That would be Good Ol' Gabbard.
Boy, am I glad Clinton suicide bombed that woman's career.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT6| I will not be closing this thread when the second wave hits.
- Thread starter TheHunter
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That would be Good Ol' Gabbard.
Boy, am I glad Clinton suicide bombed that woman's career.
A funny thing is Kamala also led in likability with lower name recognition in a poll from a few months ago (wish I could find it). Warren's likability took a dip.
But I don't really like using likability polling with regard to women candidates, because there's so many biases baked into who voters are willing to say they "like" versus who'll they'll mobilize for.
Finally somebody telling the fucking truth. Everybody else is too chicken to say out loud The elephant in the room
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I'm in the edge of West Philly near UPenn, Drexel, and USciences. Yuppie town with a growing Millennial population. I've done some work for Tom Wolf's campaign back in 2018, along with some grassroots stuff for parks and rec.
Regardless of who wins in November, it's pretty clear that something is going to be done to the big tech companies in Silicon Valley, specifically the social media giants. It's been too much of a Wild West for too long now.
I saw a CNN segment about Obama-Trump voters in key battleground states favoring Trump in a months long focus group on CNN earlier. 2/3 of those voters favor Trump and the question is how does that correspond with Biden leading in polls. It had Rachel Bitecofer on it to respond to the results of the focus group which is why I watched. She gave a much more detailed explanation in the thread below.
CNN segment in question:
www.cnn.com
CNN segment in question:
Swing voter focus groups reveal preference for Trump - CNN Video
Polls show Biden ahead even in swing states. But focus groups of swing voters show they're sticking with Trump. What does this mean for the election?
www.cnn.com
The embarrassed trump voter makes no sense. The entire point of him is boisterous exaggerated gloating.
I have to say, yesterday I had written Bass off because of that Scientology video, but today it feels like that was a ... meh thing now. Especially with her statement.
It's clear Bass' name was leaked a lot more in recent days in order for the media and even Republicans to help with the vetting a bit. So that's, good. I think?
But Duckworth and Harris are still my preferred one. I would love Warren, but I have to admit she's not the best, electorally. She would help with younger voters, of all races, but I don't think with anyone else.
It's clear Bass' name was leaked a lot more in recent days in order for the media and even Republicans to help with the vetting a bit. So that's, good. I think?
But Duckworth and Harris are still my preferred one. I would love Warren, but I have to admit she's not the best, electorally. She would help with younger voters, of all races, but I don't think with anyone else.
He should have been doing that shit from the beginning if he wanted to win. That's a large part of how he won 2016, by throwing out vague platitudes left and right that he didn't understand or care about resolving.
I saw a CNN segment about Obama-Trump voters in key battleground states favoring Trump in a months long focus group on CNN earlier. 2/3 of those voters favor Trump and the question is how does that correspond with Biden leading in polls. It had Rachel Bitecofer on it to respond to the results of the focus group which is why I watched. She gave a much more detailed explanation in the thread below.
CNN segment in question:
Swing voter focus groups reveal preference for Trump - CNN Video
Polls show Biden ahead even in swing states. But focus groups of swing voters show they're sticking with Trump. What does this mean for the election?
For reference:
I don't think there's any way Biden's team didn't know about the Scientology comments, and a bunch of other things about the contenders. He seems to be taking the vetting process seriously, if nothing else.
I personally don't like the pretty naked reason some specific people want Bass so badly. A particular cross section of folks on the far left and the donor class.
They view her has more "docile" - i.e. weak. And Bass herself has said before any of this that she has no aspirations for running for President. People are looking for someone they could easily run against in the rumored likelihood that Biden only does one term.
As a Californian with great respect for Bass and her politics (even if I do think her resume is a little green), I don't like that at all.
One for every week until election.
But yeah...Trump ain't gonna change. Maybe for a few days he might "change" a bit but he'll go back to who he normally is and fuck everything up again.
They assume Biden will pick a Black woman and they don't like Harris so they are using another more "acceptable" Black woman against her as a cudgel, is my assumption.
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Yes, and the problem is the language and attacks they are using are either very sexist, racist or both.
If their complaint against Harris were "I'm not sure she's ready" it wouldn't be problematic in that way. Instead it's "she's to ambitious". ("Which means a woman is trying to do anything above her station boo").
