I agree. like 80% of the posts here boil down to either. 1.) it's a Rockstar game, so therefore the game will be a hit 2.) GTA V was a hit, so therefore Red Dead will be a hit. 3.) The game had a high budget and took time to develop, so therefore it will be a hit.
I knew what I was getting into when I created this thread, but these arguments don't hold water. Again, I myself think the game will sell well, but the above justifications for this belief aren't compelling to me.
Yeah, that's fair, there's a lot of "yo it's rockstar" posts that doesn't really have a lot of substance to it. So I'm not reiterating 6 pages of that.
That said, sales thread insiders have been hinting for quite a while that the game preorder sales is already tracking ahead of anything else in this year, save for COD (which it had been neck to neck with) and BLOP4 is enjoying a very good year due to Blackout. That's already a very good sign pointing to the success of the game.
Can it be as leggy as GTAV was? That's pretty much a no, because that's a monster of a game; But my gut feeling says it's something that will sell consistently for a while, if we later on get next gen and PC ports.
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