Talk about an underrated character.
Hypothesis:
Most people finishing Claire's story in RE2 are already big fans of the series and love her already/have a preconceived idea of who Claire is. Newcomers don't seem interested in her story.
A week after RE2's launch, we have a lot of data to crunch through. And being a data freak; I invite you to let me take you through a journey of statistics. So get your detective hats on, 'cause this one is 'bout to wear her Nancy Drew goggles.
RE.NET
RE.Net is a global service that takes player data from users playing Resident Evil games, regardless of system. It's important to note that not all players link their data, but the sample is big enough to deem accurate or closely resembling reality.
[Disclaimer: All numbers are according to what's been reported as of the creation of this thread]
CURRENT SAMPLE SIZE:
4,326,468 players
OP EDIT:
First off: First-Choice
Did you choose Leon or Claire first? Well...
79% of players chose Leon first and 21% chose Claire first.
Counterargument: Leon's story is presented in the menu first!
I can prove this differently later, but for now I'll humor it: sure, but this is nearly a SIXTY percent difference. That is a humongous gap, especially given the obvious choice prompt the game gives you anyways. Here's what's interesting though, only 35% of players of those who chose Leon first finished his story, while only 37.44% of the people who chose Claire first finished her story.
So basically: a HUGE gap in first-choice rate, but a very similar clear rate.
Hmm, can we see how many people of that sample size completed each story regardless of first/second choice?
Yes, here you go!
79% chose Leon first, and 38.4% finished his story overall (regardless of choice order)
21% chose Claire first, and 23% finished her story overall (regardless of choice order)
Taking this with the conclusion from above, what does this translate to? Let me break it down:
14.15% of players finished Claire's story as their first choice (whom were 21% of players).
This means 6.85% of players chose Claire first and didn't finish her story for whatever reason.
But overall, 23% of players finished her story in general regardless of choice order.
This means only 8.85% of players finished her story after completing Leon's as their first choice.
[This is where the "but Leon's story is presented first!" claim to justify the low numbers for Claire becomes invalidated, as that's less than half of the people who even finished Leon's story to begin with]
21.74% of players finished Leon's story as their first choice (whom were 79% of players).
This means 57.26% of players chose Leon first and didn't finish his story for whatever reason.
But overall, 38.4% of players finished his story in general regardless of choice order.
This means that 16.6% of players finished his story after completing Claire's as their first choice....
...but wait a minute! That 16.6% number makes no sense! You're right, it doesn't -- 14.15% of players finished Claire's story as first-choice, so even we assume ALL of those players hopped onto Leon's story next and finished his story, there's still a mysterious 2.45%. Where is that coming from? A calculation error on CAPCOM's part? Maybe, but not likely: people might have simply chosen Claire as their first playthrough, but quit at some point for whatever reason (i.e. didn't complete her story) and switched over to Leon's and finished his story instead.
CAPCOM Calculation Error or Is the Theory In-tact?
To ensure this is not a calculation error and that my theory is in-place for now, let's take a look at the True Ending stats. If the absolute value between people who finished Leon and Claire's stories matches the True Ending achievement rate, then we can safely assume there are no calculation errors and that my theory of people quitting Claire's story could be true.
If we subtract Leon's completion rate from Claire's completion rate, we'd get ~15.3%. The True Ending achievement needs to be really close to this number or this could be indeed a calculation error...
..Ah! This is good news as it means the numbers aren't deceiving us. So we can safely assume that ~2.45% of players did indeed start Claire's playthrough first but quit at some point then started and finished Leon's instead.
Alright so, ~65% of players who chose either story first haven't even finished that story yet. At least how far did those people go anyways?
Well, the only way to gauge this is through the unique story progression achievements, and we can't say if they were done through a first or second choice run. There is only one unique story progression achievement per each story. Enter: Ada and Sherry.
In Leon's story, the playable characters are Leon & Ada. You play as the latter halfway through the game in a unique section to Leon's story.
In Claire's story, the playable characters are Claire & Sherry, and the pattern is the same as above.
45.9% of players in general completed Ada's section, aka reached the midpoint of Leon's story.
(remember 38.4% of all players finished his story overall; 21.74% finished Leon's story as their first choice)
So that means 7.5% of players reached Leon's halfway point and finished Ada's section, but never went through until the end.
27.3% of players in general completed Sherry's section, aka reached the midpoint of Claire's story.
(remember 23% of all players finished her story overall; 14.15% finished Claire's story as their first choice)
So that means 4.3% of players reached Claire's halfway point and reached Claire's halfway point, but never went through until the end.
The numbers go in-hand with how a big chunk of Leon's players are casual fans of the series, and the number for Claire does not contradict the percentage in my theory of people that quit her story at some point and started Leon's instead.
An interesting chart: The Kill-Death rate chart!
This sheds some light on how players perform as the four playable characters in the story:
Since Sherry cannot kill enemies, disregard her 0 K/D ratio. All I want you take from this is Claire's K/D ratio; she has the best one by a decent margin. This does not contradict that most players playing Leon's story are casual fans/newcomers and people playing Claire's story are experienced/returning fans of the series.
Conclusion:
With all these numbers, we can say that Leon is - surprise - a huge attraction to players, whether casual or hardcore fans of RE. The casual fans dropping out of Leon's story may be due to disinterest in the game overall, not his character.
Meanwhile, there's enough evidence to believe that most players choosing Claire are players committed to the game already; they intend to finish the game more than once, and they seem to be experienced RE players in general. People dropping out of Claire's story could be a combination of disinterest in the game or the character herself.
________
Please give Claire's story a shot and push through her story if you haven't played it yet. Her powerful scenes and character development come through big time in the second half of her story; please give Claire Redfield a chance!