Really, just fucking pick Harris already Biden Jesus. What are you waiting for?
Yep.
And they're settling for "blatant misogynoir" because the only more ridiculous argument you could make is that someone with Kamala Harris' resume isn't ready.
Biden may not choose Harris in the end, but one thing is clear: most men who have run for the Presidency don't have Kamala's resume.
Where you been hiding? Haven't seen you in the scrum lately.
"Trump Reset" is just wish-casting from his campaign. This is how they talk to each other because if it isn't on cable news it's not important to these goons
I mean we are on exactly the same page here.
I am also still hopeful Biden is not listening to these morons and I would like a public rebuke but the latter is probably not happening. It's problematic Dodd is still employed (anywhere).
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Let's put it this way, if a woman ran for President with Obama's resume they would be laughed off the stage.
Amy and Warren were right to bark about that much. (Not that Obama wasn't qualified, merely inexperienced) My only issue with Harris was that she couldn't seemingly pick a lane on how she wanted to conduct her campaign. She and warren had opposite problems Warren knew what she was mainly focused on and what the problems were but not what lane of policy she wanted to run in while Harris knew what policy lane she wanted to run but couldn't nail down her energy and how she wanted to run her campaign. She did great in digging into Biden but then...backed off? She waffled between an aggressive, neutral and passive campaign style and she never really settled into one or the other. I think that can be fixed with just some more time and experience. Warren just got unlucky; had Bernie not run she would have had the progressive land all to herself.
To put it simply: These are non-college educated whites realigning or staying aligned with the mean. The Obama vote was a blip.
Fox News and Facebook still keeps certain people in line.
I don't even care about that as long as they're being properly accounted for in polling.
Duckworth anecdote from the NY Times:
I love her more now.
He probably talked to Bannon who reminded him he ran on an illusion of economic populism.
That's true; Bass' appeal is largely because she seems "unthreatening" and will just play the part of the "black woman as VP" without people worrying too much she's not ready, but also Democrats don't have to worry about the 2024 primaries at the moment. Which is a mistake of course, since people are going to think about 2024, no matter who Biden picks because he's freaking 77 years old.
There's not going to be a perfect VP pick and I think Biden's own strengths as the moderate force in the ticket is enough to compensate for any of the VP's flaws that might arise.
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Duckworth anecdote from the NY Times:
Sounds like a frat-house, but people want to have a malt-liquor with their leaders and I am an elitist beer-snob so maybe this shit is really endearing to normal folks
What an awkward interview. Either CNN is really reaching to smash together a comeback narrative OR they don't know how to create a segment around data that isn't candidate X is ahead.
Anyway, only taking the authors at their word, my read is that those 2 data models are measuring different things and the focus group is pretty clearly not swing voters in the way we talk about folks who will are independent and potentially undecided. They are Obama > Trump voters, two thirds of which will stick with him.
Maybe I'm missing something, but why isn't the conclusion bad news for Trump that 1/3 of the folks in the focus group which broke for him in 2016 are now going Biden?
Yeah unless I'm reading those numbers wrong, 1/3rd breaking from Trump seems to be the bigger story.
Don't worry! The media will write about his new tone atleast twice more before the election
1/3 of the Obama --> Trump voters plus the people in the suburbs flipping is where you get the 10 point Biden leads, etc.
Bill Hagerty @BillHagertyTN
Putnam County never disappoints! We love seeing you all out on the trail! #TeamHagerty #TNSen #GOTV
8:40 PM · Aug 1, 2020
Putnam County never disappoints! We love seeing you all out on the trail! #TeamHagerty #TNSen #GOTV
8:40 PM · Aug 1, 2020
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Ronald Brownstein @RonBrownstein
"Dad was a Republican. He watched Fox News, and he had voted for Ducey and Trump. When they told him not to live in fear, that very few people would catch the disease, that its effects weren't serious, he believed them."
9:16 PM · Aug 1, 2020
"Dad was a Republican. He watched Fox News, and he had voted for Ducey and Trump. When they told him not to live in fear, that very few people would catch the disease, that its effects weren't serious, he believed them."
9:16 PM · Aug 1, 2020
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