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sph3re

One Winged Slayer
Avenger
Oct 28, 2017
8,442
Does the average joe care that much about the Rockstar pedigree?
Yes.

Grand Theft Auto is consistently one of the best selling franchises of all time, Red Dead Redemption is Grand Theft Auto in the wild, wild west. It's not rocket science.

Sorry if that was snarky, but it is pretty straightforward.
 

malcolmx

Banned
May 20, 2018
243
Because my cousin who is a doctor and does not play games and only owns like a ps3, is about to buy a ps4 only for that game..alongside every other cousin in my family gamer or not.
 

PapaJustify

Member
Nov 3, 2017
1,110
Germany
I think the real marketing hasn't even begun yet. However, I saw a promoted Twitter or Instagram post every second day or so for the last couple of months. More marketing than I see for many other games so far in advance.
 

xxracerxx

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
31,222
so...what?
It was the same for Final fantasy or megaman in old gens...?
I mean what the argument to think Odyssey will be a bad game with this? We even had games that weren't so awesome despite 10 years of devlopment.
I am saying that people can get fatigued on a series with such short turnaround times, that is where the suspicion can come from.

And again, there has been plenty, PLENTY, of suspicion around RDR2.
 

Symphony

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,361
In my measly town alone they're completely taking over the entire outside (4 massive windows total) of the games shop, Sony/Microsoft only sprung for a single window each for Uncharted and Gears, EA doesn't even do that for Fifa or Star Wars. After launch if they come out and say it has the largest marketing budget for any videogame ever I wouldn't hesitate to agree, with that and the Rockstar brand name it doesn't even need to be good to pass 10m.
 
Oct 27, 2017
5,247
It's going to sell a lot of copies, Rockstar games are in the mainstream, GTA V is still selling, it's still up there on the best selling lists.
 

Kylo Rey

Banned
Dec 17, 2017
3,442
I am saying that people can get fatigued on a series with such short turnaround times, that is where the suspicion can come from.

And again, there has been plenty, PLENTY, of suspicion around RDR2.

never saw suspicion around it.
The gamer fatigue is just psychology. It don't have to affect the quality of a game.
 

Deleted member 42686

User requested account closure
Banned
Apr 26, 2018
1,847
Its kinda simple and yet looks silly to just ask imo.

Its Rockstar and the first one was a sucess. They would have to try pretty hard to blow this one.
 

Altera

Banned
Nov 1, 2017
1,963
I'm getting fatigued with open world games since a lot of them boil down to doing the exact same things.

Plus if the online is as microtransaction focused as GTA5 I'm not interested in supporting that.
 

Vampirolol

Member
Dec 13, 2017
5,875
It's Rockstar. Their games don't need marketing, they ARE the marketing. I mean, huge open world where you can simulate some kind of life adventure? That thing sells.
I also think that 90% of buyers won't play it for more than one hour, but that's my opinion based on the behavior of casual people I know. I also don't like their games since they tend to lack anything funny to do in their maps.
 
Oct 27, 2017
5,247
It's Rockstar. Their games don't need marketing, they ARE the marketing. I mean, huge open world where you can simulate some kind of life adventure? That thing sells.
I also think that 90% of buyers won't play it for more than one hour, but that's my opinion based on the behavior of casual people I know. I also don't like their games since they tend to lack anything funny to do in their maps.

An hour may be a low estimate, but usually 30% of people finish a game that they buy. Now that stat is just something I've seen with the trophy percentage on PS4, and what I've gathered from talking to friends who play more casually it the online part of the game that is the most attractive.
 

calder

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,653
You could get a summer intern at any media production company to slap together 30 seconds of b-roll prerelease footage, toss in some random dialogue clips about Arthur and his live of crime and it would be a compelling as shit TV commercial that would kill during any primetime show or sports broadcast. It looks *amazing* and even if it didn't have all the Rockstar hype and pedigree it would be an easy sell.
 

Vampirolol

Member
Dec 13, 2017
5,875
An hour may be a low estimate, but usually 30% of people finish a game that they buy. Now that stat is just something I've seen with the trophy percentage on PS4, and what I've gathered from talking to friends who play more casually it the online part of the game that is the most attractive.
Yeah I'm probably exaggerating, but thinking at how many copies this game will probably sell, I can see core players being a very small percent of it.
 

Starfire22

Banned
May 5, 2018
2,083
Oklahoma
ERA is not representitive of how certain games will sell. Everyone is different.

