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Which team are you in, hooman? (NOTE: Vote-changing disabled!)

  • #TeamReal

    Votes: 2,046 67.7%
  • #TeamFake

    Votes: 978 32.3%

  • Total voters
    3,024
  • Poll closed .
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Not open for further replies.

Metto

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 27, 2017
12,108
Alright, let's do a comprehensive post about this. Let's call it "why might this background have been faked?"

C9mb6i7.gif


If you want to read a more comprehensive take on all the background differences that can't be chalked up to simple "detail lost in the blur", refer to this post. But for the sake of keeping things simple, the most suspicious portion is the leftmost square where the direct feed background shows that there is supposed to be a big island there. This one's the easiest sticking point because in every mural art we've seen, that portion of the background is always covered by Bowser. By glancing on the full mural you'd notice that the waterfall has a sort of curvature. The "leaked" background completely removes the island however, and with the way the waterfall is structured, it's pretty clear that this was painted over. The easy conclusion to come from this is that it was painted by someone who had no idea how the background actually looked like when it was covered. Up until yesterday people dismissed the background itself as evidence until it turns out the background actually was available at E3. This is when most holes started popping up and for now that stands in favor of #TeamFake, as it hasn't been debunked yet.

1540456390707.jpg


This point was contingent on the notion that the background hadn't changed since E3 however, and an argument that was proposed in favor of #TeamReal by Rotobit was that visible structure near Zelda is seemingly not visible in the full E3 banner that was provided by people. This brought up the idea that the background might have changed. However, that's a tenuous supposition because

1) the topmost image that Rotobit used was from a later Nintendo Direct, and yet that same structure can still be seen in the E3 Direct. It's safe to say most materials pertaining to Smash and E3 were ostensibly the same.
2) the castle never actually went anywhere, it just looked less visible because of the image's quality and general overexposure.

A closer look at a clearer image that was taken from the Treehouse shows that those pillars are still intact in the distance; they're just less visible on account of the brightness and circumstances of a shot (video recording of a monitor).

9RVYy9j.png


So right now, the only leg people who believe this leak have to stand on in regards to the actual content is the question of whether the background itself changed. So far, no evidence points to that, and it doesn't make a lot of sense given how most of it is already obscured to begin with, which means changing it "so it doesn't clash" is a bit of a nonsensical argument.
Is there any reason why it can't be an unused early version of the mural? Cause this is making the assumption this is the mural used for the banner with the characters
 

Platy

Member
Oct 25, 2017
27,647
Brazil
Glad there's actual proof it's fake now instead of "just trust us on this" nonsense.

Would only be proof if it was "he work here but we don't work with smash" or "he does not work here and we work on smash"

"he does not work here and we don't work on smash" only means he has a chance to be working with smash right now
 

NotLiquid

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
34,755
Is there any reason why it can't be an unused early version of the mural? Cause this is making the assumption this is the mural used for the banner with the characters
Extremely unlikely because no Smash Ultimate materials ever went to print prior to E3. Sakurai was very particular that Smash's E3, which was the earliest point of it's marketing, had to be have it's only piece of advertising used through a large scale monitor. To suggest that it's an early version of the mural is to suggest that a french press company somehow got a hold of it years ago, and that's unrealistic given that the characters on there are from recent.
 

Strat

Member
Apr 8, 2018
13,329
I just want to get some work done. If my employees find out I've been sitting here reading about smash bros for two days they'll make fun of me for a year.
 

ned_ballad

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
48,220
Rochester, New York
Extremely unlikely because no Smash Ultimate materials ever went to print prior to E3. Sakurai was very particular that Smash's E3, which was the earliest point of it's marketing, had to be have it's only piece of advertising used through a large scale monitor. To suggest that it's an early version of the mural is to suggest that a french press company somehow got a hold of it years ago, and that's unrealistic given that the characters on there are from recent.
Maybe Nintendo/Namco sent them an early version on accident?
 

Weiss

User requested ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
64,265
Alright, let's do a comprehensive post about this. Let's call it "why might this background have been faked?"

C9mb6i7.gif


If you want to read a more comprehensive take on all the background differences that can't be chalked up to simple "detail lost in the blur", refer to this post. But for the sake of keeping things simple, the most suspicious portion is the leftmost square where the direct feed background shows that there is supposed to be a big island there. This one's the easiest sticking point because in every mural art we've seen, that portion of the background is always covered by Bowser. By glancing on the full mural you'd notice that the waterfall has a sort of curvature. The "leaked" background completely removes the island however, and with the way the waterfall is structured, it's pretty clear that this was painted over. The easy conclusion to come from this is that it was painted by someone who had no idea how the background actually looked like when it was covered. Up until yesterday people dismissed the background itself as evidence until it turns out the background actually was available at E3. This is when most holes started popping up and for now that stands in favor of #TeamFake, as it hasn't been debunked yet.

