Will Monster Hunter: Rise outsell Monster Hunter: World?

[Theswweet]

I think this is quietly becoming a distinct possibility, especially knowing that the game is coming to PC later down the line (thanks to the leaks). The Switch has sold more than the PS4 had at the time Monster Hunter: World launched; it seems likely that Rise will take the crown for best-selling in the series' history in Japan.

We've seen software sales for Switch games absolutely blow up, and attach rate is incredibly high. I wasn't sure if Rise could somehow beat Monster Hunter: World's sales total, but at this point, I can't help but consider it could happen. What do you think, Era?

It's worth noting - even before Monster Hunter: World blew up in the west, Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate still managed to sell over a million copies in the west. So there *is* a dedicated audience for the series on Nintendo systems in the west.

 

[Jawmuncher]

I'm going to say No.

I don't have any data or anything, i'm just going with my gut.
With that said, I also didn't think World would sell as much as it did, so what do I know.

 

[Kingpin Rogers]

I could be completely off base but I think the poor social features of the Switch will hold back the sales of Rise. It'll still sell fantastically but will come well short of World, I think.

 

[Deleted member 10737]

i doubt it, but imo it'll easily reach 10 million.

 

[NateDrake]

No.

Monster Hunter Rise won't have the expansive reach in the western market that World was able to gather.

 

[Oregano]

Nope, but it'll probably be closer than people think after the PC release.

 

[SinCityAssassin]

Maybe with PC but we'll never know if that's a thing right guys :)

 

[SuperFakerBros]

Kind of hard to when it's an exclusive as opposed to a multiplatform release. It'll still sell several million copies tho, more so than even the 3DS games, if you ask me

 

[Alrus]

PC release will help but World will be very hard to top.

 

[sredgrin]

On PC it still has to compete with World itself (whereas really, World had no viable competitors on any of the platforms it launched on). And Switch's big sellers tend to be a lot more casual friendly than MH is, and certainly also easier / more practical to play in multiplayer.

 

[chusetto]

It will sell bonkers, but not as much as World+Iceborn

 

[Rassilon]

Avatar bets?

Avatar bets.

If you lose, replace your avatar with Poogie

 

[Kyoufu]

No but with the PC port leak, it'll do big numbers regardless.

 

[vhoanox]

NO

 

[texhnolyze]

It'll be quite close.

My prediction is that if it really does come to PC later, it won't be as big as World on PC because people would think that they already have their fill with World. It's also coming a bit too close to World, especially Iceborne. Switch sales will be close to PS4 + XBox combined, but it most probably won't pass it.

 

[Gamer @ Heart]

Absolutely not. The G version being a new retail game rather than just DLC 1.5 years from now in addition to the PC version will push it past World though.

 

[Wermutton]

The Switch version alone might actually stand up to base MH World, thanks to a huge boost from the Japanese audience

I think the lowest it will go is 12 million in its Switch lifespan.

 

[cvxfreak]

If it's Monster Hunter Rise on Switch vs. MH World on PS4+XB1, then I think there's now a strong possibility Rise sells more.

If we count World on PC, then highly unlikely.

 

[Jin]

I really doubt it.

The social aspects being better and it being a graphical jump made World something different, reaching different playerbases than usual.
The core MH playerbase will go wherever the newest title is (like me) but I doubt that this is the case for the new playerbase.

Rise will be BIG in Japan tho, as that market usually works better with portable systems and switch in general.

 

[Deleted member 60185]

This is not the OP i was expecting...

 

[cw_sasuke]

No just based on the fact that MHW launched earlier and is still selling and will continue to do so until MHW2.

It's also rather cheap and will be on sale all the time.

Having that said MH Rise will still be a massive success, likely selling +10m

This is not the OP i was expecting...

Click to shrink...

Same lol.

 

[Spine Crawler]

Lets see... No PC Sales, only on one console platform

however that console platform is doing hot right now and there will be a lot more sales in japan....

I think it could be possible.

Its a bit of a shame that the game launches during a pandemic because local play is definately where this game shines more.

It will sell bonkers, but not as much as World+Iceborn

Click to shrink...

Why would you add in expansion numbers?

 

[MatrixMan.exe]

I doubt it, but it will be extremely successful. With the PC release I can see it doing at least 8-10 million.

The wild card really is the Switch performance outside of Japan. How much of the Switch's popularity and the momentum World garnered for the franchise will carry over to this version.

It'll certainly do much better than the 3DS games, but how much?

 

[Foffy]

I think two factors will play a role here. How hungry are people for a MH on Switch, and what really are the legs for this series on PC.

Potentially, it can outsell World. But it will have ro be a combination of a white hot interest on Switch, and a still-hungry-for-more audience on PC. I don't feel comfortable saying yes or no because a great deal of World's sales were outside of Japan, and one of their major markets is in an economic depression, that being the United States.

 

[Mars People]

When it hits PC maaaaybe.

 

[Aostia82]

impossible
it could eveb beat it in Japan, but worldwide, including all platforms...it's impossible.

