Anthem NPD domination soon come >:)No Fortnite to give a boost to early 2019 will be interesting. Although early 2019 look loaded but probably for Hardcore/Japanese fans only.
And Days Gone too, don't sleep on that one
Anthem NPD domination soon come >:)No Fortnite to give a boost to early 2019 will be interesting. Although early 2019 look loaded but probably for Hardcore/Japanese fans only.
If smash sells so many systems then what happened with Wii U? Smash is gonna do great but realistic expectations.
9 million people bought Smash on the 3ds.
Mario Kart 8 will end up selling ~30 million on the Switch despite "only" selling ~8 million on the Wii U
But its a silly argument anyways. There are many many people who are buying Smash for Switch who didnt even buy a Wii U or 3ds, believe it or not.
They dont ALL have to buy a Switch this Nov. and Dec. to make a significant difference.
If the Switch can sell ~2.3 million last Nov/Dec in the US with nothing releasing those two months...certainly it can sell over 3 million those two months with Pokemon/Mario Party/Smash.
As if marquee games have to come out the same month in order to boost hardware -- especially Nintendo hardware? Did Mario Odyssey not come out one month before the November/December period? Did all the people interested in Zelda already have a Switch by November/December? Pokemon and Smash will no doubt be huge, but let's not act like Switch hardware sales last November and December were based on nothing.
I would somewhat disagree with the bolded. The overlap is much higher than in any prior generation, but these machines are not all equivalent propositions. Having to operate at a minimum level of about 5w puts severe constraints on Switch's ability to play high-end home console games. Just look at the list of the likely biggest multiplatform games released in 2018: Call of Duty, Battlefield, Far Cry, NBA 2K, Madden, FIFA, Red Dead 3, Monster Hunter, DB Fighterz, AC Odyssey. Of those 10 games, only 3 are on Switch. And the ones that are--just like the lower-selling other examples people might think of--are 60fps games on other consoles that can't hit that framerate on Switch. Most drop to 30fps or lower; the least demanding, DB Fighterz, does manage to hover in the 50s. It's clear the Switch struggles with such games, and it therefore won't get a lot of them.The distinction between consoles and portables was intended to provide context for a different categorization of content. 10 years ago the kinds of games available on consoles and portables was very different, they had far different audiences, play patterns and pricing and well.
The Switch plays the exact same kind of content the ps4 and xone do. It caters to the same audience, same pricing and offers a similar play pattern with the additional option of mobility.
See Mr. Piscatella's rationale for categorizing Switch with PS4 and XBox One above--Switch does not have a substantially less core audience than the other consoles, not yet. Pokemon has the possibility to start changing that, but it's not a done deal.My thinking is that since 2008, sales are even more focused in Q4. While Sony/MS have shifted much of their Q4 sales to November via sales and the more core-focused market (buying on sale and early), Nintendo has maintained the traditional December focus with many Decembers still doubling November. Therefore, Switch should have more sales focused in December of Q4 than Sony/MS. ...There's just a type of mainstream consumer that only looks for systems in December, and I expect Switch to see amazing performance in large part to that group.
And for Microsoft particularly, the boost of One X will have reduced.2019 holiday won't have a Rockstar release, and we'll most likely be post next gen next gen HW announcements.
Of course. I believe they'll sell well over 3m this holiday. The discussion has basically been, will they sell over 2m in December alone? That's a much taller order (though again, not impossible).If the Switch can sell ~2.3 million last Nov/Dec in the US with nothing releasing those two months...certainly it can sell over 3 million those two months with Pokemon/Mario Party/Smash.
what your expectation for Spiderman drop for Week 3 in UK... i know this is US thread and you are US Sales insider but US and UK have quite a bit of similar taste.2019 will indeed be DOOMED city in terms of hardware performance. Its not really a big deal though since we have hardware launching the next year to reinvigorate things
Of course. I believe they'll sell well over 3m this holiday. The discussion has basically been, will they sell over 2m in December alone? That's a much taller order (though again, not impossible).
this sounds complicated.what your expectation for Spiderman drop for Week 3 in UK... i know this is US thread and you are US Sales insider but US and UK have quite a bit of similar taste.