Hypothesis:
Most people finishing Claire's story in RE2 are already big fans of the series and love her already/have a preconceived idea of who Claire is. Newcomers don't seem interested in her story.
A week after RE2's launch, we have a lot of data to crunch through. And being a data freak; I invite you to let me take you through a journey of statistics. So get your detective hats on, 'cause this one is 'bout to wear her Nancy Drew goggles.
RE.NET
RE.Net is a global service that takes player data from users playing Resident Evil games, regardless of system. It's important to note that not all players link their data, but the sample is big enough to deem accurate or closely resembling reality.
[Disclaimer: All numbers are according to what's been reported as of the creation of this thread]
CURRENT SAMPLE SIZE:
4,326,468 players
OP EDIT:
First off: First-Choice
Did you choose Leon or Claire first? Well...
79% of players chose Leon first and 21% chose Claire first.
Counterargument: Leon's story is presented in the menu first!
I can prove this differently later, but for now I'll humor it: sure, but this is nearly a SIXTY percent difference. That is a humongous gap, especially given the obvious choice prompt the game gives you anyways. Here's what's interesting though, only 35% of players of those who chose Leon first finished his story, while only 37.44% of the people who chose Claire first finished her story.
So basically: a HUGE gap in first-choice rate, but a very similar clear rate.
Hmm, can we see how many people of that sample size completed each story regardless of first/second choice?
Yes, here you go!
79% chose Leon first, and 38.4% finished his story overall (regardless of choice order)
21% chose Claire first, and 23% finished her story overall (regardless of choice order)
Taking this with the conclusion from above, what does this translate to? Let me break it down:
14.15% of players finished Claire's story as their first choice (whom were 21% of players).
This means 6.85% of players chose Claire first and didn't finish her story for whatever reason.
But overall, 23% of players finished her story in general regardless of choice order.
This means only 8.85% of players finished her story after completing Leon's as their first choice.
[This is where the "but Leon's story is presented first!" claim to justify the low numbers for Claire becomes invalidated, as that's less than half of the people who even finished Leon's story to begin with]
21.74% of players finished Leon's story as their first choice (whom were 79% of players).
This means 57.26% of players chose Leon first and didn't finish his story for whatever reason.
But overall, 38.4% of players finished his story in general regardless of choice order.
This means that 16.6% of players finished his story after completing Claire's as their first choice....
...but wait a minute! That 16.6% number makes no sense! You're right, it doesn't -- 14.15% of players finished Claire's story as first-choice, so even we assume ALL of those players hopped onto Leon's story next and finished his story, there's still a mysterious 2.45%. Where is that coming from? A calculation error on CAPCOM's part? Maybe, but not likely: people might have simply chosen Claire as their first playthrough, but quit at some point for whatever reason (i.e. didn't complete her story) and switched over to Leon's and finished his story instead.
CAPCOM Calculation Error or Is the Theory In-tact?
To ensure this is not a calculation error and that my theory is in-place for now, let's take a look at the True Ending stats. If the absolute value between people who finished Leon and Claire's stories matches the True Ending achievement rate, then we can safely assume there are no calculation errors and that my theory of people quitting Claire's story could be true.
If we subtract Leon's completion rate from Claire's completion rate, we'd get ~15.3%. The True Ending achievement needs to be really close to this number or this could be indeed a calculation error...
..Ah! This is good news as it means the numbers aren't deceiving us. So we can safely assume that ~2.45% of players did indeed start Claire's playthrough first but quit at some point then started and finished Leon's instead.
Alright so, ~65% of players who chose either story first haven't even finished that story yet. At least how far did those people go anyways?
Well, the only way to gauge this is through the unique story progression achievements, and we can't say if they were done through a first or second choice run. There is only one unique story progression achievement per each story. Enter: Ada and Sherry.
In Leon's story, the playable characters are Leon & Ada. You play as the latter halfway through the game in a unique section to Leon's story.
In Claire's story, the playable characters are Claire & Sherry, and the pattern is the same as above.
45.9% of players in general completed Ada's section, aka reached the midpoint of Leon's story.
(remember 38.4% of all players finished his story overall; 21.74% finished Leon's story as their first choice)
So that means 7.5% of players reached Leon's halfway point and finished Ada's section, but never went through until the end.
27.3% of players in general completed Sherry's section, aka reached the midpoint of Claire's story.
(remember 23% of all players finished her story overall; 14.15% finished Claire's story as their first choice)
So that means 4.3% of players reached Claire's halfway point and reached Claire's halfway point, but never went through until the end.
The numbers go in-hand with how a big chunk of Leon's players are casual fans of the series, and the number for Claire does not contradict the percentage in my theory of people that quit her story at some point and started Leon's instead.
An interesting chart: The Kill-Death rate chart!
This sheds some light on how players perform as the four playable characters in the story:
Since Sherry cannot kill enemies, disregard her 0 K/D ratio. All I want you take from this is Claire's K/D ratio; she has the best one by a decent margin. This does not contradict that most players playing Leon's story are casual fans/newcomers and people playing Claire's story are experienced/returning fans of the series.
Conclusion:
With all these numbers, we can say that Leon is - surprise - a huge attraction to players, whether casual or hardcore fans of RE. The casual fans dropping out of Leon's story may be due to disinterest in the game overall, not his character.
Meanwhile, there's enough evidence to believe that most players choosing Claire are players committed to the game already; they intend to finish the game more than once, and they seem to be experienced RE players in general. People dropping out of Claire's story could be a combination of disinterest in the game or the character herself.
________
Please give Claire's story a shot and push through her story if you haven't played it yet. Her powerful scenes and character development come through big time in the second half of her story; please give Claire Redfield a chance!
Last edited:
