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US Midterm Elections 2018 |OT| Babs is Surging
- Thread starter Midnight Jon
- Start date
Depends on your state you live in. Look up when your polls close and you can figure the rest out
Hopefully we'll know if the House (and by some miracle the Senate) flips by tonight. Complete results may not be known for 2-3 days.
Ah. Well, I'm over in Seminole County right near UCF, so touching Orange County. Big college population around here so probably a good chunk going Gillum/Nelson.
Stock market usually rallies after an election no matter what. It has been pretty weak lately, though.
Reading the language ... I'd imagine that a 'Yes' vote here would be a conservative initiative, while a 'No' vote would be leaving it as it is.
Generally, in Republican leaning states like West Virginia is, conservatives have attacked judiciaries (the courts) and seen them as impediments to implementing laws that might break the state constitution or they see the courts as being "Activist" and promoting ideas that the public wouldn't support. For instance, in my state of Massachusetts, the state judiciary famously legalized gay marriage about 20 years ago through an act of the courts. Conservatives in Mass (which there aren't very many, but they do exist) argued for years that it's wrong for the courts to be "Activist" and effectively "make laws from the bench" ("Legislating from the bench"), but this was always a pretense for being against gay marriage. If Conservatives had any control of the legislature in Massachusetts, then I could see them want to push a referendum that gave state legislators budget control of the courts which would limit the number of court appointments and staff, to pinch the courts.
This initiative seems to give more budget control to the legislature of your state. If you're deciding how to vote, I'd consider looking at the breakdown of your state legislature. If it's heavily one party or another (which I... kinda assume it's heavily R, though I might be wrong), then ask yourself whether you want your legislature to have more control over another branch of government. Also consider "why would someone want to control the budget of the judiciary... is the judiciary budget out of control or have run-away spending...?" The answer is ... probably not.
My impulse on referendum issues like this is to "leave them alone" when I'm genuinely undecided on the outcome of something, even when I've read it, which is to say ... I usually vote No. If one group wants to change the state constitution or the balance of power in my state and I don't really know what the outcome would be, and I'm confused by the language and can't figure out the outcome, my implicit reaction is to be against it. Voting 'no' means that, hay, in the future it could come up again or the state legislature could pick it up and put some skin in the game by picking a side. Voting 'yes' means it's going to be implemented.
Not to get too far ahead of ourselves, but keeping seats like Donnelly's matter even more if we don't get control of the the Senate, which is a real possibility, because 2020 will be just as close. And every seat matters. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/senate-update-how-this-years-race-sets-up-2020/
Results start coming in after the polls close which varies by state. I think some close as early as 6 p.m. Prior to Bush-Gore you used to get a lot more info throughout the day due to reporting on exit polls, but I think most reputable outlets stopped doing that because the consensus was that it could influence the election.
I'm most worried about Donnelly/McCaskill. Think we take all the other Senate tossups.
Tell your friends Hillary lost Michigan by 2 votes per precinct and then tell them to get their assess back in line even if the wait is even worse. There is far too much on the line to shrug this off.
My kids were hype as hell to help us vote.
They are so cute. Congrats.
Here are the two current Indiana senators:
Todd Young votes with Trump, 93.7% of the time.
Joe Donnelly votes with Trump, 53.8% of the time.
Here's stuff about Braun, the opposing candidate.
You really want to play this game?
I was checking at 538 and they say that if the Senate goes 50/50, the Republicans still control it. Why is that?
I'm so bummed that my voting district VA-8 (Falls Church, Arlington, Alexandria) is literally on the boarder with Barbara Comstock's VA-10, so I can't vote her out personally.
She's a shameless phony and a fraud.
After voting 98% with Republicans she had the audacity to run local campaign ads claiming she was "INDEPENDENT THINKER" in BIG BOLD letters. 'Cause you know, even affiliating with the Republican party is so damn toxic that you can't associate your name with them.
Sorry Babs, you don't get to gleefully throw gas on the GOP dumpster fire only to walk it back the moment you realize actions have consequences. You're not Independent. You're a flagrant GOP bootlicker.
God I can't wait to see her go down.
She's a shameless phony and a fraud.
After voting 98% with Republicans she had the audacity to run local campaign ads claiming she was "INDEPENDENT THINKER" in BIG BOLD letters. 'Cause you know, even affiliating with the Republican party is so damn toxic that you can't associate your name with them.
Sorry Babs, you don't get to gleefully throw gas on the GOP dumpster fire only to walk it back the moment you realize actions have consequences. You're not Independent. You're a flagrant GOP bootlicker.
God I can't wait to see her go down.
So what exactly is the vote for today?
Congress, house, senate? What's the most important to win?
How is the outlook?
Is there some sort of coverage to follow the election on a good way
Congress, house, senate? What's the most important to win?
How is the outlook?
Is there some sort of coverage to follow the election on a good way
As a Texan, in my experience we're hard Red less because of a willingness to support racism(thought there is a bit of that) and more bad education and rampant apathy due to the belief that we are "above" it all.
Depending on the win today, we might spook Murkowski and maybe even one or two more. ESPECIALLY if Mueller spooks them before January.
it's lookin like the dems will take the house and the GOP will keep the senate.
By 7PM EST you'll start to see results coming in for east coast states, 8PM for some of them, and then progressively later throughout the country. The makeup of the House should be fairly well known by about 10PM tonight. The senate will likely stay the way it is, +/- one seat for Republicans, but if there are substantial gains by either party we'll know overnight / tomorrow morning.
Election results still usually take till the following morning to really confirm, but today we just have more people inferring results based on early information.
Be sure to check your registrations. My wife and I relocated to Nebraska in April, both got our new licenses and register to vote at the same time. Hers did not go through
GODDMMIT DMV
GODDMMIT DMV
It was raining here in Washington so I couldn't be bothered to walk to the mailbox to put the ballot in. Didn't want to get wet.
America, the world is counting on you not to fuck this up.
Do not fucking fuck this up.
Fuck.
Do not fucking fuck this up.
Fuck.
Just voted D across the board. Though it's in a county of Ohio where 2016 was something like 65% R to 25% D. Still had to vote though.
Thanks for the advice. I may end up doing that then, which is to just leave it as is because I just don't know what it would do.
Can block any Trump appointees and legislation but also don't have as much sway when it comes to investigations.
The odds of that happening are so unbelievably low that it's not even worth wondering about.
Jesus, 20ish percent is a real possibility.
Nate Silver is right: People really do treat 80% or higher as 100%.
I feel like this forum has internalized nothing from 2016 other than "People I don't like can and do win elections".