Maybe they can't provide the proof because they'll get someone in trouble?
Same, I want that Isaac as an Avatar.If the leak is fake, I want to see that fake character mural in proper quality. A lot of those poses are really well done, can't say much about the artwork since stuff blends in in low quality images.
They wouldn't even be implying they had information if the situation was that dire.
This is why I doubt it too. It panders way too much to internet forums, which is also coincidentally the only audience that follows leaks so closely. If it was just 1 deep cut I would consider that plausible. But 4 deep cuts? No way. We already had 1 in K Rool too. Ridley isn't a deep cut nor is Dark Samus. Metroid just finally got it's villains.And then there's the roster. There's been a real pattern with the Smash roster, and it's that the characters basically fall into three categories. Main characters of mid tier Nintendo series, well known characters from prominent non-Nintendo franchises, and second tier characters from popular Nintendo series.
So far the reveals fit this pattern. K Rool and Ridley are second tier characters from major Nintendo franchises. Simon and Richter are two main characters from Castlevania. Etc.
But the leak roster? Each one makes some sense, but together they stretch credibility. Chorus Kids are fine. Shadow is fine, as Sonic is big enough that another character from the franchise makes sense. Same with Ken. But Banjo? Only reason he'd be here is if Nintendo made a deal with Rare to get some N64 classic games and he was part of the deal. Isaac? I guess he was an assist trophy that one time, but Golden Sun is a deep cut. Mach Rider too. And then Geno is a deep cut Mario character who was only in one game.
Like each character is possible, but together it's a bit much. Unless I've underestimated how much Sakurai is just going for full catering to the hardcore fanbase.
Evil otter plots?
This thread currently sits at a poll with 2000 people thinking this rumor is real. Beyond that, Smash fans are well documented for their perserverance in regards to sensitive subjects like this. This series has one of the highest level of hoaxes in any game out there, because people are that attached to it.If people don't want to compromise their sources, then they shouldn't even be leaking stuff from them in the first place.
Like why bother revealing things from 2nd hand sources if said sources doesn't apparently care enough about their security+ certificate and NDA clause.
And let's face it: It's not gonna be hard to figure out who the source is.
NX controller 3D print was more elaborate and way more work.If this turns out to be fake, holy hell at the amount of work the faker put into this. Creating a fake image supposedly linked to a random PoS display company, as well as faking that they were someone else. It just seems to surreal that I can't imagine someone doing this for a fucking video game.
I'm Team Fake. Too many people in the know casting doubt on this.
Real leaks can be blurry too.I'm starting to lean more towards #teamfake. Considering how complex and intricate fake leaks have gotten these days, I could see this being pulled off as crazy as it may be. And the fake ones are nearly ALWAYS blurry. Why are they always blurry. I also just don't see us being due for 5 more brand new characters. Even if some of them could be echos we're not aware of (like possibly Mach Rider and Issac), I just don't see it.
The insiders have been wrong about a lot of things, ironically it's always been idiots on 4chan who leak this stuff, while "verified" people on Gamefaq's & Twitter get it wrong 90% of the time.This thread currently sits at a poll with 2000 people thinking this rumor is real. Beyond that, Smash fans are well documented for their perserverance in regards to sensitive subjects like this. This series has one of the highest level of hoaxes in any game out there, because people are that attached to it.
Let's not mince words about this - Era might argue otherwise, but with how much traction this leak has made, a lot of people are going to end up really angry if this doesn't end up becoming real. That would be unfair to the amount of effort Sakurai and his team has poured into this project.
Which is likely why a lot of "insiders"are speaking up about it now the best they can. To say "hey, maybe cool your jets - because from my own knowledge this doesn't seem right". Considering most of these guys rarely comment on Smash rumors, that seems notable enough to me, and a lot of people saying it aren't what I'd call clout chasers here.
Just because they built themselves a soap box doesn't automatically give them credibility .I'm Team Fake. Too many people in the know casting doubt on this.
then what's the point of saying anything. so people pay attention to you in a video game forum?
Unlike Liam, Brock refuses to hold his L.what if the day Pokemon music was added to the blog was the day Sakurai decided to push incineroar to dlc
I'm Team Fake. Too many people in the know casting doubt on this.
Is that really convoluted? Isnt that what you would do if you wanted to give the leak the air of legitimacy? It's what made this leake much more believable.The idea that this is fake just got a lot more convoluted.
You now have to assume that the guy who faked everything not only went through all of the trouble of creating all of this stuff, but actually decided to frame someone else as the leaker instead of leaking it anonymously.
Reposting this gem,
"Yeah it's the craziest person in the world going out of their way to make incredibly boring cardboard cut-out models using promotional material from the upcoming Grinch movie because he's thinking 47 steps ahead and knows that both Bandai-Namco and Universal studios contract the same obscure French marketing company. To this end, he then got himself an office, printed out the name of an employee of said company, and haphazardly half blurred out the name because, once again, he's some kind of super genius beyond the mental capacities of mortal man and he knew that the internet's crack team of cybersleuths would find his red-herring name in seconds.
This absolute Einstein of social engineering also happens to moonlight as an expert artist and after presumably spending hours carefully cutting and pasting characters from the Smash poster, he then went out of his way to produce 7 more drawings of his own with obscure elements like vines for Isaac that hardly anyone would be able to make out, and then, for the fun of it, he saw to making a completely unique drawing of the blank version of Battlefield just because he could. He made sure that this fake roster of his perfectly mirrored one posted on 4chan last month by someone whose first language clearly isn't English because he knew that people would immediately make the connection to the French marketing company that he is pretending produced this image. The fact that 5 new characters lines up with the 5 missing stages from Corocoro was all part of his master plan. He also made sure this coincided with Nintendo renewing relevant trademarks.
The lengths you have to go to believe that this is all an incredibly elaborate leak would make this man one of the most intelligent people to ever walk the Earth. Apparently he knew where people would look at every turn, making him at the minimum more competent than the entire government of Saudi Arabia when it comes to fakery.
I suggest you think about which outcome is the most likely here"
This thread currently sits at a poll with 2000 people thinking this rumor is real. Beyond that, Smash fans are well documented for their perserverance in regards to sensitive subjects like this. This series has one of the highest level of hoaxes in any game out there, because people are that attached to it.
Let's not mince words about this - Era might argue otherwise, but with how much traction this leak has made, a lot of people are going to end up really angry if this doesn't end up becoming real. That would be unfair to the amount of effort Sakurai and his team has poured into this project.
Which is likely why a lot of "insiders"are speaking up about it now the best they can. To say "hey, maybe cool your jets - because from my own knowledge this doesn't seem right". Considering most of these guys rarely comment on Smash rumors, that seems notable enough to me, and a lot of people saying it aren't what I'd call clout chasers here.
It makes sense. Insiders are a great way to do a controlled leak since they want to protect their source. For leaks Nintendo doesn't want to get out, it's better to be completely anonymous.The insiders have been wrong about a lot of things, ironically it's always been idiots on 4chan who leak this stuff, while "verified" people on Gamefaq's & Twitter get it wrong 90% of the time.
Actually saying, "I know something about Smash." already can lead a paper trail to his source, lol. It wouldn't be much different from revealing the information itself. That suggests that someone he knows in his personal life that knows something about Smash (likely Nintendo related) told him something. That's enough information to get somebody fired easily.I feel like you guys are underestimating how difficult it is to leak something without any trail that might lead back to the source.
What if he forgot about the verified music rule and upon realising he posted pokemon music he knew that he HAD to cut Inciniroar as a result of its iron clad rulings.what if the day Pokemon music was added to the blog was the day Sakurai decided to push incineroar to dlc
What if he forgot about the verified music rule and upon realising he posted pokemon music he knew that he HAD to cut Inciniroar as a result of its iron clad rulings.
