Kyrsten Sinema (D) takes 38k vote lead in Arizona Senate race over Martha McSally (R)

DasRavenEra · Nov 12, 2018

Recent update before the 5PM data drop:
AZSEN: Sinema +35K votes
There are already calls to appoint McSally to the McCain seat as a consolation prize. After today's update, if it doesn't narrow, they'll call it for Sinema.

AZSOS (1st in Line of Succession, runs elections): Hobbs +3.6K votes
So close, it keeps swapping each update. Would be fascinating to see Ducey in an environment where if he leaves to run for POTUS, a Dem would replace him.

AZSOPI (Manages public instruction & schools): Hoffman +51K votes
Score one for Red4Ed. Garcia really sucked as a candidate if he couldn't make it a closer race while Hoffman pulls out a win.

AZCorpCommission (2 seats/5 total, regulates Utilities & Rates): Kennedy +8.8K votes
A Democratic solar advocate gets the most votes, while Prop 127 fails. We (AZ) really hate being compared to Cali. Burns gets an anti-corruption ally.

John Rabbit · Nov 12, 2018

DasRavenEra said:
Recent update before the 5PM data drop:
AZSEN: Sinema +35K votes
There are already calls to appoint McSally to the McCain seat as a consolation prize. After today's update, if it doesn't narrow, they'll call it for Sinema.

AZSOS (1st in Line of Succession, runs elections): Hobbs +3.6K votes
So close, it keeps swapping each update. Would be fascinating to see Ducey in an environment where if he leaves to run for POTUS, a Dem would replace him.

AZSOPI (Manages public instruction & schools): Hoffman +51K votes
Score one for Red4Ed. Garcia really sucked as a candidate if he couldn't make it a closer race while Hoffman pulls out a win.

AZCorpCommission (2 seats/5 total, regulates Utilities & Rates): Kennedy +8.8K votes
A Democratic solar advocate gets the most votes, while Prop 127 fails. We (AZ) really hate being compared to Cali. Burns gets an anti-corruption ally.

Doug Ducey running for President would be hilarious.

devSin · Nov 12, 2018

DasRavenEra said:
AZSOS (1st in Line of Succession, runs elections): Hobbs +3.6K votes
So close, it keeps swapping each update. Would be fascinating to see Ducey in an environment where if he leaves to run for POTUS, a Dem would replace him.

If the Maricopa results hold (basically 50/50), then it's not going to swap again.

Hobbs is massively favored in two of the largest districts still out (Coconino and Pima). This latest Pima drop puts her well above the margins from the last several days.

honavery · Nov 12, 2018

DasRavenEra said:
Recent update before the 5PM data drop:
AZSEN: Sinema +35K votes
There are already calls to appoint McSally to the McCain seat as a consolation prize. After today's update, if it doesn't narrow, they'll call it for Sinema.

AZSOS (1st in Line of Succession, runs elections): Hobbs +3.6K votes
So close, it keeps swapping each update. Would be fascinating to see Ducey in an environment where if he leaves to run for POTUS, a Dem would replace him.

AZSOPI (Manages public instruction & schools): Hoffman +51K votes
Score one for Red4Ed. Garcia really sucked as a candidate if he couldn't make it a closer race while Hoffman pulls out a win.

AZCorpCommission (2 seats/5 total, regulates Utilities & Rates): Kennedy +8.8K votes
A Democratic solar advocate gets the most votes, while Prop 127 fails. We (AZ) really hate being compared to Cali. Burns gets an anti-corruption ally.

I don't understand how they can just keep swapping the McCain seat. Seems you should be able to appoint once, and that's it. Otherwise hold a special election.

Mezoly · Nov 12, 2018

honavery said:
I don't understand how they can just keep swapping the McCain seat. Seems you should be able to appoint once, and that's it. Otherwise hold a special election.

I don't think dems would want special election either.

Antrax · Nov 12, 2018

honavery said:
I don't understand how they can just keep swapping the McCain seat. Seems you should be able to appoint once, and that's it. Otherwise hold a special election.

You only get to hold a special under AZ state law during the next available regular midterm. So if Kyl bails tomorrow, that's still 2020. Ducey could appoint at will until 2020 settles it with an election.

antonz · Nov 12, 2018

Kyl was put into McCain's seat for one reason and one reason only. To Prevent any Kavanaugh fuckery. They were not gonna risk a Cindy McCain or similar suddenly voting no on Kavanaugh so they went with the literal DC Lobbyist for Kavanaugh. Kyl also from the start said he was only promising to serve through January so yeah I can see them giving it to McSally to try and build incumbency for her in 2020

bye · Nov 12, 2018

Please give it to McSally. She's a weak candidate and Mark Kelly would crush her.

demondance · Nov 12, 2018

In a shocking turn of events, if you count all the votes you can get a different result than if you stop way before you do

Elections are gravely compromised in the US

Mezoly · Nov 12, 2018

Sinema almost 2 points up.

Nacho · Nov 12, 2018

honavery said:
I don't understand how they can just keep swapping the McCain seat. Seems you should be able to appoint once, and that's it. Otherwise hold a special election.

Tbh I hope they appoint mcsally. I'd rather a dem go up against someone who already lost an election rather then the gop have a chance at putting someone up without baggage who gains some popularity.

Anubis · Nov 12, 2018

bye said:
Please give it to McSally. She's a weak candidate and Mark Kelly would crush her.

What.

Mezoly · Nov 12, 2018

Maricopa posted and Sinema lead grew to 38K. I'd say stick a fork in it.

Hobbs is taking just fewer than 6k votes lead for AZSOS.

bye · Nov 12, 2018

Anubis said:
What.

As in appoint her to McCains seat until 2020. Our odds of beating her again are pretty great, especially with someone like Mark Kelly

SaintBowWow · Nov 12, 2018

The party always whining about participation trophies is thinking about giving someone a Senate seat as a consolation prize?

Xe4 · Nov 12, 2018

bye said:
Please give it to McSally. She's a weak candidate and Mark Kelly would crush her.

In 6 years...???
Edit: Oh, got you, appoint her to McCain's seat as a consolation prize. Really hope Kelly runs in 2020.

bye · Nov 12, 2018

Xe4 said:
In 6 years...???

No...... I'm talking about McCains seat.

Xe4 · Nov 12, 2018

bye said:
No...... I'm talking about McCains seat.

Yeah I caught that and was editing but was not quick enough.
I'd be cool with McSally getting McCain's seat, if for nothing else than to fix some of the gender disparity in the Senate.

dragonbane · Nov 12, 2018

Maricopa processed less than 20k today. This will take forever jeez

devSin · Nov 12, 2018

dragonbane said:
Maricopa processed less than 20k today. This will take forever jeez

I believe they have to be done by Wednesday.

Maricopa was holding back a batch for some reason (I believe from the bucket that favors Sinema, so the last couple days have been votes that were supposed to be most favorable to McSally).

The race is over.

Cerium · Nov 12, 2018

https://www.resetera.com/threads/ky...nce-1988-first-openly-bisexual-senator.80611/

Kyrsten Sinema (D) takes 38k vote lead in Arizona Senate race over Martha McSally (R)

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