Jesus christ i totally blanked on that, goddamn the cycle is relantless
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Did the Kavanaugh hearings actually fuck us? Iirc a lot of people reallllly didn't like Kavanaugh and voted against Republicans because of that.
Hell one of the biggest reasons Collins is in trouble rn is because of Kavanaugh.
It was a last minute energizer that made red states we needed to win less elastic. We had a major enthusia
She might be exaggerating but McCaskill said it completely killed her and she knew she was done
And really if Dems thought an all out confirmation process helped them last time they would have done it again. The fact that they didn't should be telling
and yes Kav is hurting Collins but that's a state Biden is up by 12-15 points in some polls. She doesn't need to ticket split Trump support like many other senate democrats do
McCaskill was fucked anyway and her losing in a landslide wasn't because of Kavanaugh.
All this. Dems were never going to win this battle, but we can win the war by letting her destroy RvW and ACA then making the packing/fixing the court argument.
Is "giant on the hill syndrom" a common metaphor? I've never heard it before -- is it a techworld thing? It's very evocative of rural English horrors.
What killed McCaskill was that instead of her running like a "middle of the road" dem, she completely switched it up, started staying stuff like "she's not like those" crazy liberal dems" etc, and completely depressed her own vote trying to appeal to people who'd never have voted for her anyway. the fact she never realized that shows she was doomed to lose.
for reference I live in MO, and saw several ads of her "disavowing the crazy left" and trying so hard to win those white people in the boonies she gave up on turn out in the cities/college areas.
I doubt know, i heard it once and always liked it. I find it applies to so much
It's tightened from +3.5 in August to +2.8 now. -0.7 really isn't that big of a tightening, but when the margins are that thin, I can understand why people are concerned.
Having Greenfield as a safety net just in case is good.
Single issue voter here reiterating his desire for the actual restoration of law and order please.
Go after everyone for all crimes committed.
4 Democratic Senate incumbents lost.
Granted I don't know that any of those other than Nelson were salvageable given the margins.
Thread about the collective PTSD from 2016 and where Trump and his Cluster-B disorders go from here:
I kept telling y'all Iowa was in play and I spent the better part of this campaign cycle getting roasted for it
WHO'S LAUGHING NOW
I stand by my opinion that the close calls in Florida were the only genuinely impressive wins for the GOP in the sense that given how everything else went, they shouldn't have won them. On the other hand, you can't really look at say, the Texas Senate seat or the governor's seat in Georgia staying red as anything but a silver lining for the Republicans, as in a neutral environment they shouldn't have been competitive at all.
WHO'S LAUGHING NOW
boy I'm about to look really stupid if Greenfield loses in two weeks
Losing MO, IN and ND was the universe correcting itself (unfortunately) - not to dismiss the hard work Donnelly, McCaskill and Heitkamp put into winning them in the first place (and McCaskill and to a lesser extent Donnelly definitely deserve some credit for making their own luck), but there's no real reason on paper why we should have won those seats in 2012, they were freebies.
I stand by my opinion that the close calls in Florida were the only genuinely impressive wins for the GOP in the sense that given how everything else went, they shouldn't have won them. On the other hand, you can't really look at say, the Texas Senate seat or the governor's seat in Georgia staying red as anything but a silver lining for the Republicans, as in a neutral environment they shouldn't have been competitive at all.
Yeah that's the thing. It was a terrible map for Dems and we still won historic gains in the house.
And like you said Kavanaugh didn't really doom any of them. Nelson didn't even seem to be hurt from that as much as he was from just not doing any latino outreach.
I cast my meaningless in Louisiana early vote for Biden this week. They were using social distancing, people in line had masks on (and they had some ready in case you didn't have one), provided little fingertip condoms for the touchscreens, and I reviewed my ballot about five times to make sure the machine didn't try to change my vote to Trump, because it's 2020.
For as much as Louisiana is ass-backwards, I've always found early voting here to go pretty smoothly.
For as much as Louisiana is ass-backwards, I've always found early voting here to go pretty smoothly.
Yes also I want as many dem senators as possible. It's unbelievable that we haven't had control since 2014.
Depends. If it is out of reach Barr isn't going to stick his neck out. It would need to be really close.
And his lawyers are donating to the Biden campaign. I can't imagine they'd be putting their best foot forward on that.
Whether they were or not isn't really the point as much as it is that it made their jobs much harder
it gave them no good vote. They couldn't vote to confirm him without pissing off their base, and they couldn't vote against without completely damaging their "bipartisan" messaging they were trying to sell to a faction of Trump supporters.
But really the point is I can guarantee right now Greenfield and others are glad they can focus on healthcare and corn prices than litigating a Barrett scandal
His lawyers are likely not donating to Biden. Jones Day employs 2,500 lawyers. I doubt 1% of those have worked for Trump.
The polls out of PA and IA are fantastic today!
Now that 538 map is way too damn distracting at work! What i find interesting is that when you give Biden NE2 alone, Biden is killing Trump there in polling, Trumps chances go down to 3/100. Add Minnesota and it goes down 2/100, another state that Biden will absolutely win. So you see why the margin for Trump is so razor tight.
Now that 538 map is way too damn distracting at work! What i find interesting is that when you give Biden NE2 alone, Biden is killing Trump there in polling, Trumps chances go down to 3/100. Add Minnesota and it goes down 2/100, another state that Biden will absolutely win. So you see why the margin for Trump is so razor tight.
If 2020 comes down to a last minute update on a laptop from the FBI that damages the incumbent party AGAIN, I will be utterly convinced we are in a simulation.
You didn't read it - she's saying the FBI thinks the laptop is sus as hell.
They've had the thing for a year and are treating the computer store guy as a target - not a witness.
Bizzaro Fox News does what CBS doesn't. The former Fox News Benghazi "specialist" who CBS hired was misrepresenting the FBI statement last night:
Can't confirm nor deny yeah. But the only people who are gonna salivate at the investigation of the POSSIBILITY of said activity and run with it are the magahats of course. This ain't no Anthony Weiner laptop bs
Harder for that to happen when so many are voting early
Am I crazy or is the source of that an obvious Russian fake news troll website?
I made a post a lil bit ago about how I just moved and I met one of my neighbors across the street and she put up a Biden sign because my girlfriend and I did... well an update. I met my next door neighbors and they put up a Biden sign too. I AM FLIPPING THE NEIGHBORHOOD. All the old people are Biden fans, I love it. I can't wait to hang out with them.
Dang. Boring/horrifying normal reality it is.
God I love Mel Brooks. He looks pretty damn good for 94.
This?
"Citizens for American Energy, a super PAC based in Delmont, that shares the same address as Penneco Outdoor Advertising"
I love Mel Brooks, but saying the dude who made Blazing Saddles and History of the World Part 2 never made a political video before feels like a bit of a stretch.
Very narrowly defined, I imagine. He's been on Real Time multiple times, for example.
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