 

[Sedated]

It'll do well. Why do we even need a will this beat that etc and just cant be happy playing games. I doubt anyone here will be making money through their success.

No just based on the fact that MHW launched earlier and is still selling and will continue to do so until MHW2.

It's also rather cheap and will be on sale all the time.

Having that said MH Rise will still be a massive success, likely selling +10m


Same lol.

Click to shrink...

World+iceborne is 60$ on pc(base game 30$). Thats not cheap to me.
It goes on sale but its mainly on those steam season sales. Not a frequent discount title.

 

[CaviarMeths]

No.

I think it can cross 10m with the PC version eventually. MHW is totally out of reach.

 

[rubidium]

On one hand, social distancing would push virtually all video game related business (duh).
On the other hand, the main aspect of being on handheld (you can meet people head-to-head, not via online, to play games) is being held back by social distancing as well.

(It will sell well nonetheless).

 

[Qvoth]

voted no
it will outsell mhw in japan though for sure

 

[Strings]

As far as I'm aware, former Famitsu man hasn't said anything.

 

[Igniz12]

Chad cool af flying demon Wyvern
vs
Virgin fake bear/armadillo/stegosaurus thing*

*Also cannot fly....lame.

 

[Deleted member 48434]

I think it's really hard to say at this point, I'll get back to you. I'm leaning no though.

 

[Norsuchamp]

Hell no 'cause the graphics SUCK!!

 

[Martin]

What I think: in Japan yes.
Single console sku also yes (maybe even ps + Xbox).
But all MHW sales together? No, I don't think so.

 

[AquaWateria]

I want to say no because MHW sales was truly ridiculous for Capcom, but man would it be funny to come back to this thread in the future if Rise did sell more than World.

I'm really optimistic on Rise sales (still believe it can sell over 10 million), but over World is a huge task.

 

[Theswweet]

I'm willing to take an avatar bet that Monster Hunter Rise will sell more than 10 million copies *before* whatever expansion it ends up receiving, tbh. I can understand being skeptical about it matching MHWorld's sales, but I really do feel like 10 million is a no-brainer.

 

[JoeInky]

I'll say no but with the PC release of Rise it might come close.

I think rise on PC will sell more than world on PC because of worlds popularity and the likely lower system requirements.

 

[cw_sasuke]

World+iceborne is 60$ on pc(base game 30$). Thats not cheap to me.
It goes on sale but its mainly on those steam season sales. Not a frequent discount title.

Click to shrink...

You can get the base gamesl for sub 20 pretty much all the time on all Plattforms during sales.Iceborne isn't a neccesary purchase for new players.

So yeah it's cheap compared to MH Rise which will probably be full price for quite a while.

I'm willing to take an avatar bet that Monster Hunter Rise will sell more than 10 million copies *before* whatever expansion it ends up receiving, tbh. I can understand being skeptical about it matching MHWorld's sales, but I really do feel like 10 million is a no-brainer.

Click to shrink...

I don't think many are arguing that point or target. But the gal between 10m outselling MHW Lifetime is massive.

 

[Etrian Darkness]

No.

But it'll easily be the 2nd best selling MH game.

 

[Virtua Sanus]

In Japan only, yes. It will not pass World in any other context. I think the franchise will seriously struggle to ever hit World's sales again, but it is going to remain a healthy franchise either way, so I am not worried.

 

[Ariakon44]

In Japan, I bet so.

In the RotW? Maybe. It would help if Nintendo slapped its name over Capcom's and called it Mario Kart Monster Hunter Edition or Monster Crossing.

 

[Zedark]

Including PC: yes.

I think Switch version will do over 10M in about 3 years, and PC version will do over 6M in 3 years, putting it ahead of MHW in the same time frame.

 

[Arthands]

Was gonna vote no but since so many says no i voted yes.

 

[Herb Alpert]

Probably not, but it should do better than some people think and will probably end up being the second best performing capcom title after world.
Also obviously hands down the best third party performance on switch.

 

[benzopil]

Yes, easily

 

[Redcrayon]

No, MHW was a smash hit and a multiplat across three successful platforms, ending up as Capcom's bestselling game, ever. I do think MHR has a really good chance to be their second bestselling game ever though. Maybe around 9-11m when Switch, PC and the g-rank expansion are all done. Nicely justifying the decision to have a sub-series chasing specs and visuals to sell the series to the home console audience, and also continuing the success of the portable sub-series too. More MonHun for everyone! :D

 

[MisterSpo]

No - but it'll still be an enormously successful game and the second-best selling MH game yet.

 

[NotLiquid]

World + Iceborne sales being combined makes this a lopsided comparison. If we're comparing World only, I think it could go either way, though I'm leaning toward it falling a bit short. It's still going to explode and vindicate the hell out of the franchise being on Switch.

 

[Harmony]

Monster Hunter Portable 3rd sold ~5mil in Japan alone.
I'd say its possible to beat base world's total copies sold, but only if they manage to top Portable 3rd domestically.

If not, very likely to land comfortably as Capcom's 2nd highest selling game regardless