This makes no sense at all.
It would make sense, it would be the Mini version of the Switch 2.
1. Because Nintendo said about a year ago that they want the Switch to last longer than a normal gen, so 2023 is likely (their gens are 5-6 years) Source
2. Because it would be an infinitely unnecessary move when the system sells really well at a profit and isn't likely to have a sales drop in the next 12-18 months. Why not reduce costs and milk this product even more?
3. Because after the Wii U's total commercial failure and the 3DS losing half of the DS's install base, they should be conservative with risks like this now that the Switch brand is strong and selling 17-20M units per year.
4. Sony and Xbox could have made Pro/X new gens if they wanted to but they knew that would be poorly received so soon by consumers. Most people don't actually buy new phones for their full price and lease them and even then, we're seeing more and more the upgrade cycles for phones slowing down so the idea that phones make consumers more open to quicker console gens is flawed imo.
Just imo tho I think Nintendo saying they won't replace it until 2022-23 already kinda means it's not happening unless the Switch collapses dramatically.
1. Switch would last for 6 or more years if it's still compatible with every game (for at least 6 years)
2. It would just be the new Switch, the latest model that succeds the old Switch, which still gets supported. Nothing lost and people who want one get an upgrade, new buyers get the new Switch, people who don't want to upgrade every 3 years will wait.
3. Imo giving the hardware a boost every 3 years would prevent the Wii situation where people got bored and in the end didn't want Wii U. You can also wait too long. I just wouldn't compare it to classic gens, they would be gone.
4. Sony did release PS4 Pro after some years, and now the PS5 that is backwards compatible, it could be very similiar, only that Nintendo would call the "Pro" Switch 2 and the system after that "Switch 3". And every 3 years wouldn't be the same situation like with phones that upgrade every year. Nintendo can upgrade the Switch as long as it sells and every system would get the majority of games for 6 years, some games even longer.
No guaranty that it happens, but it could happen.
The recent Digital Foundry article confirmed the Pro upgrade will be small, quite annoying as I'd love a significant docked improvement :(
They didn't confirm anything , they speculated on Thraktors findings and if you read the article you will find them even speculating if it could be 7nm (they guess it's 16nm/, but they also say they judge it on years old data.