I would agree with you if only one or two guys spoke up about it. But more than 6 people have talked about this being fake, that's too many to believe this is real now for me.Just because they built themselves a soap box doesn't automatically give them credibility .
It's also an example of someone creating fake supporting evidence to back up a fake posted by an unconnected party, which could be the same deal with the 4chan post and the Smash image.
My Phoenix Wright instincts lead me to believe:
The leak is real, but Eric Birard was framed by a vindictive co-worker.
If it's fake, it's by far the best fake I've ever seen.
Here are my claims:
1. What's written on the Snapchat images doesn't make sense.
- If he's saying "**** you Nintendo lol, I'm leaking your game", it would be ultra-dumb considering he signed an NDA and he didn't hide his name.
- If he's saying "**** Nintendo lol, what a dumb company to be printing things for", it would still be ultra-dumb considering his NDA, and it just makes him seem like a stupid person, posting stuff like that about his work. (But it's still a definite possibility)
- If you'd be framing someone, that's exactly what you'd write.
2. The work environment is completely real.
- The people, companies and locations all add up. Revealing your real identity even for a fake leak would be risky.
- Using this to your advantage to get someone fired is totally possible.
3. Modifying the full character artwork would be too much work.
- Adding characters is one thing, but repositionning most of the characters and adding parts that were hidden would be the work of a monk. You could point to the Rayman fake and say that people are ready to invest a lot of time in fakes or say the blur loosens the need for extreme precision; but even so, as a graphic designer myself, modifying a complex digital painting would be way more annoying than creating new assets and would not be worth the gigantic effort needed.
Last but not least: Occam's Razor
Option A, it's fake:
Option B: It's real
- If insider's know about other characters that aren't in the artwork, i t could be esily explained by saying they're DLC or this artwork simply isn't the final version.
It's the perfect internet-age crime: To get your co-worker fired, with no way to prove you did it.
Also, I like the leaked characters so I'm biased.
Never mind Smash characters insiders can have some real shit lobbed at them even if their info is real. Emily was a pretty prominent insider but she's taken a total step back. Saying Ridley was in and the roster is Ultimate is her most recent leak and that was before E3It's not that I disagree, but I feel like if they're going to use their positions to say "cool your jets, it's not legit" then it's not unreasonable to want evidence. If we had one contradictory pic or video then this thread would not have taken off. Heck, you yourself are the one person who's put in the work creating a credible theory as to why the leak is fake, pointing out the inconsistencies on the background.
But again, the idea of being disappointed by a video game rumour is completely alien to me. Do people actually freak out over this to insiders?
Because they want to cast doubt on a rumor and temper expectations.then what's the point of saying anything. so people pay attention to you in a video game forum?
Didn't insiders say that was real at the time?It's also an example of someone creating fake supporting evidence to back up a fake posted by an unconnected party, which could be the same deal with the 4chan post and the Smash image.
Who knows if Inciniroar got cut, will be DLC or is still actually in the game, either way, i think personally Inciniroar got the boot to focus on a Gen 8 rep as DLC & most importantly being the first new Smash Ultimate Pokemon.What if he forgot about the verified music rule and upon realising he posted pokemon music he knew that he HAD to cut Inciniroar as a result of its iron clad rulings.
if they think they're going to temper expectations by saying "this isn't real" with zero proof then they don't understand how people and the internet worksBecause they want to cast doubt on a rumor and temper expectations.
It's not that I disagree, but I feel like if they're going to use their positions to say "cool your jets, it's not legit" then it's not unreasonable to want evidence. If we had one contradictory pic or video then this thread would not have taken off. Heck, you yourself are the one person who's put in the work creating a credible theory as to why the leak is fake, pointing out the inconsistencies on the background.
But again, the idea of being disappointed by a video game rumour is completely alien to me. Do people actually freak out over this to insiders?