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Who else felt that earthquake in SoCal/Las Vegas just now? (Update: 7.1 - 2nd earthquake this week)
- Thread starter ciD_Vain
- Start date
So uh...I live IN Ridgecrest at the moment, (moved from AZ for a job opportunity after college) and I'm pretty fucking freaked out right now. Anyone used to earthquakes wanna fill me in on "foreshocks" and how much of the media right now is just speculation? Cuz' I'm pretty shook right now if these last two were just warm-ups.
My natural disaster bingo card is looking pretty good:
Major hurricane (Andrew)
Large tornado (EF4 in Jackson, Tennessee; February 2008)
Wildfires (Woolsey, 2018 and Springs, 2013)
Earthquakes... hopefully this is it and it doesn't get worse
Major hurricane (Andrew)
Large tornado (EF4 in Jackson, Tennessee; February 2008)
Wildfires (Woolsey, 2018 and Springs, 2013)
Earthquakes... hopefully this is it and it doesn't get worse
I gotta get out of here before that happens. Like in the next couple years, I have to go.
Might set off Rainier, too.
1 in 20 chance that the next one will be bigger. It may be tomorrow, it may be in 2 years ... 20 years ... who knows.
I'd trust the real experts than the media on this one, to be honest.
GDI, do we need to start having earthquake drills for people that didn't go through school in cali? Screaming and freaking out does nothing.
Yeah most of the videos we see are from Vegas/LA which are each 100+ miles from the epicenter. Videos from Ridgecrest are going to be intense, but not as numerous because its a town of just 28K people
All anyone can tell you is that there's a 5% or so chance that a bigger quake will follow in the next few days, and a 95% chance that it won't.
Honestly if I lived in Ridgecrest area and had the ability to move away for a few days, I would.
Wow at those people running during an earthquake. That's the last thing you should be doing. I've read if the earthquake is strong enough you won't be able to move even if you try.
I thought this WAS the 5%, since the one yesterday was smaller. I guess there's always a 5% chance the next one is larger?
Everything is speculation. News channels need to fill time. The people talking about plates moving are stating 100% fact, but no one knows what that ultimately means for a big quake. A big quake could hit California in 2 days or 100 years, and no on will 100% know until it actually happens.
The foreshock thing is just that there's a 1/20 chance there's a bigger quake in the next day or two, rather than a smaller one, in which case the current M7 quake would be retroactively labeled as a foreshock, rather than the main shock, as by definition the main shock is the biggest quake, and the others are all smaller.
Yep, each new quake resets the probability spectrum for a larger event.
The number being used at the press conference the other day was a 5% chance a bigger one will come. That happened tonight so I would assume it's a fairly small chance of seeing something even bigger. Smaller aftershocks are more likely.
Growing up in SoCal I remember being woken up in the middle of the night by quakes a number of times. It's unnerving not knowing if another one is coming. People would sleep in their cars all night just to get out of the house.
edit - embarrassingly late
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If Rainier goes off and I'm still there...
Well damn, imma miss y'all.
Listening to the CalTech press conference. I forgot what it's like to hear smart people answering smart questions from the media.
Okay. Cool. Just trying to get a handle on all of this. Never had to worry about earthquakes before so it's weird to have them so close like this. (Especially since all of my neighbors that have lived here their whole lives say it's never been like this). Woke up three times yesterday to smaller quakes so I imagine I'm not going to get much sleep tonight.
Always best to have these smaller ones come up to lose pressure for you know...the real big one.
This is yet another tho along the NA west coast just this week there have been a few.
This is yet another tho along the NA west coast just this week there have been a few.
San Andreas fault maxes out at approximately 8.3, so at least it won't be as bad as when the doom of Seattle comes
It's moments like this where I'm glad I live in the Midwest, where the most dramatic natural disaster is a tornado warning, which for 99.999% of people in the affected area is just a thunderstorm with some sirens going off
Not positive, but that was a lot closer to Seattle than the current one to LA, right?
The caldera? Or game over for a laerge part of the US for a long time.
Yeah, people assume the San Andreas quake would be The Big One.
That one will suck, don't get me wrong, but IIRC it'll be nothing compared to Cascadia. We're talking about 2 weeks of spotty infrastructure at the very worst vs months.
And we'll definitely feel it in California but the Pacific Northwest is the one that's really in danger. I hope people in those areas are at least taking precautions as well.
It was very long but soft here and I was in a restaurant at the time. I've lived through earthquakes all my life, but I've never been in such a public place during one. It was interesting to see all the different reactions.
When Nisqually hit I was in college. Just about everybody dove under their table/desks instead of running outside/freaking out, so at least some earthquake training's been lodged into our skulls.
After it hits, uh...that's a different story.
Yep. I was in college at PLU down in Tacoma and felt it. It did some damage to buildings in Pioneer Square.
I'm in the South Bay and felt none of the quakes so far. How in the world do people in OC feel these?
I know, right? Makes you think about how really big should a cataclysm be to be the end of the world
I think I remember reading after one of these quakes a while ago that there's a massive granite slab somewhere in the LA Metro Area that basically blocks the shockwave from hitting certain locations depending on where the quake originated on the other side of it. Acting like a barrier island or something.
Seeing as each point on the scale is 10x the magnitude, a maxed out SAF quake would be what... 120 times nastier than the 7.1 we just felt? Is my math off on that I'm so bad at math god
I've been to the Pacific Northwest once in my life, when I was too young to remember.
Maybe it's time to visit again while I still can.
You could say he was...
Shook.
FUCKING DEAD!!!!
OT: stay safe CaliERA/peeps of California.