rate is a correct play in almost every situation. The odds of what happened were literally one in ten thousand.
 

Copper

Banned
Nov 13, 2017
666
Rogue card is insane, warrior clear is garbo. Too hard to activate early vs aggro, and late you just wanna run brawl and not lose 10+ armor.

Rogue card is pre-nerf AoL in a tempo class but for 3 less mana and 2 less mana of stats. SeemsGood. Drawing 2 minions in tempo rogue is absurd, especially if you're a bit heavier on the high end. Vilespines, loathebs, bonemares, cairnes, dragons? Wooo.
 

SonicXtreme

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,713
did you guys ever do a re review of our predictions for the last expansion? just curious, loved watching the twitch broadcast last time to see how we all did compared to what we thought the meta was going to be!
 

Sande

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,977
Almost any RNG weirdness is either coincidence or confirmation bias.

But Dirty Rat always wins brawl. That's a fact.
 

fertygo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,558
Worst DK is Rexarr.. there is even stat that Zalae cite in his video midrange hunter winrate goes down after rexxar played
 

fertygo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,558
I wish I had rexxar too or other DKs

But most of leg that I got from frozen pack is those godawful class legendary minion

Ugh
 

SonicXtreme

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,713
I wish I had rexxar too or other DKs

But most of leg that I got from frozen pack is those godawful class legendary minion

Ugh
i haven't been keeping up too much with this expansion, what's the consensus on weapons so far? are they kind of meme tier like the class leggy's from last expansion? since it's just going to be an ooze fest? i feel like i'm going to be terrified of playing weapons, at least with my guess at the meta, but like i said i haven't been as on it in HS as i was last expansion
 

scarlet

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,623
I have 6/8 DK. Don't have Rexxar nor Thrall.

Was quite lucky with Frozen Throne packs, hopefully next one would be better
 

sibarraz

Prophet of Regret - One Winged Slayer
Avenger
Oct 27, 2017
18,102
That druid legendary has great synergy with druid weapon.

I believe that is the strongest weapon showed in this set
 

greepoman

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,959
Worst DK is Rexarr.. there is even stat that Zalae cite in his video midrange hunter winrate goes down after rexxar played

Well that's not surprising considering he doesn't really fit in the standard hunter deck and is played as more of a yogg/hail Mary most times. He's also fun so people play him when they shouldn't. There's been quite a few games where people have played the DK against me and lost when they would've just won with the normal hero power cause I'm playing a no heals deck.

I'm pretty sure if there was an actual good control hunter deck the win rate with the DK would be better. It's like saying druid DK is bad if aggro druid was the only viable druid deck.
 

Papercuts

Prophet of Truth
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,013
I don't think Uther is even a poor DK, the type of deck it just normally goes into can't thrive when priest is around like this. The wincon always felt more like a gimmick, where the upgraded hero power is just a value upgrade and you mostly pay for the weapon. But a slow pally deck like that gets rolled over, the 5 armor + lifesteal weapon is still incredibly strong.
 

Schreckstoff

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,606
Could be wrong without going back to check, so forgive me if so but I thought you said you had like 15000 dust or something. Why not just craft Lich King? :P
You must be mixing me up with someone else I have less than a hundred dust right now after crafting Guldan and a couple MCT, but I am banking a couple UIs for a nerf.

Could have crafted TLK if I didn't craft a golden Malfurion tho. No regrets.
 

Bunga

Banned
Oct 29, 2017
1,251
You must be mixing me up with someone else I have less than a hundred dust right now after crafting Guldan and a couple MCT, but I am banking a couple UIs for a nerf.

Could have crafted TLK if I didn't craft a golden Malfurion tho. No regrets.

My bad, as I said I didn't check back through the thread :)
 

Bunga

Banned
Oct 29, 2017
1,251
Also if you have an Android phone, search for Elephants Guide. Really decent tracker for mobile.
 

GetDigitized

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
2,824
Anybody on EU servers free to let me watch a game so i can get this card pack :<?

Quest has been sitting there for like 4-5 days.
 

IceMarker

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,268
United States
Now we just need more big Demons for Lackey and the very Oozable weapon to pull.

More ways to get Doomguard and Lakkari Felhound onto the board without discard is welcome.
 

Deleted member 4367

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,226
Super slow and expensive, but tons of value. Not sure though.

Control card maybe? But they have less minions they want to just vomit onto the board.
 

SonicXtreme

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,713
valynyromgcard.png


this seems quite good, no? the value! it's almost ooze-resistant!
so like a handicapped 4/4 weapon + 4/2 boost in one card, but you have to have cards in hand....for pally hand buff deck. typically truesilver champion is a great weapon at 4 mana, but that's because having 4 attack on turn 4 is very likely to kill a minion, this late in the game, not so much. handbuff is tough to evaluate since you NEED a minion in your hand, other wise this is fairly crap obviously....hm. kneejerk says nah, since it sort of interferes with the ashbringer you don't really choose to equip and truesilver/rallying blade are already so good at controlling the early board.....kneejerk i'm going to say nah, but a handbuff deck could certainly prove me wrong, never got into hand buff decks without being frustrated though

edit: i'm also primarily a wild player so take that as you will
 

SnugTeam6

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,122
United States
I've been getting into handbuff pally recently with reasonable success, so I'm excited to plop this in and try it out. One of the few weapons so far to excite me at all.
 

SonicXtreme

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,713
yeah i don't think it's good, taking face damage 4 times to only do 4 damage each time at late game status where minions can have large attack values, and without the healing effect of truesilver. maybe i play too much wild but i don't see the 4/2 handbuff being a big enough upside to play that card, i don't want it.

if it was a hunter card i'd try it but pally has top tier weapons, weapon has to be top tier to be playable imo

edit: actually you get it again and again, i'm a moron, i viewed it as only equipping it twice. that could have some shenanigans if you had a lot of healing, but still, not completely convinced

getting the buff again and again is powerful if you can chain it, but you need a very minion heavy decklist for consistency?
 
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