Yeah. The more I think about it....you're right. My mind was more on polling with easy manipulated questions to farm out specific answers.
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Not yet. Day 3 came in midday today so I would expect the same.
We do not. Never even heard of it till I read about it on era.
I know i made sure to double check before even pressing cast Ballot. My grandmother and Grandpa did as well.
Still seeing posts about lines and crowds. We wont get a clearer picture till tomorrow after TX SOS posts the numbers. It seems Dallas saw a dip yesterday due to nonstop rains, but other counties continued to trend. Interested to see what today looked like.
Texas Tribune editor is teasing a new poll for tomorrow morning, and seems to be bracing for people to be skeptical of it, which would imply that it either has Beto up, or has him down big
Looking that up, the final results were Abbott getting 59%, with Glass getting <2% (and Davis getting ~39%).
Yeah, he's boasting about the relative accuracy of their last midterm polls, which I assume is preemptively shielding them for an unexpected result tomorrow.
https://www.texastribune.org/2018/10/26/ut-tt-poll-ted-cruz-leads-beto-orourke-texas-senate/
Beto down 51-45.
45% statewide will have amazing benefits downballot. His candidacy was worth it for that reason alone.
Beto down 51-45.
45% statewide will have amazing benefits downballot. His candidacy was worth it for that reason alone.
Models are always right.
A poll is a s good as the guys making them. People lie so you have to make a bunch of other questions to then be able to ascertain who is lying and why.
American polls are just easier to nail because they only have 2 candidates for the most part, but their quality is poor, specially conpared to some european countries.
so Beto has no chance? how can that be when the guy attracts half of texas to his appearances? Is there just that many more old white republicans in Texas?
Don't believe the polls. New voters aren't counted or Beto activating people that aren't likely voters.
It's not no chance. Polls can be wrong. They may have faulty turnout models, there may be some bias in who's responding, etc. but they're right more often than not, so he's definitely not the favorite. He's got like a 20% shot or so.
Beto has a chance, albeit a long shot
Who gets polled is based on who turned out in prior, similar elections. What you see in the poll you're responding to is more or less how Beto would do if a similar electorate turned out to that in 2014.
A Beto victory would require that the electorate not look much like the 2014 electorate.
He's never been anywhere near the favorite. Him winning is entirely dependent on high turnout in some areas because he's a better D than average and low turnout in other places because Cruz is a worse R than average.
Man, what the fuck. If this is an actual widespread problem among some voting machines...
My plan was always to select the straight-ticket option while still making sure to double-check every individual vote made, but you know there are tons of people out there who won't do that.
Always double check, but it doesn't seem like this affects the touch screen voting machines, which I think most places are using now.
What are you talking about? Models are harder to get right than polls. And polling in the US is absolutely not worse than polling in Europe. That's ridiculous. Where are you getting this from?
I've only ever seen the ones with the wheel here in Austin.
I voted on the same type of machine and luckily this didn't happen to me.
It's just harder to poll with FPTP and the Electoral College.
Straight ticket voting is fucking awful. Don't use it ever. It should be unconstitutional.
That being said, if this is widespread, these machines should immediately be replaced.
That being said, if this is widespread, these machines should immediately be replaced.
I voted yesterday. Didn't have any issues mentioned in that tweet so I can't speak to it.
I've been talking to my grandmother's caretakers to let them know if they want to go vote during work hours I am available to take care of her and their pay won't be docked or anything. I've talked to 2/3 and they acted almost disgusted at the idea of voting lol. But I'm ready in case they change their mind. I honestly don't even care if they vote republican I just think it's the right thing to do.
I voted straight dem ticket and cycled through just to confirm all the candidates and see where dems weren't running. I feel there were a lot less uncontested Republicans than 2016 so that's good.
I've been talking to my grandmother's caretakers to let them know if they want to go vote during work hours I am available to take care of her and their pay won't be docked or anything. I've talked to 2/3 and they acted almost disgusted at the idea of voting lol. But I'm ready in case they change their mind. I honestly don't even care if they vote republican I just think it's the right thing to do.
I voted straight dem ticket and cycled through just to confirm all the candidates and see where dems weren't running. I feel there were a lot less uncontested Republicans than 2016 so that's good.
The only things that should be unconstitutional are using shit tier, easily manipulated technology and refusing to print physical receipts of votes that can be used as a backup.
The two things aren't mutually exclusive.
Straight ticket voting is plain laziness. Voting for someone because they have a D or an R next to their name instead of what they feel about certain issues is lame as hell. It leads to more tribalism and less informed voters. Get rid of it.
I would've agreed before Trump, but now? I'm a straight-ticket voter for the rest of my life; the Republican Party can eat shit.
Thank god I double-checked that Beto was listed as my choice.
There are other things on ballots besides candidates.
For instance voting on justices depending on the state or district and voting on ballot initiatives (and they're supposed to be non-partisan although that's state by state). By letting people not research these things before they go, we are letting them make uninformed decisions about other things on the ballot as well.
I love the wheel ones--no chance of calibration issues.
Unfortunately I'm in Wilco now.
My local polling place upgraded from the wheel machines, to touchscreen. I selected straight party democrat, but still checked every page, and then double-checked the summary page. Also, people need to make sure they stay to see the flag on screen to verify the vote was successfully submitted.
You have voted for John McCain.
Seriously though this can't still be a thing.
Sometimes I'm glad the UK uses paper and pencil.
No it's not. You're confusing polls with models. Presidential election polls don't care about the electoral college, but models do.
Voted yesterday during my lunch break. line wasn't so bad. Whenever I drive by the Randalls off Brodie and Slaughter in Austin there's always a long line out the door.
wtf! now I'm paranoid ;_;
wtf! now I'm paranoid ;_;
Then you get people filling out multiple bubbles on one line and election judges interpreting their intent.
Maybe this is why they're getting rid of the straight ticket option.
Texas is getting rid of it in 2020, so hopefully this will be less of a problem.
You clearly don't understand Texas at all. People here say no one is excited for Cruz yet I know that isn't remotely the case on my Texas forum I frequent. And it is a pretty young forum overall
In the UK we use crosses, rather than marking out lines.
It's ancient but it works just about!
That said we don't have much more than General Election/Local Elections at the same time so we don't have referendums, state, senate and Congress and all sorts of votes on the same ticket.
Cruz's approval rating is below 30%
People hate him, I guess we'll see if they hate him enough to vote him out.
Not that I know of. The state doesn't keep record of who you voted for, just that you voted.
My father, GF, brother and myself will all be voting for the first time and we're going for Beto. I've gotten some friends on board to who've never voted. Even if he doesn't win, we won't be discouraged, if anything he's started something that he can hopefully continue to capitalize on.
I want to vote for him for president one day
I want to vote for him for president one day
I double checked my ballot before submitting it, everything seemed in order. The voting machines in Texas are jank though, who thought using a rotary wheel to navigate was a good idea?