1540456390707.jpg


This point was contingent on the notion that the background hadn't changed since E3 however, and an argument that was proposed in favor of #TeamReal by Rotobit was that visible structure near Zelda is seemingly not visible in the full E3 banner that was provided by people. This brought up the idea that the background might have changed. However, that's a tenuous supposition because

1) the topmost image that Rotobit used was from a later Nintendo Direct, and yet that same structure can still be seen in the E3 Direct. It's safe to say most materials pertaining to Smash and E3 were ostensibly the same.
2) the castle never actually went anywhere, it just looked less visible because of the image's quality and general overexposure.

A closer look at a clearer image that was taken from the Treehouse shows that those pillars are still intact in the distance; they're just less visible on account of the brightness and circumstances of a shot (video recording of a monitor).

9RVYy9j.png


So right now, the only leg people who believe this leak have to stand on in regards to the actual content is the question of whether the background itself changed. So far, no evidence points to that, and it doesn't make a lot of sense given how most of it is already obscured to begin with, which means changing it "so it doesn't clash" is a bit of a nonsensical argument.

Thanks for the summary.
 

Favi

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,966
The way some insiders are saying "some of this seems right, but it's also wrong in places" makes me think they know it's missing Incineroar, but also that Ken is in, and maybe Geno? It seems like at least some of the characters in the leak are definitely in the game.
I don't think anyone doubt that Ken and Shadow are in the game, even before this leak.

But yeah, that's what most insiders are hinting to, some of this is true but there are stuff in the final game that they know about not listed here. I'd not be surprised if they all are partially right and Incineroar, Sora or whatever are moved to DLC now.
 

Skittzo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
41,037
The background is becoming my major sticking point too. It does appear to have been changed (unless the image in the leak got a whole bunch of smudges on it, maybe the leaker was eating his lunch there and got food smudges everywhere) and unless Nintendo has changed the background before that's a big mark against the leak. And it doesn't appear that they have.
 

Metto

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 27, 2017
12,108
Extremely unlikely because no Smash Ultimate materials ever went to print prior to E3. Sakurai was very particular that Smash's E3, which was the earliest point of it's marketing, had to be have it's only piece of advertising used through a large scale monitor. To suggest that it's an early version of the mural is to suggest that a french press company somehow got a hold of it years ago, and that's unrealistic given that the characters on there are from recent.
I ask because the mural in the Character Banner for the leak seems more consistent with the mural used for the actual banners.

One of the big discrepancies used against the leak initially is that the empty Battlefield mural doesn't have the castle near Zelda's hand but you can kind of see it in the Leak's Character Banner.

lz0DPCt.jpg
 

Gilbals

Member
Oct 25, 2017
343
Talking about this mural... I'm no graphic designer or talented anything, but from a personal view, if you're doing printed media and want your mural characters to pop out more in print you would use a more muted, less detailed background so the characters pop. My opinion doesn't reflect this being more real or fake despite my allegiance to #TeamReal, but it is food for thought.
 

doragon

Member
Oct 27, 2017
400
Can we talk about how the conductor + the red tie makes this leak seem even more legit btw? Even people trying to make fake original art don't know about the tie lmao

This dude would have to be a Rhythm Heaven FANATIC. I love the series and I didn't know about the tie!
This just makes me think they used the exact same artwork for the leak, convincing me even more that all this was just amusingly fake. I mean, it's part of the Smash experience at this point.
 
Oct 26, 2017
7,981
The obscured bg has been redrawn instead of using the original source, I'm sure of it.
That definitely makes it look fake, it just depends whether a 3rd party display company tried remake it because they couldn't access the original art, or a faker did the same thing for the same reason, that's what makes this entertaining.
 
Aug 29, 2018
1,089
I still think it is probably fake but at this point the reveal is going to be just as hype as if I knew nothing at all, will be like the end of a mystery novel lol
 

ShinobiBk

One Winged Slayer
Member
Dec 28, 2017
10,121
Okay so I took the E3 empty battlefield picture posted by Mipmap like 20 pages back and did some quick blurring and adjustments to try and get it to look a bit more like the leaked photo, to see if the inconsistencies were a matter of blurriness or they were actually definitively different.

Here's the original:

SCzdK0l.jpg


Here's my blur edited one:

o2dA6ex.jpg


Here's the one from the leak (I couldn't find one of it by itself but it's obviously the middle of these three images):

TA9B8hk.jpg



----

This doesn't say anything conclusive, at least to me, but I think it's an interesting comparison to look at. In mine you can still easily see the castle on the waterfall but not on the leaker's. You do lose plenty of other details though.

Food for thought.
This definitely could have been faked. People already posted artwork of shifting/removing characters and adding new ones that aren't blurry as shit
'This would take a lot of effort to fake' means nothing.
 
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