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[Post-Direct] Do you still think Nintendo can sell 20M Switches this (fiscal) year?
- Thread starter Slam Tilt
- Start date
I wonder if the NES controllers + enhanced NES games will cause another rush of people buying the system like they did the NES Classic
Super Mario Party in October
Pokemon in November with a bundle
Smash Bros in December with a bundle (that's releasing in November)
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe in January
And that's not even counting all the third party games, first party games that aren't confirmed yet.
I think they can do it for sure, if not very close.
Pokemon in November with a bundle
Smash Bros in December with a bundle (that's releasing in November)
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe in January
And that's not even counting all the third party games, first party games that aren't confirmed yet.
I think they can do it for sure, if not very close.
$300 for the system plus $60 for the controllers plus $20 for a year of online is a lot more to ask than $60 for a NES Classic.
Definitetly, Smash, Pokemon, 2D Mario will move a lot. The back catalog will continue to sell. 2019 lineup is shaping up nicely so far.
I think they'll make it. I was skeptical before the Direct, but 2D Mario convinced me. Also, having a Smash Bros. bundle out before Black Friday is a great move. The digital era allows them to predate the launch of the game, and the game's post-BF launch worried me slightly when it came to system seller potential for the holidays.
To be fair you only NEED the 300 for the system and the 20 a year since it is not NEEDED to play nes games
And it will give you MUCH more than the nes classic. Your kid can play fortnite for example
I wish they would sell this dock (and/or the Smash Bros. one) separately. :(
On topic: With the current line-up for 2018 and early 2019, and the back-catalog which will continue selling, I'm positive Nintendo will reach that number.
I think if they miss it they'll go close. I'm thinking around 19 million. The switch is going to sell massive numbers this November and December worldwide. That plus I expect it to have a really strong Q4 due to ongoing smash and Pokemon sales and the stronger line-up this year.
Yes, pokemon is so big fans don't mind getting double or triple fleeced and Smash is the Mario Karts of fighting games
Wait, what?! Why isn't this more common knowledge?
Oh, nm. I see what the poster below me said.
They're trying to sell 20 million this year alone.
They're at 7mil? I don't remember..
EDIT: Unless that was your point.
From October to January they have 1 game every month that can sell between 5 and 15 million units before the end of march.
My guess is that'll cause Q3 and Q4 hardwar shipments to improve significantly compared to their previous fiscal year.
Previous fiscal year:
Q3: 7~ million
Q4: 3~ million
My prediction for this years shipments:
Q3: 12~ million
Q4: 6~ million
My guess is that'll cause Q3 and Q4 hardwar shipments to improve significantly compared to their previous fiscal year.
Previous fiscal year:
Q3: 7~ million
Q4: 3~ million
My prediction for this years shipments:
Q3: 12~ million
Q4: 6~ million
I think they'll get close but not quite reach 20 million. Next year seems to be shaping up to make up for whatever numbers they would be lacking this fiscal year. Smash is definitely going to pull some weight and some of the third party support will help.
Pokemon LG doesn't seem like it'll move that many units, but who knows. I definitely have seen barely any hype for it but that's maybe because there won't be too many more surprises from it. Don't think NSMBU is by any mean a system seller since it's a port but it'll peak some interest.
Pokemon LG doesn't seem like it'll move that many units, but who knows. I definitely have seen barely any hype for it but that's maybe because there won't be too many more surprises from it. Don't think NSMBU is by any mean a system seller since it's a port but it'll peak some interest.
I think most people know about it? It wouldn't surprise me if it was almost at GameCube final sales if not at it or surpassed it at this point.
Era hype =/ Actual real world hype.
On a similar note do you expect the PS4 to reach its 17 million milestone? Most seem confident that the PS4 should easily break that number. This FY the switch is going to outsell the PS4 by at least 3 million. That means it only has to match the PS4 everywhere else to reach its 20 million goal (and that's assuming the PS4 isn't on track to beat that forecast).
You act like people never pay exorbitant amounts of money for nostalgia
Only way they could do that is if they got GTA6 as an exclusive, and cancelled every other version of Fortnite.
Well I'm just chock full of misunderstandings in this thread, lol. That's cool.
Yeah, just saw that. That's an interesting approach.
If they released it in November, and didn't want to cut into pokemon's sales, they'd most likely have to release it at a discount price and, well...Nintendo is gonna milk the he-goat for all it's worth.
Probably. I'm thinking it goes either 1 million under, or 1 million over. Anecdotely, me and a lot of people in my circle (college age) are getting a Switch just for Smash.
Pokémon and Smash are massive series so they'll obviously help a ton and even though their 2D Mario offering is a Wii U port MK8D has shown that's not much of a hinderance to sales potential (I get it's not quite equivalent but it'll still be fine). So overall I'd say it's still firmly possible but I don't expect them to shoot past that mark by a whole lot.
All I know is Q1 was down 1%, and so far in Q2, Japan is Down like 4% but USA is up 4% compared for last year, so likely this Q will be similar to last year, so about 3M units WOrld wide, that means that would put em at 5M and they will need to sell 15M more between October// November// December//Jan//Feb//March
Everybody. Everybody knows. It is the most successful entertainment franchise of all time. It's been 20+ years of people saying "Eh this new Pokemon probably won't be that big."
IIRC, last fiscal year, they had nothing at all in January and very little in Q4. They had Bayonetta 1+2 in February and Kirby Star Allies in mid-March (2 weeks before fiscal year ended).