If anything I think the success helps them keep Spider-Man in the MCU. It helps Sony tremendously in getting eyes on their Spider-Man offshoot projects and I don't think Sony would want to give that up.
Pull him out and the Venom verse gets regulated to that potential ASM level status.
For many people, the combination of Spider-Man being MCU, A Marvel logo at the start, and a Stan Lee cameo (ignoring that Sony started those), means that Venom IS MCU. This gives their 'MCU adjacent' stuff instant credibility, along with Venom being a massive international success in every market on the planet.
Now give me a black cat film and let that Kraven film be as good as it sounds.
What I'm betting though is that Sony and Marvel are hashing our some very complex rules for in what ways Spider-Man can appear in Venomverse stuff, and the other way around, including a final saw heirarchy as well as checks and balances.
Don't forget this RDJ tweet, similar to how he tweeted out a Spidey pic before Civil War.
Let the puritanical overboard MCU fanboys whine, I'm sure that Marvel is smart enough to see potential and which way the wind is blowing. They began this relationship due to that, afterall.
Technically, Sony can pretty much do whatever they want and have most of the power here since the agreement between the two companies has been put into place. It behooves Marvel to play ball and set up frameworks that give them oversight.
And I think they've also seen that while Sonys' overall production may have issues, that they're being very smart with the leads attached and the core approach. This is something that has been consistent since Rothman took over and Sony is in the process of a massive turn around because of it.
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