Having said that, this game won't fly under the radar as much as RDR 1 did. It will sell a lot. (Not as much as GTA V though)
 

DisturbedSwan

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,815
Hampshire, UK.
It's a Rockstar game is pretty much the size of it.

No one knew how well RDR would do back in 2010 but it did phenomenally well at the time, I've no idea if it did similar numbers to GTA IV or not though.

I think Rockstar's only real sales disappointment in recent years was Max Payne 3 but I've no idea how many that sold.
 
Oct 27, 2017
5,247
Yeah I'm probably exaggerating, but thinking at how many copies this game will probably sell, I can see core players being a very small percent of it.

It's going to be very interesting to see the percentages on the different trophies when the dust has settled, the same for Assassins Creed Odyssey. I'm wondering if there is a point when games get's to big, I mean would a developer be happy with like 5-10% of people finishing their game? That only so few people have played the story, experienced what they have worked so hard to make?
 

bshock

Self-requested permanent ban
Banned
Nov 3, 2017
1,394
I'm not any sort of analyst or anything but Rockstar games tend to sell pretty well. Coming off their last release, GTA V, I'd be willing to wager people are thirsty and put a lot of stock in their product.
 
Feb 10, 2018
17,534
Why does this place have a vocal set of people who want to put down a thing that everyone else loves or has great faith in.
I think this place attracts people with psychological issues where they have to not like or put down what the majority like.
 

P-Switch

Alt Account
Member
Jul 15, 2018
966
Yes.

Grand Theft Auto is consistently one of the best selling franchises of all time, Red Dead Redemption is Grand Theft Auto in the wild, wild west. It's not rocket science.

Sorry if that was snarky, but it is pretty straightforward.

The reason Red Dead will never compete with GTA sales is because it's a western

I predict RDR2 to be a bit better than RDR sales, but tbh, if you take 7 years to make a game, 15-20 million sales is pretty mediocre :P
 

Deleted member 1062

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,160
Why does this place have a vocal set of people who want to put down a thing that everyone else loves or has great faith in.
I think this place attracts people with psychological issues where they have to not like or put down what the majority like.
I mean you're just describing 90% of the internet where people like to feel intellectually superior by being contrarian
 

danlher

Member
Nov 1, 2017
512
How many copies do you expect RDR2 to sell?

We all know it probably won't even be near GTA V, but what is the very minimum that would make you say "ok, this is fair, this is a number I can live with"?
 

tutomos

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
2,612
Looking at Nielson's survey of most anticipated holidays games of 2018 and looking at Youtube trailer views. Yup, it's going to do really well. Have the potential to sell much better than the first game.
 

Deleted member 18161

user requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,805
It will sell very, very well but nowhere near GTA V numbers. I'm guessing 20 million tops.

Cowboys have limited appeal vs a modern city with automatic weapons and sports cars.
 

Mezoly

Jimbo Replacement
Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,404
And that's why Irrational Games is still around and making games to this day.
Because Ken Levine want to work on smaller project with smaller team? This thing is well documented. I'm not sure what's your argument was this whole thread.

2K is still going to make Bioshock games because it's a successful IP and Ghost Story Studio(Formerly Irrational) still exist and going to make smaller games because Levine was burned out of big games development cycle.
 

Koukalaka

Member
Oct 28, 2017
9,389
Scotland
Anecdotally, I know 4 people other than myself that have either pre-oredered it or are getting it at launch. I can't remember the last time that happened.
 

Jam

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,060
And that's why Irrational Games is still around and making games to this day.

https://www.ghoststorygames.com/

And here's a good read regarding the last few months of Irrational before it transitioned back to a smaller 25 man team led by Levine: https://www.polygon.com/2014/3/6/5474722/why-did-irrational-close-bioshock-infinite

https://www.theverge.com/2014/2/18/5422846/bioshock-studio-irrational-games-closing

Irrational had its own things going on and the studio didn't downsize purely because 'the game only sold 11+ million'.

Regardless what has that got to do with this? The question is about sales, 11+ million sales is a very good number. Whatever happened at the studio, whether that be long drawn out development or a unique culture or a studio head's disenchantment at AAA development... the list goes on, isn't particularly relevant to if 11+million sales is good or not. And Infinite is a very different beast to Red Dead Redemption 2, which has both had a longer development and hundreds more staff on the project.

Regarding your tweet of 'if RDR2 sells 12 million by 2021 will it be a success?' - I mean that has got literally nothing to do with this, you've somehow created your own mini narrative. But I'm happy to firmly believe the game will sell more than 12 million copies by 2021, probably quite handily. Plus they have the MTX of Red Dead Online to bring in more money.

What a bad example.